摘要
中国民营企业普遍存在着寿命短暂、难以长大等问题,一个重要的原因在于民营企业投资失误较多,决策不科学,在投资风险的预测、度量、分析、控制上出了问题。因此,在传统的统计学方法计量投资项目的风险大小的基础上,指出了传统净现值法的一些缺陷,给出了较为科学的风险调整贴现率法和肯定当量法,从而使企业能作出更加合理的投资决策。
The private enterprises commonly encounter with many problems, such as short life span and difficult to grow up, etc. An important reason is the incorrect forecasting, measuring, analyzing, controlling of investment risk and the incorrect decision- making. The paper indicates the shortage of traditional net present value and thinks that the private enterprises can measure and analyze investment risks by statistic methods. By analyzing and comparing risks of different investment projects with their profits by the methods of risk discount and definite approximation,the private enterprises can make right investing decision.
出处
《统计与信息论坛》
CSSCI
2009年第8期86-90,共5页
Journal of Statistics and Information
关键词
民营企业
投资风险
统计度量
private enterprises
investment risks
statistical measure
