摘要
山东半岛是山东省和我国东部沿海地区经济、社会较为发达的地区之一,也是人口密度大、自然资源特别是水资源紧张的地区。随着经济规模的不断扩大,山东半岛水资源与水环境对经济、社会发展的制约作用最为明显。本研究旨在探寻山东半岛经济社会发展与水资源和水环境的协调状况,在此基础上提出经济社会发展与水资源和水环境协调的对策措施。本文在广泛占有资料和调查研究的基础上,通过计算山东半岛水资源的总量、水资源供需平衡及水资源利用效益,分析了当前水资源的开发利用现状,指明了因为不合理开发利用而导致的环境生态后果。运用特尔斐法和AHP法构建了新的评价指标体系,定量评价了山东半岛当前经济发展与资源、环境的协调程度。结果表明山东半岛正处于由弱协调型向基本协调型的过渡阶段,为实现山东半岛经济和社会的可持续发展,提供了理论依据。
Shandong Peninsula is a more developed region of economy and society in Shandong province, even in China, and is also short of resources especially water, but with a dense population. As the scope of economy expands, water＇s restriction to the development of economy and society is more and more evident. The purpose of this paper is to find the harmonious status between Shandong Peninsula＇ s development of economy and society, and water resource and environment, then give suggestions about how to harmonize the development of economy and society. This paper analyzed the water＇s development situation through calculating the total amount of water resources, the balance of, water＇s supply and demand and the utilization effects of water resources, based on the extensive information and investigative research, and gave the aftereffect of entironment because of inconsequential development and utilization. With Dilphy and AHP methods, constructing a appraisal index system, the harmonious status of economy and environment of Shandong Peninsula was evaluated. The result indicated that Shandong Peninsula is in an intergrade from less harmonization.The production of this paper provides quantitative gist to the majestic target of designing resource- saving based society.
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
2006年第3期119-123,共5页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
国家社科基金青年项目资助(03CJL008)结题成果
关键词
水资源约束
山东半岛
协调
资源节约型社会
restraint of water resource
Shandong Peninsula
coordination
resource-saving based society
