技术预见项目的竞争情报属性及启示被引量：6

Studies on Competitive Intelligence Characteristic in Technology Foresight Exercises

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摘要技术预见活动在多大程度上属于竞争情报范畴是既有理论价值又有实践意义的问题。本文采用技术预见案例研究与参加具体项目实践佐证相结合的方法，从技术预见项目的目的及用户、预测内容、预测时间跨度、收集信息的硬化程度、采用的信息分析方法、产出成果可据此采取行动性等多个维度，研究了技术预见项目的竞争情报属性问题。认为不同约束条件下的技术预见项目的竞争情报属性有明显差异，特定约束条件下的技术预见项目有明确的竞争情报属性。根据研究结论，得出了对于竞争情报从业者业务创新与发展的启示。 It is a significant problem to study competitive intelligence characteristic of technology foresight exercises. This paper studies the issue based on cases analysing in the 60 finished foresight projects in the world along with thinking through taking part in technology foresight exercises. Finding out technology foresight exercises in what extent presenting competitive intelligence characteristic depends on the limited conditions of exercise, including its objectives, serving decision maker, scope, forecast period, degree of hardness of collected information, methods of information analysis, degree of output action ability etc.

作者陈峰

机构地区中国科学技术信息研究所

出处《情报学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2007年第6期934-937,共4页 Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information

基金国家软科学研究计划项目,编号：2007GXS3B036.

关键词竞争情报技术预见竞争情报属性案例 competitive intelligence, technology foresight, competitive intelligence characteristic, case study

分类号 F49 [经济管理—产业经济]

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参考文献6

1陈峰.开展竞争情报与技术预见交叉研究的若干发现[J].图书情报工作,2007,51(2):26-29. 被引量：12
2陈峰.国外技术预见项目过程与方法的竞争情报学透视及思考[博士后研究报告].北京:中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,2006:7-54.
3Steven W Popper, Caroline S Wagner, Eric V Larson. New Forces at Work: Industry Views Critical technologies. [2005- 1-03 ]. www. rand. org/pubs/monograph_ reports/MR1008-1/.
4Science and Technology Foresight Center, National Institute of Science and Technology Policy, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology Japan. NISTEP REPORT No. 97: Science and Technology Foresight Survey Delphi Analysis. May 2005 :1-9.
5The Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology of South Africa. Foresight Synthesis Report: Dawn of the African Century. [ 2005-1-03 ]. http://www.dst. gov. za/Foresight Reports. htm.
6Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Report of Futur Lead Vision:' Living in a Networked World: Individual and Secure'. [ 2006-09-06 ]. http://www.bmbf. de/fntur/en/6455. htm.

二级参考文献8

1陈峰．国外技术预见项目过程与方法的竞争情报学透视及思考．[博士后论文研究报告]．北京：中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所，2006：4．
2National Institute of Science and Technology Policy of Japan.Comprehensive analysis of science and technology benchmarking and foresight.[2005-12-11].www.nistep.go.jp/achiev/ftx/eng/rep099e/idx099e.html.
3REST, Manchester Business School, University of Manchester.Evaluation of the United Kingdom foresight programme final report.[2006-09-06].http://www.foresight.gov.uk/Publications/Current %20round%20Genera1%20Publications/index.html.
4Federal Ministry of Education and Research. Report of futur lead vision: 'Living in a Networked World: Individual and Secure'. [2006-09-06].http://www.bmbf.de/futur/en/6455.htm.
5The Department of Arts, Culture, Science and Technology of South Africa. Foresight synthesis report: Dawn of the African century.[2005-03-15].http://www.dst.gov.za/ForesightReports.htm.
6Bernhard Dachsl, Matthias Weber, Georg Zahradnik. Europe's strengths and weaknesses in information society technologies:A patent analysis.[2006-03-15].http://fistera.jrc.es/pages/wp3.html.
7Georgia Tech Technology Policy & Assessment Center. Innovation forecast of fuel cells (April 1998).[2006-03-15].http://www.tpac.gatech.edu/fuelcell/index.php.
8Ben Gilad. Early warning: Using competitive intelligence to anticipate market shifts, control risk, and create powerful strategies. New York: AMACOM, 2004:209.