摘要
在经济发展的过程中,人口适度增长为经济发展提供充足的劳动力,刺激了消费的增长和投资的需要,从而促进了经济的发展。本文运用协整理论,对广西1949年以来的人口与经济增长的长期稳定性进行研究。研究结果显示,改革开放前,广西的人口与经济增长具有长期均衡关系;改革开放以后,这种长期均衡关系被打破,人口变化逐渐独立于经济变化。这表明改革开放以后,广西经济发展到了较高阶段。
Moderate growth of population can stimulate consumption and investment, and thus promotes the economical development by providing sufficient labor force for the economic development. In this paper, we used co- integration method to study the long - run equilibrium relationship between population and economic growth of Guangxi since 1949. The result showed that, before the reform and opening - up policy, there existed a long - run equilibrium relations between Guangxi ＇ s population and the economical growth ; after the reform and opening - up policy, this equilibrium was broken, the population changed independently of the economy. This indicated that Guangxi＇s economic development came into a higher stage since the reform and opening-up policy.
出处
《广西财经学院学报》
2007年第5期11-14,18,共5页
Journal of Guangxi University of Finance and Economics
