摘要
文章运用灰色关联理论的数学模型对安徽改革开放以来产业结构变动与GDP增长之间的关系进行了定量分析;实证检验表明,安徽省产业结构的变化符合配弟-克拉克趋势,并对经济增长影响巨大;第二产业与经济增长的关联度始终是最大的,第一产业的贡献逐年降低,第三产业的影响超过第一产业;与发达省份相比,安徽产业结构矛盾突出,急需进一步优化,并提出了相应的产业结构调整对策。
The grey relation theory is used to analyze quantitatively the relationship between the changes of industrial structure and the growth of GDP in Anhui Province after China's reform and opening up to outside world. The empirical test has demonstrated that the industrial structure changes of Anhui accord with the Petty-Clark's Law. The changes have great influence on the economic growth. In the past years from.1978 to 2003, the second industry has brought the greatest influence on Anhuis economic growth. Meanwhile, the primary industry has become less important than the other industries year by year, while the impact of the tertiary industry has been increasing. Compared with the industrial structure of developed provinces, Anhui's industrial structure is badly in need of optimization. The corresponding measures for its adjustment are also proposed.
出处
《合肥工业大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2007年第2期226-229,共4页
Journal of Hefei University of Technology:Natural Science
基金
安徽省教育厅自然科学研究重点资助项目(2004kj312zd)
关键词
产业结构调整
经济增长
灰色关联理论
adjustment of industrial structure
economic growth
grey relation theory