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中国经济结构与经济增长关系的实证研究 被引量:3

An empirical study on relationship between economic structure and economic increase in China
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摘要 通过建立线性计量模型对我国1978年以来经济结构和经济增长之间的关系进行了实证研究.选取了所有制结构、产业结构、城乡二元结构、贸易依存度等具体指标来衡量经济结构.研究结果表明,1978~1991年,经济增长与产业结构和所有制结构高度正相关,即产业结构愈趋近于目前发达国家的产业结构比例,私营经济在整个国民经济中所占比重越大,经济增长越快;1993~2003年,经济增长与产业结构和贸易依存度高度正相关,与城乡收入比负相关,即产业结构愈合理,贸易依存度越高,即中国经济对外开放程度越深,经济增长越快,而城乡收入差距拉大,不利于经济增长. This paper empirically studies the relationship between economy structure and economy increase since 1978 in China by linear econometrics modeling. The paper chooses the index including ownership patterns, industry structure, urban-rural dual structure, foreign trade dependence etc to represent economic structure. The result demonstrates : 1 ) from 1978 to 1991, economy increase had a high positive correlation with industry structure and ownership patterns, which means the more similar industry structure is as that in the developed countries and the more private owned economy in national economy, the faster economy increased; 2) from 1993 to 2003, economy increase had a high positive correlation with industry structure and foreign trade dependence, and a negative correlation with urban and rural income structure, which demonstrates that the more reasonable industry structure and the higher foreign trade dependence, the faster economy increased, whereas the big urban-rural income gap went against economy increase.
作者 孙弓
出处 《哈尔滨商业大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2009年第5期636-640,共5页 Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Natural Sciences Edition
关键词 经济结构 经济增长 实证研究 economy structure economy increase empirical study
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