摘要
通过对我国外贸吞吐量2001年1月至2009年6月的时间序列数据进行分析,建立干预分析模型,研究金融危机对我国外贸的影响,结果显示该模型具有较好的模拟与预测效果.
In this paper, we analysis China＇s foreign trade throughput time-series data from January 2001 to June 2009. intervention analysis model were made to study the impact of the financial crisis on China＇s foreign trade. The result showed that the model has good simulation and prediction.
出处
《数学的实践与认识》
CSCD
北大核心
2010年第7期36-42,共7页
Mathematics in Practice and Theory
关键词
金融危机
外贸吞吐量
干预分析
预测
financial crisis
foreign trade throughput
intervention analysis
forecast
