摘要
在回顾决策分析理论发展历史的基础上,给出了决策分析的研究领域和研究方向。决策分析的几个基本研究分支为主观概率估计、效用理论、群决策、多目标决策、竞争性决策等,通过对各分支的发展简史、应用状况和方向的回顾和分析,强调决策分析在决策科学和管理科学发展中的基础性作用。
The research fields and directions of decision analysis （DA） have been pointed out, based on the review of the history of DA theory. The basic research branches of DA are subjective probability assessment, utility theory, group decision, multiple objective decision making, and competitive decision making. The development, application and research direction of each branch are reviewed and analyzed, and it is emphasized that DA has a fundamental position in the science of decision making and management.
出处
《云南师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
2005年第5期66-71,共6页
Journal of Yunnan Normal University：Humanities and Social Sciences Edition
关键词
决策分析
主观概率
效用理论
decision analysis, subjective probability, utility theory
