摘要
城市居民的公交出行特性与居民的出行目的、到目的地的距离、步行至公交站点的时间、乘坐公交车需要换乘的次数和拥有的私人交通工具密切相关。通过回归计算得到量化居民公交出行决策模型,能更好地把握城市居民出行的特性和公交现状之间的关系,为城市公共交通规划和管理提供科学的依据。在铜陵市居民公交出行调查的基础上,计算得到了模型的各个参数值,并进行了影响因素的显著性分析,该模型在城市公交出行决策分析上具有很好的适用性,也为城市居民的出行研究提供了新的思路。
The characteristics of urban resident public traffic trip have close relations with the trip purpose, the distance to the destination, the walking time to bus station, the transference rates and the possession of personal transport.The numerical decision model of resident public traffic trip based on regression calculation can better grasp the relationship between the characteristics of resident trip and the present state in public traffic, and also supply the scientific reference for the public traffic planning and management.Base on the urban resident transit trip survey, the parameter values are worked out.Through analysis of influence factors, the principal influence factors for resident trip and the odds rate estimation are found ,which proves that the model has good practicability in the decision analysis of transit trip, and it is a new way of researching in urban resident trip.
出处
《现代交通技术》
2007年第6期60-62,66,共4页
Modern Transportation Technology
