摘要
受'非典'影响,2003年上半年中国三大类成品油(汽油、煤油及柴油)表观消费量为6.234×107t,同比增长3.3%.其中汽油消费增长放缓,民航用油出现负增长,柴油消费则保持较快增长.依据用油行业消费调查以及成品油消费与GDP增长关系,考虑可能的影响因素,预测2004年中国成品油消费量将达到1.36×108~1.38×108t,同比增长4.6%~6.2%.
In the first half year 2003, apparent domestic consumption of main refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is 62.34 million tons, up 3.3 percent year- on- year, influenced by 'SARS'. Respectively gasoline consumption growth is slow, jet kerosene is negative and diesel fuel keep strong. Based on survey of oil - using industries and connection of oil consumption with gross domestic product ( GDP) , considering the possible influence factors at the same time, China s total demand of refined product (including gasoline, kerosene and diesel fuel) is expected to increase 4.6 - 6.2 percent to 136 - 138 million tons in 2004.
出处
《石油商技》
2003年第5期32-36,共5页
Petroleum Products Application Research
关键词
成品油
表观消费
预测
refined product, apparent consumption, forecast