摘要
结合实例分析了日平均气温对冬季城市燃气日负荷影响的规律,得到燃气日负荷的主要影响因素为气温所处温度区间、气温变化的幅度,而与气温所处时间区间和升降趋势无关。提出了基于气温变化的燃气日负荷预测方法——温差系数法,取得了较好的预测效果。
The influence of average daily air temperature on winter daily city gas load is analyzed with a practical example. It is concluded that the daily gas load is mainly influenced by air temperature range and variation extent, and is not related to time interval and rise and fall trends of air temperature. A method for forecasting daily gas load based on air temperature variation, namely temperature difference coefficient method is put forward, and the satisfactory forecasting result is acquired.
出处
《煤气与热力》
2009年第1期5-7,共3页
Gas & Heat
关键词
城市燃气日负荷
负荷预测
气温
温差系数法
daily city gas load
load forecasting
air temperature
temperature difference coefficient method
