摘要
本文拟对指数平滑法给出理论上的证明,并对方法当中关于平滑系数选取的误差估计进行探讨,旨在明确此法应用的理论依据,避免实践当中产生误导。
The author proved the exponential smoothing theoretically, and also probed into the error estimation against the selection of smoothing coefficient. This article aims at making the theoretical basis of the application of exponential smoothing clearly so as to avoid misleading in practice.
出处
《内蒙古农业大学学报(自然科学版)》
CAS
2006年第4期153-156,共4页
Journal of Inner Mongolia Agricultural University(Natural Science Edition)
关键词
指数平滑法
平滑系数
经营预测
均方差(MAE)
级数收敛
Exponential smoothing
smoothing coefficient
management forecast
mean average error
series convergence