摘要
基于引力模型的分析框架,本文分别构建加工贸易进出口影响因素模型,实证检验影响中国加工贸易发展的因素。研究结果发现,国内经济总量增长和人均收入提高是解释加工贸易进出口发展的重要因素,地理位置的影响也不容忽视,但汇率对我国加工贸易进出口的调节作用不大;世界经济波动也会引起我国加工贸易进出口的变动,世界人均收入对加工贸易出口影响不明显,但会显著增加加工贸易进口。
Based on Gravity Model,this paper builds the influencing factors model of processing trade,and examines the determinants of export and import processing trade in China.The empirical study shows that the growth of total economic output and income per capital plays a positive role in the development of processing trade,at the same time,geographical location can not be overlooked,but exchange rate causes little effect on the development of processing trade.Global economical fluctuation will cause the change of processing trade.Global income per capital doesn't exert a significant influence on export processing trade,but has an obvious impact on import processing trade.
出处
《中南财经政法大学学报》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第5期33-37,共5页
Journal of Zhongnan University of Economics and Law
关键词
加工贸易
进出口
引力模型
Processing Trade
Influencing Factors
Gravity Model
