摘要
2006年国际原油市场在上升动力和阻力的双重作用下,仍将处于高位盘整时期。一方面,由于原油品种地区和结构性矛盾突出、OPEC的剩余产能不足、中东局势动荡不安等多方面原因,以及基金投机力量的强劲推动,2006年国际原油价格上升动力不减;另一方面,在美元汇率上升、原油需求增速减缓以及原油供给仍有能力持续增加的多重作用下,油价上升遇到一定的阻力。2005年油价的持续高涨直接冲击了中国原油的供销链条,对相关行业产生着重要的影响。2006年,我国必须及早动手,采取措施,积极应对国际石油价格风险。
Under the influence by both driving force and hindering force, in 2006, the crude oil price in the global market will still be in a period of readjustment at a high price. On the one hand, because the regional and structural problem of crude oil products gets more serious, the residual capacity of OPEC is severely insufficient, the trouble is boiling up in the Middle East, and a strong driving force pushes crude oil price by the speculative funds, there will be a striking force to drive the global crude oil price rising in 2006. On the other hand, under the circumstances of Dollar rising, demand for oil winding down and the capacity of OPEC for increasing oil supply keeping continuously, global crude oil price rising will be faced with a hindering force in 2006. In 2005 the global oil price rising sharply hit the chain of supply and sell in China oil market greatly, and has brought a strong influence to the relevant industry. In 2006, we must take measures to solve the price risks in global oil market as soon as possible.
出处
《中国能源》
2006年第5期28-31,共4页
Energy of China
关键词
国际原油价格
需求
基金
价格风险
global oil price
demand for oil
fund
price risks
