摘要
探讨径流中长期预报的灰色系统方法，提出了全因果序列扩维的灰关联模式识别与预测方法、灰参数线性模型的预测方法以及ＧＭＲ（１．１）模型．分别用于年月径流预测和灾变预测．通过海河流域潘家口水库资料验证，表明计算方法是可行的．
This paper discusses the grey system method of mid-long term runoff forecasting.A greycorrelation analysis and the extended dimension pattern recognition of full causality series,the forecastmothed of grey parameter linear model and GMR(1.1)model are put forward.These three mothodsare used for annual and monthly munoff forecasting and damaging forecasting.It is verified by Panjakou Reservoir materials in the Haihe River basin that these methods are praeticable.
出处
《武汉水利电力大学学报》
CSCD
1994年第4期367-375,共9页
Engineering Journal of Wuhan University
基金
水利部资助
