期刊文献+

中国黄金期货市场鞅式弱有效检验 被引量:4

原文传递
导出
摘要 黄金期货作为股指期货的探路先锋已经上市两年多,黄金期货市场具有怎样的市场特征呢?本文以中国黄金期货沪金指数为研究对象,运用ADF和KPSS单位根检验、Ljung Box自相关检验、BDS独立同分布检验等方法,对黄金期货市场的鞅式弱有效进行了检验。结果表明,通过这些方法无法得出黄金期货市场是否弱式有效,这与以往研究有所不同。为此,本文建议采取分形理论等非线性动力学方法进行深层次检验,从而更科学地掀开黄金期货市场的神秘面纱。
出处 《财贸经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2011年第1期72-78,共7页 Finance & Trade Economics
  • 相关文献

参考文献11

  • 1田志朋,朱国彦.中国黄金市场期货与现货价格关系实证研究[J].山东工商学院学报,2009,23(2):76-81. 被引量:9
  • 2于虎山,秦学志.上海黄金期货市场有效性的实证分析[J].价值工程,2009,28(1):19-22. 被引量:16
  • 3赵蕊.我国黄金期货市场功能发挥的实证研究[J].金融发展研究,2009(3):70-73. 被引量:9
  • 4Bertus, M. and Stanhouse, B. , Rational Speculative Bubbles in The Gold Futures Market: an Application of Dynamic Factor Analysis. The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 21, No. 1, 2001, pp. 79 108.
  • 5Bhar, R. and Hamori, S. , Information Flow between Price Change and Trading Volume in Gold Futures Contracts. International Journal of Business and Economics, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2004, pp. 45 -56.
  • 6Liang, C. C. , Lin, J. B. and Liang, J. M. , Nonlinear Mean Reversion and Arbitrage in the Gold Futures Market. EconomicsBulletin, Vol. 6, No. 9, 2008, pp. 1-11.
  • 7Lucey, B.M. and Tully, E. , The Evolving Relationzhip betwccn Gold and Silver 1978- 2002. Evidence from a Dynamic Co-integration Analysis: a note. Applied Financial Economics Letters, Vol. 2, 2006, pp. 47 53.
  • 8Monroe, M. A. and Cohn, R. A. , The Relative Efficiency of the Gold and Treasury Bill Futures Markets. The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 6, No. 3, 1986,pp. 477-493.
  • 9Poitras, G. , The Distribution of Gold Futures Spreads. The Journal of Futures Markets, Vol. 6, 1990, pp. 643-659.
  • 10Spyrou, S. , Unobservable Information and Behavioral Patterns in Futures Markets: The Case for Brent Crude Oil, Gold and Robusta Coffee Contracts. Derivatives Use, Trading &Regulation, Vol. 12,No. 1--2, 2006,pp. 48--58.

二级参考文献18

共引文献23

同被引文献32

  • 1翟敏,华仁海.国内外黄金市场的关联研究[J].产业经济研究,2006(2):30-35. 被引量:43
  • 2徐剑刚,唐国兴.期货波动与交易量和市场深度关系的实证研究[J].管理科学学报,2006,9(2):69-75. 被引量:22
  • 3刘庆富,仲伟俊,梅姝娥.基于VaR-GARCH模型族的我国期铜市场风险度量研究[J].系统工程学报,2006,21(4):429-433. 被引量:36
  • 4Karpoff. J M. The relation between price changes and trading volume :A survey [J].Joumal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 1987 (1) : 109-126.
  • 5Kocagil,A.E. & Shachmurove,Y. Return-volume dy-namics in futures markets [J]. Journal of Futures Markets,1998 (18) :399-426.
  • 6Fung H.G.,Patterson G.A. Volatility, global information, and market conditions: a study in futures markets [J] . Journal of Futures Markets, 2001 (21) : 173-196.
  • 7Girma P. B.,Mougoue M. An empirical examination of the relation between futures spreads volatility, volume and open interestlll.loumal of Futures Markets.2002(22), 1083-1102.
  • 8Engle,tkobert F.Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedas ticity with Estimates of the Variance of UK Inflation [J].Econometrica,1982 (50) :987-1008.
  • 9Bollerslev T. Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity [J].Journal of Econometrics,1986(3):307-327.
  • 10Engle R, David M. Lilien and Russell.Rkobins. Estimating Time Varying Risk Premia in the Term Strtcture:The AR.CH-M model[J]. Econometrica,1987 (55) : 391-406.

引证文献4

二级引证文献8

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部