摘要
为稳定甘肃省粮食产量,提高粮食综合生产能力,根据1979～2008年甘肃省粮食总产量和增长率等资料,运用回归模型分析了甘肃省粮食综合生产能力现状:甘肃省粮食生产始终呈现曲折徘徊、波动式增长的趋势;根据2000～2008年甘肃粮食生产的相关数据,运用灰色关联度分析了影响甘肃省粮食综合生产能力的因素:耕地面积、粮食播种面积、有效灌溉面积、农业机械总动力、化肥施用量、农药使用量、受灾面积、粮食单产、成灾面积等;结合甘肃省实际情况,提出了提高甘肃省粮食综合生产能力的对策建议:加强先进技术应用与推广,加强政府的指导作用,提高农民种粮积极性,加强农田水利为主的农业基础设施建设。
To stabilize output of grain and increase grain overall production capacity in Gansu Province,the status quo of grain overall production capacity in Gansu Province was analyzed by using regression model based on the data of grain overall yield and increment rate in Gansu Province from 1979 to 2008,which indicated grain production in Gansu Province always shows a trend of twisting and fluctuating increase;according to the related data of grain production in Gansu Province from 2000 to 2008,the influencing factors of grain overall production capacity of Gansu Province were analyzed by using gray relational degree method,which including cultivated land area,sowing area,effective irrigation area,total power of agricultural machinery,chemical fertilizer rate,application amount of pesticides,affected area,grain yield per unit area and disaster area,etc.;combining actual situation of Gansu Province,the suggestions and countermeasures that enhance grain overall production capacity of Gansu Province were proposed as follows： promoting the application and popularization of advanced technology;strengthening the guiding role of government to raise the farmers＇ enthusiasm;enhancing construction of agricultural infrastructure mainly on farmland water conservancy.
出处
《湖南农业科学》
2010年第9期167-170,共4页
Hunan Agricultural Sciences
基金
国家科技支撑计划(2006BAD29B07)
甘肃省重大科技专项计划(0801NKDA013)
甘肃农业大学"农业经济管理"省级重点学科科学研究项目
关键词
甘肃省
粮食综合生产能力
灰色关联度
影响因素
Gansu Province
grain overall production capacity
gray relational degree
influencing factor
