摘要
通过对几个可能的库存控制策略下线性供应链的稳定性分析,提出了有效抑制供应链的牛鞭效应的对策.即增加对未来需求进行预测时的时间区间、增加下游的订货率、增加决策时下游级数,整个供应链的稳定性将得到明显提高.
Due to delays in the adaptation of production or delivery rates, supply chains can be dynamically unstable with respect to perturbations in the consumption rate, which is known as 'bull-whip effect'. The reaction to stock levels of other producers or suppliers in several conceivable production strategies is studied, demonstrating that the anticipation of future stock levels can stabilize the supply system. The results indicate that the linear stability analysis is a helpful tool for the judgment of the stabilization effect.
出处
《湖北工业大学学报》
2005年第3期71-73,共3页
Journal of Hubei University of Technology
关键词
线性供应链
牛鞭效应
稳定性分析
预测
linear supply chains
bull whip effect
stability analysis
forecasts
