摘要
区域经济增长收敛理论一直以来是经济学界研究的一个重要问题,确定某地区属于怎样的经济收敛情况,对分析其当前经济发展的态势和预测未来经济的走势有重要的作用。归纳了多种收敛方式的检验方法和模型,并且综合运用单位根检验和面板数据,对我国东部地区的第三产业发展情况作了分析,探讨了其在不同的时间段的收敛情况以及城市化对第三产业的影响。初步得出结论认为我国东部第三产业的发展没有呈现出β-收敛和俱乐部收敛,而随着城市化进程的发展这种收敛情形逐渐变得不明显。
Theory of Regional Economic Growth Convergence has been always an important issue in economics. It has great importance to determine the economic growth convergence of certain region for analyzing the present economic development and its future trends. This paper summarizes 3 models to test, and use unit root and panel data to analyze the development of east China＇ s tertiary industry, probes the convergence in different period and the influence of urbaniza- tion on it. It concludes that the β - convergence and club - convergence have not been identified in east China＇ s tertiarc industrc, but the convergence will gradually disappear with the development of urbanization.
出处
《河北工程大学学报（社会科学版）》
2007年第3期9-12,共4页
Journal of Hebei University of Engineering(Social Science Edition)
基金
教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目
