摘要
东盟自成立起一直在大国的包围中求生存发展。面对当前地区内中美两个大国,东盟试图实施对冲外交,以期通过两面下注来减低风险。本文认为,东盟对中美的对冲外交已陷入困境。对冲外交并未使东盟获得预想中的关键地位,反而使中美两国更难认识到东盟在解决地区问题中的重要性,中美坚持以"双边"方式在该地区活动,从而对东盟的一体化产生负面作用。东盟对冲外交陷入困境的根本原因在于其"弱国组织,实力受制"这一结构性矛盾,致使各成员国出于利益考虑不得不选择自己的依托对象,使其对冲外交的实施难以形成合力;实力不足的现状也难以使其在中美两大国的棋局上占据太多比重,使对冲外交的操作空间非常有限。
ASEAN has been struggling for survival in the siege of great powers ever since its establishment. Facing China and America, the two great powers, ASEAN adopts Hedge Diplomacy so that it can hedge against risks. This article argues that the Hedge Diplomacy towards China and America has brought ASEAN into dilemma. Actually, Hedge Diplomacy does not offer ASEAN the expected vital position, but makes it more difficult for the two great powers to treat ASEAN seriously in the economic and security affairs of Southeast Asia. Each of them persists in its bilateral way to deal with tbe regional issues, which has negative impact on the integration of ASEAN. The essential cause of the dilemma lies in the structural problem of ＂less powerful organization＂, which renders its members to have no choice but choose their reliers with regard to benefit, making it hard for ASEAN to form composite forces to bring hedge diplomacy into effect. The lack of strength also makes it hard to occupy too much proportion on tbe chessboard of China and the United States, bringing about restrictions to the operating space of Hedge Diplomacy.
出处
《南洋问题研究》
CSSCI
2008年第3期16-23,共8页
Southeast Asian Affairs
关键词
对冲外交
东盟
困境
原因
hedge diplomacy, ASEAN, dilemma, structural problem
