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我国自由贸易区的贸易流量效应:基于面板数据的引力模型分析 被引量:27

Trade Flow Effect of China Free Trade Areas:Analysis Based on Gravity Model with Panel Data
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摘要 20世纪后半叶,区域经济一体化浪潮席卷全球。近年来,我国开始实施自由贸易区战略,推进速度和建设规模均令世人瞩目。以此为背景,本文以中国香港地区、韩国、澳大利亚、印度、新加坡、智利、新西兰与我国大陆地区的双边贸易为对象,应用基于面板数据的引力模型测算我国与上述7个代表性经济体构建自由贸易区产生的贸易流量效应,并在此基础上利用固定效应变系数模型进行了国别比较,从而为我国进一步制定对外自由贸易战略提供一定的政策参考。 During the second half of the 20th century, regional economic integration has sweeped the whole world. China started to implement free trade area (FTA) strategy in recent years, and the speed and scale of development attracted lots of the attention. Targeting the bilateral trade of China and Hong Kong, South Korea, Australia, India, Singapore, Chile, New Zealand, this paper applies gravity model based on panel data to estimate the trade flow effects of China and the representative 7 economies FTAs, and then makes country comparison with fixed effect model of variable coefficients. The conclusion may be expected to provide some policy suggestions for the further development of China FTA.
作者 蔡宏波
出处 《国际贸易问题》 CSSCI 北大核心 2010年第1期25-31,共7页 Journal of International Trade
基金 北京师范大学"211工程"三期重点学科建设项目"教育管理体制创新与教育资源优化配置"子课题"国际教育服务贸易和人才跨国流动中的政策选择"的阶段性研究成果
关键词 自由贸易区 贸易流量 引力模型 Free Trade Area (FTA) Trade flow Gravity model
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