摘要
运用单位根检验、协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验方法,对1985-2004年间农业基础设施投资和经济增长之间的相互关系进行了研究,结果发现:经济增长与农业基础设施投资长期存在唯一稳定的关系,但从短期来看,农业基础设施投资增加对经济增长的贡献并不显著。主要原因在于农业基础设施投资增加与经济增长长期不同步所致。需要采取积极措施,加大对农业基础设施的投入,实现经济增长与基础设施投资增加的良性互动。
This paper analyses the relationship between agricultural infrastructure investment and econornic growth in China from 1985 to 2004 by using unit root test, co-integration and granger causality test. The result of the analysis shows that both of the time series have co-integration relationship and could compute the regression equation. Its main reason is that agricultural infrastoucture investmeinvestment is coordinate with economic growth for long time. Measure which enlargal the agriculture infrastructure investment should be taken so as to realize coordinated development of economical growth and infrastructure investment increase.
出处
《西北农林科技大学学报(社会科学版)》
2007年第2期11-15,共5页
Journal of Northwest A&F University(Social Science Edition)
关键词
农业基础设施
投资
经济增长
格兰杰检验
agricultural infrasture
investment
econornic growth
co-integration relationship