摘要
根据风险决策理论,通过概率组合方法估算了水库的实际防洪能力,然后与水库的设计防洪标准比较,判断水库提高汛限水位的可能性并通过风险效益的分析给出合理的汛限水位.
Based on the theory of risk analysis,the flood-control capacity of an existing reservoir is calculated and the possibility of raising limit water level during flood season is estimated when comparing the capacity with the design flood-control criteria. According to the analysis of risk benefits, the rational limit water level is given, The results show that this research is very useful for increasing the utilization ratio of water resources.
出处
《水利学报》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
1996年第6期29-33,共5页
Journal of Hydraulic Engineering
基金
国家自然科学基金
关键词
汛限水位
风险损失
蓄水
防洪
reservoir, limit water level, flood-control capacity, risk loss,mean benefits.