摘要
以我国家养动物和动物废弃物甲烷排放量现状估算值为基础，根据我国人均肉类需求量和人口总量的变化计算我国肉类总需求量（１９９０－２０２０年），分高、中、低三个方案用ＩＰＣＣ推荐的计算方法和文献１提供的计算系数对各年度我国家养动物（牛）甲烷排放量进行预测。预测结果表明：２０２０年我国家养动物（牛）的甲烷排放量高方案为１４．５４Ｔｇ／ａ；中方案为７．９９８Ｔｇ／ａ；低方案为６．０９６Ｔｇ／ａ。
ased on the presently estimated amount of CH_4 emitted from domesticanimals and their wastes,the present requirement for meats and the incr-ease of the requirement for meats from l990 to 2020,the amount of CH_4emitted from domestic animals every year was forecasted using the compu-tation methods recommended by IPCC and the calculation coefficient givenin reference l with low,middle and high level.The calculation results sh-owed that the amount of CH_4 emitted from domestic animals was 6.096 Tg7.998 Tg and l4.54 Tg for low middle and high levels,respectively,in theyear of 2020.
出处
《农业环境保护》
CSCD
1995年第1期12-14,共3页
Agro-Environmental Protection
