摘要
在考虑多类别、多种因素对动态指标以及成本预测的综合影响时,往往缺少定量化模拟预测手段,由于油藏工程方法多属于机理型模型、单一条件统计规律模型,因此不适合此类条件下的定量预测。本文分析了功能模拟方法进行开发动态模拟预测的技术可行性,提出建立软件系统解决具体工作应用问题。作为一种具有实际操作性的、考虑多参数(可包括产量、成本、工作量等参数)约束控制拟合的开发动态预测方法,可减少实际开发过程中各种复杂因素的影响,并可推广应用于所涉及到的多个工作领域。
When considering integrative influence of multi-category and multi-factor on performance indexes and cost prediction,we often are short of quantitatively modeling prediction tool.Since reservoir engineering methods mostly belong to mechanism model and the model with single condition' statistic rule,which is not suitable for quantitative prediction in such conditions.The paper analyzed the feasibility of the technique using functional simulation method to carry out development performance simulation prediction and presented creation of software system to solve concrete application issues.As a practically operational and considering multi-parameter-(including production,cost and work efforts)-constrained controlling and fitting method for predicting development performance,the method can reduce the influences of various complex factors in a process of practical development and be popularized to many associated work fields for application,which provides technical and model basis for deep application of modern optimum technique in oilfield development and further development of optimum controlling analysis.
出处
《石油地球物理勘探》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2006年第B09期130-132,150,共3页
Oil Geophysical Prospecting
关键词
功能模拟
开发动态
预测方法
functional simulation,development performance,predicting method
