摘要
运用动力学、自组织理论和项目管理理论相结合的方法研究有多个企业参与的合作项目中各成员企业观点的演化规律。根据提炼出的影响项目成员组织观点一致性的主要因素,建立考虑企业文化的凝聚作用和合作企业间耦合作用的观点演化动力学模型,分别研究线性和非线性耦合作用下成员企业观点演化的动力学行为。在非线性耦合作用下,组织观点演化存在观点冻结区、观点类线性收敛区和观点分岔区三个区域,推导得到可以用来判别观点演化所处区域的企业间初始观点分歧的临界值,发现在观点分岔区可能出现由企业间沟通强度阈值决定的组织观点趋同突变和决裂突变的演变现象,通过计算仿真验证这两种突变还与成员企业的凝聚作用强度、对相异观点的开放度以及观点演化的历史状态有关。研究结果对于揭示项目合作组织观点的自组织演化特性具有重要的理论价值,有助于项目管理者加深对观点演化的多样性和涌现机制的认识。
The opinion evolution of cooperative enterprises in a project is studied from an integrated perspective of nonlinear dynamic theory,self-organization theory and project management theory. An opinion evolution dynamic mode is developed that allows for the initial opinion difference between member enterprises,the cohesive effect of their own corporate culture and the coupling effect of their cooperative willingness. Dynamic behaviors of member enterprises＇ opinions in the project is investigated in details under the circumstances of the linear and nonlinear coupling of two cooperative enterprises,respectively. It is found that under the circumstance of nonlinear coupling,three distinctive evolutionary regimes,i.e. an opinion deadlock regime,an opinion linear convergence regime,and an opinion bifurcation regime,may take place. Moreover,the critical value of initial opinion discrepancy between two companies for judging the existence of the opinion bifurcation regime is also derived. In the opinion bifurcation regime,the abrupt convergence of organization＇s opinions may take place if the communication strength between two member enterprises reaches the upper threshold,while the abrupt divergence happens if the communication strength reduces to and becomes less than the lower threshold. It is also found through the simulation that the abrupt convergence and divergence of organization＇s opinions are also related to the cooperative enterprises＇ cohesive force,opening degree to different opinions and cooperative history. The research results reveal the self-organization characteristics of opinion evolution in project cooperative organizations,and may be helpful for project managers in understanding the diversity and emerging mechanism of opinion evolution.
出处
《管理科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第2期11-19,共9页
Journal of Management Science
基金
国家自然科学基金(70831002)~~
关键词
项目合作
耦合作用
非线性系统
临界现象
project cooperation
coupling effect
nonlinear system
critical phenomenon
