摘要
本文利用我国1990-2000年各地区总和生育率、社会经济发展水平和计划生育执行力度的面板数据,分别对东部特大城市、东部地区、中部地区和西部地区进行了实证分析。发现:计划生育政策对各地区生育率的降低都起到了重要的作用;同时,东部地区(包括特大城市)较高的经济、社会发展水平显著的降低了总和生育率,而经济较为落后的中、西部地区,这种作用不明显。
The regional difference in the determinants of total fertility rate （TFR） change is always the interesting topic in the academic study and government policy-making. In 1990s, China＇s TFR reached the replacement level, but the TFR in the different province and areas has huge difference. Given the low fertility level of the whole country, studying the regional difference in the determinants of total fertility rate （TFR） change is important for the right family planning policy. Based on provincial panel data of TFR, economic-social factors and family planning policy execution, this paper empirically investigate the TFP metropolis, east region, middle region and west region, and the result shows that the family planning policy has significantly lowered the TFP over all the areas and the economic-social development reduces TFR markedly in the East region and the metropolis, but had less effect on the TFR in the midland and west.
出处
《南方人口》
CSSCI
2010年第2期58-64,50,共8页
South China Population
基金
国家软科学研究计划项目(2008GXS5B103)资助
关键词
总和生育率
地区差异
面板数据
Total fertility rate
Difference of areas
Panel data
