摘要
本文运用协整检验、Granger因果检验、Garbade-Silber模型、误差修正模型等对2008年1月9日到2008年11月14日上海期货交易所黄金期货合约的价格发现功能和套期保值功能进行研究,结果表明:黄金现货价格对期货价格存在单向引导关系,在价格发现功能中,黄金现货价格起着决定性的作用,期货市场价格发现功能相对较弱。
This paper investigates the price discovery and the hedging function of gold futures contracts in Shanghai Futures Exchange from January 9, 2008 to November 14, by using Cointegration Test, Granger Test, G-S Model and ECM .It shows: there is only a one - way leading function from gold spot price to futures price, the spot price has played an important role in the function of price discovery and price discovery function in the futures market is relatively weak.
出处
《金融发展研究》
2009年第3期70-73,共4页
Journal Of Financial Development Research