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世界范围的经济波动福利损失分析 被引量:3

The Welfare Cost of Economic Fluctuations in BRICs and Developed Countries
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摘要 本文基于PWT数据,对金砖四国及发达国家的经济波动及其福利损失进行了分析和归纳。与发达国家相比,消费波动大于产出波动这一异常现象在新兴经济体与发展中国家范围内广泛存在;金砖四国作为新兴经济体,其经济波动导致的福利损失比发达国家要大,其中中国经济波动的剧烈程度及其导致的福利损失均呈现迅速下降之势;大部分发达国家经济波动的剧烈程度及其福利损失明显高于美国,说明至少在经济波动这一领域,美国的情况并非发达国家的典型代表;发达国家作为一个整体在2000年之后的经济波动幅度及其福利损失要大于2000年之前的十年,这一情况与新兴经济体与发展中国家的典型特征正好相反。 This article focuses on economic volatility and its welfare cost in BRICs and developed countries based on PWT data.We found that compared with developed countries,the typical facts that volatility of consumption is greater than that of output widely exists in emerging markets and developing countries.Welfare cost of economic fluctuations in BRICs is greater than that in developed countries.In most developed countries,volatility of economics fluctuations and its welfare cost are greater than those in America,which implies that at least in the field of economic fluctuations,America cannot be simply treated as the typical representative of developed countries.Finally,volatility of economic fluctuations and its welfare cost in developed countries after the year 2000 is greater than that during a decade before 2000,while the situation of that in emerging markets and developing countries is quite opposite.
作者 杨力 张耿
出处 《世界经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第2期3-7,86,共6页 World Economy Studies
基金 上海外国语大学重大科研项目"中外金融风险管理研究"资助 项目号KX161022
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参考文献3

  • 1Lucas, R. E. Macroeconomic Priorities. American Economic Review, 2003,93(1 ) :1-14.
  • 2张耿,胡海鸥.消费波动小于产出波动吗?[J].经济研究,2006,41(11):37-47. 被引量:51
  • 3Bah'o, R. Rare Disasters, Asset Prices, and Welfare Costs. National Bureau of Economic Research, Working Paper Series, No. 13690,Dec,2007.

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