摘要
通过对研究区的气候、水文气象物理因子的分析，挑选出与月径流关系最好的物理因子作为预报因子；利用逐步回归分析和预报集成方法建立月径流预报模型．模型应用结果表明，预报精度满足生产要求．
Through the analysis of climatic and hydrometeorological factors of the area under study,the factors most closely related with monthly discharge are selected and used as forecasting factors.The progressive regression and integrated methods are used and a quantitative model of monthly discharge is established.The model has been tested and forecast results are satisfactory.
出处
《河海大学学报（自然科学版）》
CAS
CSCD
1998年第5期104-106,共3页
Journal of Hohai University(Natural Sciences)
关键词
月径流
物理因子
回归分析
水文预报
水库
monthly discharge
physical factor
progressive regression
integrated method
