摘要
给出了Ｂａｙｅｓ方法的一般描述，实例说明该方法在自然资源管理中的应用．同时，对不确定性态度进行了类似于风险态度的分类。
A Bayesian characterization of uncertainty is proposed in which outcome constitute information which modifies the retrospective evaluation of course of action.Bayesian approach is introduced and an example which the approach is applied for searching fish location is given in order to show how to use the approach in management of natural resource.Meanwhile,three types of uncertainty attitudes which are analogous to risk attitudes are defined.Then the relationship between uncertainty attitude and management of natural resource is discussed.
出处
《西南师范大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
1999年第3期343-350,共8页
Journal of Southwest China Normal University(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
不确定性
自然资源管理
贝叶斯法
主观概率
Bayesian approach
uncertainty
management of natural resource
uncertainty attitude
