期刊文献+

汇率风险如何影响中国对日本的出口 被引量:18

Influences of Exchange Rate Volatility on China's Export to Japan
原文传递
导出
摘要 本文研究汇率风险对中国与日本的双边出口是否存在长期和短期的影响。使用多元JO-HANSEN协整检验法来检验汇率波动率与出口之间是否存在长期均衡关系。使用GRANGER非因果检验和脉冲响应函数检验短期影响是否存在。研究结果表明从长期看,汇率风险对出口没有影响,但是短期看,汇率风险确实会影响出口。 This paper investigates the influence of exchange rate volatility on the real exports of China to Japan. The Johansen multivariate cointegration method is applied to study the long-term relationship between real export and exchange rate volatility. Granger non-causality test and impose response function method are applied to study the short-term relationship. This paper suggests that the real exchange rate volatility does not have a significant long-term impact on the real bilateral export for China and Japan. But in the short run, the volatility do have significant effect on the export.
作者 潘红宇
出处 《国际贸易问题》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第7期122-125,共4页 Journal of International Trade
基金 社会科学基金(项目号:05BJL056) 对外经济贸易大学211工程(项目号E11007)资助
关键词 波动率 出口 汇率 Exchange rate volatility Export Exchange rate
  • 相关文献

参考文献3

二级参考文献19

  • 1[1]McKenzie M D. The Impact of Exchange Rate Volatility on International Trade Flows [ J ]. Journal of Economic Surveys,1999,13(1), 71~106.
  • 2[2]Sauer C , A K Bohara. Exchange Rate Volatility and Exports: Regional Differences between Developing and Industrialized Countries [J]. Review of International Economics, 2001,9(1):133~152.
  • 3[3]Frankel J A, Wei Shangjin. Trade Blocks and Currency Blocks [J]. NBER Working Paper, 1993. No. 4335.
  • 4[4]Rose A K. One Money, One Market: the Effect of Common Currencies on Trade [ J ]. Economic Policy, 2000, 30, 7~47.
  • 5[5]厉以宁,等.中国对外经济与国际收支[M].北京:国际文化出版公司,1999.
  • 6[8]Dell Ariccia G. Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Trade Flows:Evidence from the European Union [J]. IMF Staff Paper,1999,Vol. 46,No. 3.
  • 7[10]Anderson J E , E van Wincoop. Gravity with Gravitas: A Solution to the Border Puzzle [J]. American Economic Review, March,2003,91(1), 170~92.
  • 8Bowen, H. P. , Hollander, A. & Viaene J. -M. (1998), Applied International Trade Analysis, Macmillan Press Ltd.
  • 9Cushman, D.O. (1988) , 'US Bilateral Trade Flows and Exchange Rate Risk during the Floating Period' , Journal ofInternational Economics, Vol. 24, 317 -30;
  • 10Dell' Ariccia, G. , 1999, " Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Trade Flows: Evidence from the European Union' , IMF Staff Papers, Vol. 46, No. 3;

共引文献157

同被引文献188

引证文献18

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部