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Extended Rough Set Model Based on Prior Probability and Valued Tolerance Relation
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作者 Hao-Dong Zhu Hong-Chan Li 《Journal of Electronic Science and Technology》 CAS 2011年第1期46-50,共5页
Based on equivalence relation,the classical rough set theory is unable to deal with incomplete information systems.In this case,an extended rough set model based on valued tolerance relation and prior probability obta... Based on equivalence relation,the classical rough set theory is unable to deal with incomplete information systems.In this case,an extended rough set model based on valued tolerance relation and prior probability obtained from incomplete information systems is firstly founded.As a part of the model,the corresponding discernibility matrix and an attribute reduction of incomplete information system are then proposed.Finally,the extended rough set model and the proposed attribute reduction algorithm are verified under an incomplete information system. 展开更多
关键词 Attribute reduction discernibility matrix incomplete information system prior probability rough set.
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Reachable set estimation for discrete-time Markovian jump neural networks with unified uncertain transition probability
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作者 Yufeng Tian Wengang Ao Peng Shi 《Journal of Automation and Intelligence》 2023年第3期167-174,共8页
This paper focuses on the reachable set estimation for Markovian jump neural networks with time delay.By allowing uncertainty in the transition probabilities,a framework unifies and enhances the generality and realism... This paper focuses on the reachable set estimation for Markovian jump neural networks with time delay.By allowing uncertainty in the transition probabilities,a framework unifies and enhances the generality and realism of these systems.To fully exploit the unified uncertain transition probabilities,an equivalent transformation technique is introduced as an alternative to traditional estimation methods,effectively utilizing the information of transition probabilities.Furthermore,a vector Wirtinger-based summation inequality is proposed,which captures more system information compared to existing ones.Building upon these components,a novel condition that guarantees a reachable set estimation is presented for Markovian jump neural networks with unified uncertain transition probabilities.A numerical example is illustrated to demonstrate the superiority of the approaches. 展开更多
关键词 Markovian jump neural networks Unified uncertain transition probabilities Reachable set estimation Double-boundary approach Vector wirtinger-based summation inequality
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A New Approach for the Calculation of Slope Failure Probability with Fuzzy Limit-State Functions
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作者 Jianing Hao Dan Yang +2 位作者 Guanxiong Ren Ying Zhao Rangling Cao 《Fluid Dynamics & Materials Processing》 2025年第1期141-159,共19页
This study presents an innovative approach to calculating the failure probability of slopes by incorporating fuzzylimit-state functions,a method that significantly enhances the accuracy and efficiency of slope stabili... This study presents an innovative approach to calculating the failure probability of slopes by incorporating fuzzylimit-state functions,a method that significantly enhances the accuracy and efficiency of slope stability analysis.Unlike traditional probabilistic techniques,this approach utilizes a least squares support vector machine(LSSVM)optimized with a grey wolf optimizer(GWO)and K-fold cross-validation(CV)to approximate the limit-statefunction,thus reducing computational complexity.The novelty of this work lies in its application to one-dimensional(1D),two-dimensional(2D),and three-dimensional(3D)slope models,demonstrating its versatility andhigh precision.The proposed method consistently achieves error margins within 3%of Monte Carlo simulation(MCS)results,while substantially reducing computation time,particularly for 2D and 3D models.This makes theapproach highly practical for real-world engineering applications.Furthermore,by applying fuzzy mathematics tohandle uncertainties in geotechnical properties,the method offers a more realistic and comprehensive understandingof slope stability.As water is the main factor influencing the stability of slopes,this aspect is investigatedby calculating the phreatic line after the change in water level.Relevant examples are used to show that the failureprobability of a slope under water wading condition can increase by more than 20%(increase rates in 1D,2D and3D conditions being 25%,27%and 31%,respectively)compared with the natural condition.The influence ofdiverse fuzzy membership functions—linear,normal,and Cauchy—on failure probability is also considered.Thisresearch not only provides a strategy for better calculation of the slope failure probability but also pioneers theintegration of computational intelligence,fuzzy logic and fluid-dynamics in geotechnical engineering,presentingan innovative and efficient tool for slope stability analysis. 展开更多
关键词 Least Squares Support Vector Machine(LSSVM) Grey Wolf Optimizer(GWO) slope stability analysis fuzzy set theory failure probability estimation
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基于Rough Sets理论的证据获取与合成方法 被引量:12
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作者 杨善林 刘业政 李亚飞 《管理科学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2005年第5期69-75,共7页
证据理论是处理不确定性问题的有力工具,它处理的证据来源于专家.专家的知识经验是有限的,获取较困难,且可能存在一定的主观性.针对上述问题,提出了一种基于粗糙集理论的证据获取的新方法,并对证据合成和应用进行了研究.首先研究了大型... 证据理论是处理不确定性问题的有力工具,它处理的证据来源于专家.专家的知识经验是有限的,获取较困难,且可能存在一定的主观性.针对上述问题,提出了一种基于粗糙集理论的证据获取的新方法,并对证据合成和应用进行了研究.首先研究了大型决策表分解问题.利用粗糙集理论分析条件属性间的依赖关系,对条件属性集进行聚类,形成多个条件属性集相对独立的子决策表;其次对各子决策表进行分析,利用粗糙集的分类思想和隶属度概念,计算证据的基本可信度分配;最后文章对证据的合成及其在决策分析中的应用进行了研究,提出了相应的解决方法. 展开更多
关键词 证据理论 粗糙集 依赖度 基本可信度分配 信度函数
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Multi-attribute decision making method for air target threat evaluation based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets 被引量:47
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作者 Yongjie XU Yongchun Wang Xudong Miu 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第6期891-897,共7页
The function of the air target threat evaluation(TE)is the foundation for weapons allocation and senor resources management within the surface air defense.The multi-attribute evaluation methodology is utilized to addr... The function of the air target threat evaluation(TE)is the foundation for weapons allocation and senor resources management within the surface air defense.The multi-attribute evaluation methodology is utilized to address the issue of the TE in which the tactic features of the detected target are treated as evaluation attributes.Meanwhile,the intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFS)is employed to deal with information uncertainty in the TE process.Furthermore,on the basis of the entropy weight and inclusion-comparison probability,a hybrid TE method is developed.In order to accommodate the demands of naturalistic decision making,the proposed method allows air defense commanders to express their intuitive opinions besides incorporating into the threat features of the detected target.An illustrative example is provided to indicate the feasibility and advantage of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 threat evaluation(TE) intuitionistic fuzzy set(IFS) multi-attribute evaluation intuitive opinions entropy weight inclusion-comparison probability(ICP).
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MATHEMATICAL EXPECTATION ABOUT DISCRETE RANDOM VARIABLE WITH INTERVAL PROBABILITY OR FUZZY PROBABILITY 被引量:2
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作者 肖盛燮 吕恩琳 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2005年第10期1382-1390,共9页
The character and an algorithm about DRVIP( discrete random variable with interval probability) and the secured kind DRVFP (discrete random variable with crisp event-fuzzy probability) are researched. Using the fu... The character and an algorithm about DRVIP( discrete random variable with interval probability) and the secured kind DRVFP (discrete random variable with crisp event-fuzzy probability) are researched. Using the fuzzy resolution theorem, the solving mathematical expectation of a DRVFP can be translated into solving mathematical expectation of a series of RVIP. It is obvious that solving mathematical expectation of a DRVIP is a typical linear programming problem. A very functional calculating formula for solving mathematical expectation of DRVIP was obtained by using the Dantzig's simplex method. The example indicates that the result obtained by using the functional calculating formula fits together completely with the result obtained by using the linear programming method, but the process using the formula deduced is simpler. 展开更多
关键词 interval number fuzzy set probability random variable mathematical expectation
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ON THE HITTING PROBABILITY AND POLARITY FOR A CLASS OF SELF-SIMILAR MARKOV PROCESSES 被引量:1
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作者 熊双平 刘禄勤 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 1999年第2期226-233,共8页
The anthem investigate the hitting probability, polarity and the relationship between the polarity and Hausdorff dimension for self-similar Markov processes with state space (0, infinity) and increasing path.
关键词 self-similar Markov process hitting probability polar set essential polar set Hausdorff dimension
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FRACTAL PROPERTIES OF POLAR SETS OF RANDOM STRING PROCESSES 被引量:1
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作者 陈振龙 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2011年第3期969-992,共24页
This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary condition... This paper studies fractal properties of polar sets for random string processes. We give upper and lower bounds of the hitting probabilities on compact sets and prove some sufficient conditions and necessary conditions for compact sets to be polar for the random string process. Moreover, we also determine the smallest Hausdorff dimensions of non-polar sets by constructing a Cantor-type set to connect its Hausdorff dimension and capacity. 展开更多
关键词 random string process hitting probability polar set Hausdorff dimension
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A NEW APPROACH OF SIMULTANEOUS FAULTS DIAGNOSIS BASED ON RANDOM SETS AND DSMT 被引量:2
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作者 Li Zhiliang Xu Xiaobin Wen Chenglin 《Journal of Electronics(China)》 2009年第1期24-30,共7页
Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Fir... Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the simultaneous faults' model is built based on the generalized frame of discernment in DSmT. Secondly, according to the unified description of combination rules in evidence reasoning based on random sets, a new combination rule for simultaneous faults diagnosis is proposed. Thirdly, according to the working characteristics and environment of the sensors used to acquire fault characteristic information, a new method to construct basic probability assignment function is pro- posed based on membership. Finally, diagnosis result is obtained by use of the new combination rule combined with decision rules. A case pertaining to the fault diagnosis for a multi-function rotor test-bed is given, and the result shows that the proposed diagnosis approach is feasible and efficient. 展开更多
关键词 Random sets Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) Basic probability assignment Simultaneous fault DIAGNOSIS
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Free clustering optimal particle probability hypothesis density(PHD) filter
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作者 李云湘 肖怀铁 +2 位作者 宋志勇 范红旗 付强 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS 2014年第7期2673-2683,共11页
As to the fact that it is difficult to obtain analytical form of optimal sampling density and tracking performance of standard particle probability hypothesis density(P-PHD) filter would decline when clustering algori... As to the fact that it is difficult to obtain analytical form of optimal sampling density and tracking performance of standard particle probability hypothesis density(P-PHD) filter would decline when clustering algorithm is used to extract target states,a free clustering optimal P-PHD(FCO-P-PHD) filter is proposed.This method can lead to obtainment of analytical form of optimal sampling density of P-PHD filter and realization of optimal P-PHD filter without use of clustering algorithms in extraction target states.Besides,as sate extraction method in FCO-P-PHD filter is coupled with the process of obtaining analytical form for optimal sampling density,through decoupling process,a new single-sensor free clustering state extraction method is proposed.By combining this method with standard P-PHD filter,FC-P-PHD filter can be obtained,which significantly improves the tracking performance of P-PHD filter.In the end,the effectiveness of proposed algorithms and their advantages over other algorithms are validated through several simulation experiments. 展开更多
关键词 multiple target tracking probability hypothesis density filter optimal sampling density particle filter random finite set clustering algorithm state extraction
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A novel variable-lag probability hypothesis density smoother for multi-target tracking
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作者 Li Yue Zhang Jianqiu Yin Jianjun 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2013年第4期1029-1037,共9页
It is understood that the forward-backward probability hypothesis density (PHD) smoothing algorithms proposed recently can significantly improve state estimation of targets. However, our analyses in this paper show ... It is understood that the forward-backward probability hypothesis density (PHD) smoothing algorithms proposed recently can significantly improve state estimation of targets. However, our analyses in this paper show that they cannot give a good cardinality (i.e., the number of targets) estimate. This is because backward smoothing ignores the effect of temporary track drop- ping caused by forward filtering and/or anomalous smoothing resulted from deaths of targets. To cope with such a problem, a novel PHD smoothing algorithm, called the variable-lag PHD smoother, in which a detection process used to identify whether the filtered cardinality varies within the smooth lag is added before backward smoothing, is developed here. The analytical results show that the proposed smoother can almost eliminate the influences of temporary track dropping and anomalous smoothing, while both the cardinality and the state estimations can significantly be improved. Simulation results on two multi-target tracking scenarios verify the effectiveness of the proposed smoother. 展开更多
关键词 Dynamic models probability hypothesis density (PHD) Random finite sets Smoother Target tracking
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A Set of Axioms for the Utility Theory with Rational Probabilities
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作者 刘常青 郭耀煌 《Journal of Modern Transportation》 2000年第2期205-210,共6页
Expected utility theory of Von Neumann-Morgenstern assumes that a preference order is defined for all lotteries (c1, p; c2, 1 -p) (of with probability p, c2 with probability 1 - p) for all real p, 0≤p≤1. But when th... Expected utility theory of Von Neumann-Morgenstern assumes that a preference order is defined for all lotteries (c1, p; c2, 1 -p) (of with probability p, c2 with probability 1 - p) for all real p, 0≤p≤1. But when the probability p is irrational, it is hard to interpret the lottery intuitively. The utility theory of J. C. Shepherdson is introduced based on rational probabilities in this paper. And then, this paper studies the axioms proposed by J. C. Shepherdson, and puts forward a set of alternative axioms. At last, it is shown that both sets of axioms are equivalent. 展开更多
关键词 multiplier set M-mixture set utility function rational probability?
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Outer P(ρ,σ)-set’s Random Characteristic and Application
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作者 ZHA NG Huan-li WANG Dong-mei 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 2014年第2期298-306,共9页
Based on the conception of P(ρ,σ)-set(XP ˉFρ, XPFσ), this paper studied the relation between outer P(ρ,σ)-set and outer P-set: give outer P(ρ,σ)-set and outer P-set relation theorem, outer P(ρ,σ)-set and nu... Based on the conception of P(ρ,σ)-set(XP ˉFρ, XPFσ), this paper studied the relation between outer P(ρ,σ)-set and outer P-set: give outer P(ρ,σ)-set and outer P-set relation theorem, outer P(ρ,σ)-set and numerical value σ relation theorem, outer P(ρ,σ)-set's range;studied other characteristics of outer P(ρ,σ)-set: give the finiteness theorem of outer P(ρ,σ)-set, the set chain theorem of outer P(ρ,σ)-set, the outer P(ρ,σ)-set probability interval finite partition theorem, and its corollary; also give generation, reduction, identification theorem of outer P(ρ,σ)-set, filter generation theorem of outer P(ρ,σ)-set; finally give its application. 展开更多
关键词 P-set outer P(ρ σ)-set FINITENESS finite partition probability
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The Solution to Poor Data Bank Using Rough Sets Theory 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Shilin 《工程科学(英文版)》 2006年第1期94-97,共4页
This article states the poor database which is very common when being used them. So the demanding database must be all-round, effective collection. When the offering database is poor database, it will affect the appli... This article states the poor database which is very common when being used them. So the demanding database must be all-round, effective collection. When the offering database is poor database, it will affect the application of Supporter Deciding. To this question, the author brings out one solution to solve the poor database basing on the Rough Sets Theory. It can scientifically, correctly, effectively supplement the poor database, and can offer greatly help to enforce the application of data and artificial intelligence. 展开更多
关键词 数据库 决策表 粗集理论 关联度
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经典和对偶共结果效应对前景集结果区间的依赖性:基于概率权重的视角 被引量:1
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作者 李春好 刘荣媛 刘远豪 《心理学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期398-414,I0005,I0006,共19页
已有研究发现经典共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间不出现,因而认为此时个体的决策行为符合期望效用理论(EUT)。但是,经典共结果效应不出现并不意味着违背EUT的对偶共结果效应也不出现。此外,相关研究普遍采用特定概率水平,未考察概率变化... 已有研究发现经典共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间不出现,因而认为此时个体的决策行为符合期望效用理论(EUT)。但是,经典共结果效应不出现并不意味着违背EUT的对偶共结果效应也不出现。此外,相关研究普遍采用特定概率水平,未考察概率变化后经典共结果效应是否出现。鉴于此,通过逻辑递进的两项实验探究了三个问题。其一,对偶共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间是否出现以及前景集结果区间变化对其有何影响。其二,概率变化后,经典共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间是否出现。其三,前景集结果区间对两类共结果效应的影响机理。结果发现:(1)对偶共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间不仅存在,且相较于宽前景集结果区间显著增强;(2)相较于宽前景集结果区间,经典共结果效应在窄前景集结果区间显著减弱,但仍然存在;(3)前景集结果区间通过改变个体对客观概率的风险感知(即概率权重)影响两类共结果效应。上述发现不仅驳斥了EUT适用于窄前景集结果区间的观点,揭示了决策偏好对前景集结果区间的依赖性,还从概率权重依赖前景集结果区间的视角为发展累积前景理论等非期望效用理论提供了实证依据。从实践方面,实验发现也为盲盒销售的产品设计及其调整提供了管理启示。 展开更多
关键词 风险决策 共结果效应 对偶共结果效应 前景集结果区间 概率权重
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Rough Sets Model Based on Random Fuzzy Sets and Fuzzy Logic Operators
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作者 Jialu Zhang Guojun Wang 《通讯和计算机(中英文版)》 2006年第3期11-18,24,共9页
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基于模糊故障树与蒙特卡洛仿真的消防水泵启动可靠性研究
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作者 江松林 《电工技术》 2025年第22期52-57,共6页
消防水泵作为建筑消防设施的核心设备之一,其启动可靠性会严重威胁生命财产安全。消防水泵启动可靠性影响因素复杂且具有不确定性,传统故障分析方法难以精准量化这些模糊因素,导致故障诊断与风险防控存在局限性。通过构建模糊故障树与... 消防水泵作为建筑消防设施的核心设备之一,其启动可靠性会严重威胁生命财产安全。消防水泵启动可靠性影响因素复杂且具有不确定性,传统故障分析方法难以精准量化这些模糊因素,导致故障诊断与风险防控存在局限性。通过构建模糊故障树与蒙特卡洛仿真相结合的可靠性研究模型,将模糊理论引入故障树分析,有效处理失效因素的模糊性与不确定性,结合蒙特卡洛仿真技术,通过大量随机抽样模拟失效过程,实现对消防水泵启动失效定量化分析,求解出消防水泵在特定任务时间内各底事件的重要度和失效率。仿真结果表明,底事件x_((7~12))是引起消防水泵失效的主要成因,并以此制定科学防控策略,对提升消防系统整体安全性、降低火灾事故损失具有重要的理论价值和现实意义。 展开更多
关键词 模糊故障树 蒙特卡洛仿真 模糊集合理论 失效概率 概率重要度
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广义正交模糊非概率熵测度及其应用
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作者 谭吉玉 刘青 《南昌大学学报(理科版)》 2025年第4期341-351,共11页
模糊熵是衡量不确定性的重要工具,广义正交模糊信息的不确定性包含模糊不确定性和犹豫不确定性。然而,现有的广义正交模糊熵仅考虑了其中的某一个方面,缺乏综合性研究,还存在某些特例的计算结果存在反直觉的情况。针对这一问题,首先,深... 模糊熵是衡量不确定性的重要工具,广义正交模糊信息的不确定性包含模糊不确定性和犹豫不确定性。然而,现有的广义正交模糊熵仅考虑了其中的某一个方面,缺乏综合性研究,还存在某些特例的计算结果存在反直觉的情况。针对这一问题,首先,深入分析广义正交模糊数的特点,从几何空间的角度分析不同广义正交模糊数的模糊度和犹豫度,归纳不确定性在空间中的演变规律,基于不确定性的演变规律给出了广义正交模糊非概率熵的公理化定义。然后,基于几何解释和海明距离提出广义正交模糊非概率熵测度公式,即广义正交模糊数分别与最近和最远的非模糊点之间的距离之比,并通过算例将非概率熵与现有文献中的熵测度公式进行对比分析,分析结果表明非概率熵能够有效融合模糊不确定性和犹豫不确定性,计算结果更加符合决策直觉。最后,结合TOPSIS思想和广义正交模糊非概率熵,提出了一种基于熵权法的广义正交模糊多属性决策方法,并通过实例分析验证了该方法的科学性和有效性,进一步分析了参数q对决策结果的影响。 展开更多
关键词 广义正交模糊集 非概率熵 TOPSIS
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概率区间值模糊覆盖粗糙集及其三支决策 被引量:1
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作者 金雨馨 冯涛 +1 位作者 王荣欣 张少谱 《重庆邮电大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第1期131-146,共16页
区间值模糊覆盖作为等价类的一种推广,对客观世界的描述更加准确实用。区间值模糊数可以由均值拓展而得,使其更具有解释性,基于概率的思想,对区间值模糊集的概率和条件概率进行改进,提高了概率的精确度。在区间值模糊覆盖近似空间中利... 区间值模糊覆盖作为等价类的一种推广,对客观世界的描述更加准确实用。区间值模糊数可以由均值拓展而得,使其更具有解释性,基于概率的思想,对区间值模糊集的概率和条件概率进行改进,提高了概率的精确度。在区间值模糊覆盖近似空间中利用区间模糊相似度构造了二元关系,建立了概率区间值模糊覆盖粗糙集模型,并得到了它的三分类结果。为了提高决策的准确性,研究了基于三描述的损失函数,并重新定义了期望损失函数。给出了确定模型参数的方法,基于贝叶斯最小风险决策理论建立了三支决策模型。通过实例验证了该模型的有效性。 展开更多
关键词 粗糙集 区间值模糊概率 概率区间值模糊覆盖粗糙集 区间值模糊损失函数 三支决策
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基于目标损失概率模型的银行金库安全防范系统效能评估
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作者 司广道 陈文静 +1 位作者 胡啸峰 张漂洋 《济南大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2025年第5期719-726,共8页
为了确保银行金库安全防范系统有效运行,提高整体安全水平,优化资源配置,从而降低盗窃、破坏等安全风险,借助博弈论,提出基于目标损失概率模型的银行金库安全防范系统效能评估方法;根据金融、安全防范行业相关标准与相关领域专家经验,... 为了确保银行金库安全防范系统有效运行,提高整体安全水平,优化资源配置,从而降低盗窃、破坏等安全风险,借助博弈论,提出基于目标损失概率模型的银行金库安全防范系统效能评估方法;根据金融、安全防范行业相关标准与相关领域专家经验,构建银行金库安全防范系统效能评估指标体系,采用四枝单值中智集量化和评估指标,并利用目标损失概率模型计算银行金库安全防范系统效能评估值;以某银行金库为例,验证所提出评估方法的科学性和有效性。结果表明,在最优防御资源的条件下,银行金库安全防范系统的防御资源投入仅增加11.728 8%即可使目标损失概率减小42.749 7%,科学且有效地提升了银行金库安全防范系统的防护水平。 展开更多
关键词 安全防范系统 效能评估 目标损失概率 银行金库 四枝单值中智集
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