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Enhanced minimum attribute reduction based on quantum-inspired shuffled frog leaping algorithm 被引量:3
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作者 Weiping Ding Jiandong Wang +1 位作者 Zhijin Guan Quan Shi 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2013年第3期426-434,共9页
Attribute reduction in the rough set theory is an important feature selection method, but finding a minimum attribute reduction has been proven to be a non-deterministic polynomial (NP)-hard problem. Therefore, it i... Attribute reduction in the rough set theory is an important feature selection method, but finding a minimum attribute reduction has been proven to be a non-deterministic polynomial (NP)-hard problem. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate some fast and effective approximate algorithms. A novel and enhanced quantum-inspired shuffled frog leaping based minimum attribute reduction algorithm (QSFLAR) is proposed. Evolutionary frogs are represented by multi-state quantum bits, and both quantum rotation gate and quantum mutation operators are used to exploit the mechanisms of frog population diversity and convergence to the global optimum. The decomposed attribute subsets are co-evolved by the elitist frogs with a quantum-inspired shuffled frog leaping algorithm. The experimental results validate the better feasibility and effectiveness of QSFLAR, comparing with some representa- tive algorithms. Therefore, QSFLAR can be considered as a more competitive algorithm on the efficiency and accuracy for minimum attribute reduction. 展开更多
关键词 minimum attribute reduction quantum-inspired shuf- fled frog leaping algorithm multi-state quantum bit quantum rotation gate and quantum mutation elitist frog.
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Membrane-inspired quantum shuffled frog leaping algorithm for spectrum allocation 被引量:2
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作者 Hongyuan Gao Jinlong Cao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2012年第5期679-688,共10页
To solve discrete optimization difficulty of the spectrum allocation problem,a membrane-inspired quantum shuffled frog leaping(MQSFL) algorithm is proposed.The proposed MQSFL algorithm applies the theory of membrane... To solve discrete optimization difficulty of the spectrum allocation problem,a membrane-inspired quantum shuffled frog leaping(MQSFL) algorithm is proposed.The proposed MQSFL algorithm applies the theory of membrane computing and quantum computing to the shuffled frog leaping algorithm,which is an effective discrete optimization algorithm.Then the proposed MQSFL algorithm is used to solve the spectrum allocation problem of cognitive radio systems.By hybridizing the quantum frog colony optimization and membrane computing,the quantum state and observation state of the quantum frogs can be well evolved within the membrane structure.The novel spectrum allocation algorithm can search the global optimal solution within a reasonable computation time.Simulation results for three utility functions of a cognitive radio system are provided to show that the MQSFL spectrum allocation method is superior to some previous spectrum allocation algorithms based on intelligence computing. 展开更多
关键词 quantum shuffled frog leaping algorithm membrane computing spectrum allocation cognitive radio
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Improved Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm Optimizing Integral Separated PID Control for Unmanned Hypersonic Vehicle 被引量:2
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作者 梁冰冰 江驹 +1 位作者 甄子洋 马坤 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2015年第1期110-114,共5页
To solve the flight control problem for unmanned hypersonic vehicles,a novel intelligent optimized control method is proposed.A flight control system based on integral separated proportional-integral-derivative(PID)co... To solve the flight control problem for unmanned hypersonic vehicles,a novel intelligent optimized control method is proposed.A flight control system based on integral separated proportional-integral-derivative(PID)control is designed for hypersonic vehicle,and an improved shuffled frog leaping algorithm is presented to optimize the control parameters.A nonlinear model of hypersonic vehicle is established to examine the dynamic characteristics achieved by the flight control system.Simulation results demonstrate that the proposed optimized controller can effectively achieve better flight control performance than the traditional controller. 展开更多
关键词 hypersonic vehicles flight control shuffled frog leaping algorithm unmanned aerial vehicles(UAVs)
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Shuffled frog leaping algorithm with non-dominated sorting for dynamic weapon-target assignment 被引量:2
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作者 ZHAO Yang LIU Jicheng +1 位作者 JIANG Ju ZHEN Ziyang 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第4期1007-1019,共13页
The dynamic weapon target assignment(DWTA)problem is of great significance in modern air combat.However,DWTA is a highly complex constrained multi-objective combinatorial optimization problem.An improved elitist non-d... The dynamic weapon target assignment(DWTA)problem is of great significance in modern air combat.However,DWTA is a highly complex constrained multi-objective combinatorial optimization problem.An improved elitist non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II(NSGA-II)called the non-dominated shuffled frog leaping algorithm(NSFLA)is proposed to maximize damage to enemy targets and minimize the self-threat in air combat constraints.In NSFLA,the shuffled frog leaping algorithm(SFLA)is introduced to NSGA-II to replace the inside evolutionary scheme of the genetic algorithm(GA),displaying low optimization speed and heterogeneous space search defects.Two improvements have also been raised to promote the internal optimization performance of SFLA.Firstly,the local evolution scheme,a novel crossover mechanism,ensures that each individual participates in updating instead of only the worst ones,which can expand the diversity of the population.Secondly,a discrete adaptive mutation algorithm based on the function change rate is applied to balance the global and local search.Finally,the scheme is verified in various air combat scenarios.The results show that the proposed NSFLA has apparent advantages in solution quality and efficiency,especially in many aircraft and the dynamic air combat environment. 展开更多
关键词 dynamic weapon-target assignment(DWTA)problem shuffled frog leaping algorithm(SFLA) air combat research
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Modified Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm for Solving Economic Load Dispatch Problem 被引量:2
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作者 Priyanka Roy A. Chakrabarti 《Energy and Power Engineering》 2011年第4期551-556,共6页
In the recent restructured power system scenario and complex market strategy, operation at absolute minimum cost is no longer the only criterion for dispatching electric power. The economic load dispatch (ELD) problem... In the recent restructured power system scenario and complex market strategy, operation at absolute minimum cost is no longer the only criterion for dispatching electric power. The economic load dispatch (ELD) problem which accounts for minimization of both generation cost and power loss is itself a multiple conflicting objective function problem. In this paper, a modified shuffled frog-leaping algorithm (MSFLA), which is an improved version of memetic algorithm, is proposed for solving the ELD problem. It is a relatively new evolutionary method where local search is applied during the evolutionary cycle. The idea of memetic algorithm comes from memes, which unlike genes can adapt themselves. The performance of MSFLA has been shown more efficient than traditional evolutionary algorithms for such type of ELD problem. The application and validity of the proposed algorithm are demonstrated for IEEE 30 bus test system as well as a practical power network of 203 bus 264 lines 23 machines system. 展开更多
关键词 ECONOMIC Load DISPATCH Modified Shuffled FROG leaping ALGORITHM GENETIC ALGORITHM
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Control Strategy for a Quadrotor Based on a Memetic Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm 被引量:1
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作者 Nour Ben Ammar Hegazy Rezk Soufiene Bouallègue 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第6期4081-4100,共20页
This work presents a memetic Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm(SFLA)based tuning approach of an Integral Sliding Mode Controller(ISMC)for a quadrotor type of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAV).Based on the Newton–Euler form... This work presents a memetic Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm(SFLA)based tuning approach of an Integral Sliding Mode Controller(ISMC)for a quadrotor type of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles(UAV).Based on the Newton–Euler formalism,a nonlinear dynamic model of the studied quadrotor is firstly established for control design purposes.Since the main parameters of the ISMC design are the gains of the sliding surfaces and signum functions of the switching control law,which are usually selected by repetitive and time-consuming trials-errors based procedures,a constrained optimization problem is formulated for the systematically tuning of these unknown variables.Under time-domain operating constraints,such an optimization-based tuning problem is effectively solved using the proposed SFLA metaheuristic with an empirical comparison to other evolutionary computation-and swarm intelligence-based algorithms such as the Crow Search Algorithm(CSA),Fractional Particle Swarm Optimization Memetic Algorithm(FPSOMA),Ant Bee Colony(ABC)and Harmony Search Algorithm(HSA).Numerical experiments are carried out for various sets of algorithms’parameters to achieve optimal gains of the sliding mode controllers for the altitude and attitude dynamics stabilization.Comparative studies revealed that the SFLA is a competitive and easily implemented algorithm with high performance in terms of robustness and non-premature convergence.Demonstrative results verified that the proposed metaheuristicsbased approach is a promising alternative for the systematic tuning of the effective design parameters in the integral sliding mode control framework. 展开更多
关键词 QUADROTOR MODELING integral sliding mode control gains tuning advanced metaheuristics memetic algorithms shuffled frog leaping algorithm
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Sequencing of Mixed Model Assembly Lines Based on Improved Shuffled Frog Leaping Algorithm 被引量:1
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作者 ZHAO Xiaoqiang JI Shurong 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2018年第2期154-159,共6页
Shuffled frog leaping algorithm( SFLA) was used to solve multi-objective sequencing problem of mixed model assembly line( MMAL). Local convergence can be avoided and optimal solution can be obtained to a certain exten... Shuffled frog leaping algorithm( SFLA) was used to solve multi-objective sequencing problem of mixed model assembly line( MMAL). Local convergence can be avoided and optimal solution can be obtained to a certain extent. However,the multi-objective sequencing problem of MMAL is an non-deterministic polynomial hard( NP-hard) problem and the shortcomings are slow convergence rate and low precision. To solve the shortcomings for optimization objectives of minimizing total utility time and keeping average consumption rate of parts, a chaos differential evolution SFLA( CDESFLA) is proposed in this study. Because SFLA is easy to fall into local optimum,the evolution operator of differential evolution algorithms is introduced in SFLA as a local search strategy,and differential mutation operator is introduced in chaotic sequence to prevent premature convergence. The examples show that the proposed CDESFLA is better for convergence accuracy than SFLA,genetic algorithm( GA) and particle swarm optimization( PSO) 展开更多
关键词 MIXED model ASSEMBLY LINE (MMAL) SEQUENCING shuffledfrog leaping ALGORITHM (SFLA) CHAOS optimization differentialevolution ALGORITHM
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Quantitative algorithm for airborne gamma spectrum of large sample based on improved shuffled frog leaping-particle swarm optimization convolutional neural network 被引量:1
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作者 Fei Li Xiao-Fei Huang +5 位作者 Yue-Lu Chen Bing-Hai Li Tang Wang Feng Cheng Guo-Qiang Zeng Mu-Hao Zhang 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第7期242-252,共11页
In airborne gamma ray spectrum processing,different analysis methods,technical requirements,analysis models,and calculation methods need to be established.To meet the engineering practice requirements of airborne gamm... In airborne gamma ray spectrum processing,different analysis methods,technical requirements,analysis models,and calculation methods need to be established.To meet the engineering practice requirements of airborne gamma-ray measurements and improve computational efficiency,an improved shuffled frog leaping algorithm-particle swarm optimization convolutional neural network(SFLA-PSO CNN)for large-sample quantitative analysis of airborne gamma-ray spectra is proposed herein.This method was used to train the weight of the neural network,optimize the structure of the network,delete redundant connections,and enable the neural network to acquire the capability of quantitative spectrum processing.In full-spectrum data processing,this method can perform the functions of energy spectrum peak searching and peak area calculations.After network training,the mean SNR and RMSE of the spectral lines were 31.27 and 2.75,respectively,satisfying the demand for noise reduction.To test the processing ability of the algorithm in large samples of airborne gamma spectra,this study considered the measured data from the Saihangaobi survey area as an example to conduct data spectral analysis.The results show that calculation of the single-peak area takes only 0.13~0.15 ms,and the average relative errors of the peak area in the U,Th,and K spectra are 3.11,9.50,and 6.18%,indicating the high processing efficiency and accuracy of this algorithm.The performance of the model can be further improved by optimizing related parameters,but it can already meet the requirements of practical engineering measurement.This study provides a new idea for the full-spectrum processing of airborne gamma rays. 展开更多
关键词 Large sample Airborne gamma spectrum(AGS) Shuffled frog leaping algorithm(SFLA) Particle swarm optimization(PSO) Convolutional neural network(CNN)
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Leaping prediction oftwo big earthquakes MS>7 in 1996~1997
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作者 ZENG JIAN GUO Earthquake Research Institute of Lanzhou, China Seismological Bureau, Lanzhou 730000, China 《Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition)》 CSCD 1998年第6期117-119,共3页
n1991,wefoundhistoricalbigearthquakeactivitiesalongthelatitudelineof35°inChinahaveaperiodof60yearsanditsmu... n1991,wefoundhistoricalbigearthquakeactivitiesalongthelatitudelineof35°inChinahaveaperiodof60yearsanditsmultiple,theepicenter... 展开更多
关键词 leaping prediction latitude line of 35° big earthquake INTER sective region
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Test Case Prioritization in Unit and Integration Testing:A Shuffled-Frog-Leaping Approach
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作者 Atulya Gupta Rajendra Prasad Mahapatra 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第3期5369-5387,共19页
Both unit and integration testing are incredibly crucial for almost any software application because each of them operates a distinct process to examine the product.Due to resource constraints,when software is subject... Both unit and integration testing are incredibly crucial for almost any software application because each of them operates a distinct process to examine the product.Due to resource constraints,when software is subjected to modifications,the drastic increase in the count of test cases forces the testers to opt for a test optimization strategy.One such strategy is test case prioritization(TCP).Existing works have propounded various methodologies that re-order the system-level test cases intending to boost either the fault detection capabilities or the coverage efficacy at the earliest.Nonetheless,singularity in objective functions and the lack of dissimilitude among the re-ordered test sequences have degraded the cogency of their approaches.Considering such gaps and scenarios when the meteoric and continuous updations in the software make the intensive unit and integration testing process more fragile,this study has introduced a memetics-inspired methodology for TCP.The proposed structure is first embedded with diverse parameters,and then traditional steps of the shuffled-frog-leaping approach(SFLA)are followed to prioritize the test cases at unit and integration levels.On 5 standard test functions,a comparative analysis is conducted between the established algorithms and the proposed approach,where the latter enhances the coverage rate and fault detection of re-ordered test sets.Investigation results related to the mean average percentage of fault detection(APFD)confirmed that the proposed approach exceeds the memetic,basic multi-walk,PSO,and optimized multi-walk by 21.7%,13.99%,12.24%,and 11.51%,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Test case prioritization unit testing shuffled frog leaping approach memetic based optimization algorithm integration testing
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A ε-indicator-based shuffled frog leaping algorithm for many-objective optimization problems
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作者 WANG Na SU Yuchao +2 位作者 CHEN Xiaohong LI Xia LIU Dui 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2020年第1期142-155,共14页
Many-objective optimization problems take challenges to multi-objective evolutionary algorithms.A number of nondominated solutions in population cause a difficult selection towards the Pareto front.To tackle this issu... Many-objective optimization problems take challenges to multi-objective evolutionary algorithms.A number of nondominated solutions in population cause a difficult selection towards the Pareto front.To tackle this issue,a series of indicatorbased multi-objective evolutionary algorithms(MOEAs)have been proposed to guide the evolution progress and shown promising performance.This paper proposes an indicator-based manyobjective evolutionary algorithm calledε-indicator-based shuffled frog leaping algorithm(ε-MaOSFLA),which adopts the shuffled frog leaping algorithm as an evolutionary strategy and a simple and effectiveε-indicator as a fitness assignment scheme to press the population towards the Pareto front.Compared with four stateof-the-art MOEAs on several standard test problems with up to 50 objectives,the experimental results show thatε-MaOSFLA outperforms the competitors. 展开更多
关键词 evolutionary algorithm many-objective optimization shuffled frog leaping algorithm(SFLA) ε-indicator
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White Rabbit Leaping Toward a New Field
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作者 He Xiaoying 《China's Foreign Trade》 1997年第4期32-32,共1页
You may still remember the story about the race between the big white rabbit and little tortoise, in which the over-proud rabbit lost. However, the White Rabbit toffees produced by the Shanghai Guansheng Yuan (Group) ... You may still remember the story about the race between the big white rabbit and little tortoise, in which the over-proud rabbit lost. However, the White Rabbit toffees produced by the Shanghai Guansheng Yuan (Group) Co., Ltd. are famous-brand products in China. This White Rabbit not only is the cham- 展开更多
关键词 OVER Co White Rabbit leaping Toward a New Field
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基于LEAP模型的天津市多情景能源消费和碳排放预测 被引量:7
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作者 李宝珠 刘雅洁 张少聪 《环境科学》 北大核心 2025年第3期1492-1501,共10页
双碳目标对中国的能源消费及碳排放提出了要求.以天津市为例,根据不同能源类型,编制碳排放清单,采用对数平均指数法(LMDI),精准识别各因素对碳排放的驱动程度.基于此,结合情景分析,构建LEAP-TJ模型,探究天津市2022~2060年终端能源消费... 双碳目标对中国的能源消费及碳排放提出了要求.以天津市为例,根据不同能源类型,编制碳排放清单,采用对数平均指数法(LMDI),精准识别各因素对碳排放的驱动程度.基于此,结合情景分析,构建LEAP-TJ模型,探究天津市2022~2060年终端能源消费和碳排放趋势.结果表明,经济规模是天津市终端碳排放增长的第一主导因素.能源消费和碳排放将在基准情景下继续增加,2060年的碳排放将是2021年的2.7倍;但在综合情景下,天津市将在2025年实现终端碳达峰,并将在2060年较基准情景碳排放量下降85.1%,碳减排效果显著. 展开更多
关键词 LEAP模型 碳排放 能源消费 LMDI模型 情景分析
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湖南省电力行业碳排放预测及减排路径
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作者 曹伟 赵宣茗 +1 位作者 张佳诚 裘智峰 《新型电力系统》 2025年第3期249-262,共14页
为精准测算湖南省电力行业碳排放水平并探索切实可行的碳减排路径,构建了湖南省电力行业能源需求与碳排放核算框架LEAP-Hunan,结合不同的碳减排措施,设置多情景对比方案,模拟不同路径下湖南省电力行业碳排放演变趋势,并对各减排措施的... 为精准测算湖南省电力行业碳排放水平并探索切实可行的碳减排路径,构建了湖南省电力行业能源需求与碳排放核算框架LEAP-Hunan,结合不同的碳减排措施,设置多情景对比方案,模拟不同路径下湖南省电力行业碳排放演变趋势,并对各减排措施的减排潜力、减排成本进行量化分析。研究结果表明,综合各减排措施情景下,湖南省电力行业二氧化碳排放量预计于2030年达到峰值122.48百万t,2060年降至−3.18百万t,顺利实现双碳目标,其中2060年装机结构调整、煤电改造和加装CCS技术的减排贡献率分别为65.70%、0.85%和33.45%。研究不仅为湖南省电力行业发展提供政策建议,而且为中国其他能源匮乏型省份实现电力行业低碳转型提供方法指导。 展开更多
关键词 LEAP模型 电力行业 情景分析 碳减排措施
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基于LEAP模型的山西省能源活动领域碳达峰路径 被引量:7
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作者 贾晶迪 王飞 +3 位作者 张圆圆 成怀刚 吴海滨 高阳艳 《环境科学》 北大核心 2025年第5期2837-2851,共15页
“双碳”目标背景下,针对山西省能源活动碳达峰路径进行模拟开展省级层面的减排措施和政策研究,对处于资源型经济演进阶段的山西省来说刻不容缓.以山西省能源活动领域碳排放为核算范围,2020年为基准年建立LEAP模型,在此基础上外推至2060... “双碳”目标背景下,针对山西省能源活动碳达峰路径进行模拟开展省级层面的减排措施和政策研究,对处于资源型经济演进阶段的山西省来说刻不容缓.以山西省能源活动领域碳排放为核算范围,2020年为基准年建立LEAP模型,在此基础上外推至2060年,模拟计算了山西省碳排放量,及其未来40 a内的动态演变趋势.基准情景下,山西省预计在2030年之前难以实现碳达峰;同步达峰情景下,2030年能源消费总量(以标煤计)预计为411.26×10^(6)t,碳排放量为(以CO_(2)计)751.05×10^(6)t,有望达到碳排放峰值;引领达峰情景下,碳达峰时间将提前至2028年,届时能源消费总量预计为399.03×10^(6)t,碳排放量将达到675.22×10^(6)t.此外,在基准情景下,单位GDP能耗强度与单位GDP碳排放强度若要如期实现达峰的目标有一定难度,但通过采用更加节能高效的设备和技术、积极推动可再生能源的发展、降低对化石燃料的依赖程度等措施,可有效地降低能源消耗和碳排放量.在同步达峰情景与引领达峰情景的设想中,均能够成功达成《山西省国民经济和社会发展第十四个五年规划和2035年远景目标纲要》中所设定的约束性指标,显示出山西省在积极应对气候变化和推动绿色发展的道路上具备实现既定目标的能力和潜力. 展开更多
关键词 LEAP模型 能源活动 山西省 碳达峰 碳减排
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常德市碳排放驱动因素和基于LEAP模型的碳达峰路径研究
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作者 陈业强 周若琛 徐欣颖 《环境生态学》 2025年第6期130-134,共5页
尽早实现碳达峰碳中和是中共中央和国务院做出的重大战略决策。本研究基于2015—2020年数据调查,开展了常德市碳排放驱动因素研究和碳达峰情景预测,结果表明:常德市碳排放增长拉动因素主要为人均GDP、能源碳强度;能源领域和工业领域对... 尽早实现碳达峰碳中和是中共中央和国务院做出的重大战略决策。本研究基于2015—2020年数据调查,开展了常德市碳排放驱动因素研究和碳达峰情景预测,结果表明:常德市碳排放增长拉动因素主要为人均GDP、能源碳强度;能源领域和工业领域对碳达峰的贡献最大,占比过半;基准情景于2030年达到峰值3148万t CO_(2),达峰情景于2027年达到峰值2932万t CO_(2),碳中和情景于2025年达到峰值2922万t CO_(2);交通领域最先碳达峰;需要重点对电力、建材、私家车和公路货运、公共建筑和住宅提出减碳要求。 展开更多
关键词 碳达峰路径研究 碳排放驱动因素 LEAP模型 Kaya恒等式 情景分析 常德市
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武汉市碳排放和时空管控策略研究
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作者 李海英 蒋傲梅 《沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版)》 2025年第2期153-160,共8页
随着“双碳”政策的提出,节能减排已成为全社会关注的重点。研究基于2010—2022年夜间灯光遥感数据,反推出武汉市的碳排放量数据,通过空间自相关模型,对武汉市碳排放空间分布特征进行了分析,基于长期能源规划替代模型(Long-range Energy... 随着“双碳”政策的提出,节能减排已成为全社会关注的重点。研究基于2010—2022年夜间灯光遥感数据,反推出武汉市的碳排放量数据,通过空间自相关模型,对武汉市碳排放空间分布特征进行了分析,基于长期能源规划替代模型(Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System,LEAP),从居民生活、农业、工业、建筑业、第三产业、交通运输等方面对于武汉市的碳排放情况进行了定量研究,并开展了基准情景和节能情景分析,提出了针对性的策略。 展开更多
关键词 夜间灯光数据 LEAP模型 碳排放 情景分析
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技术创新驱动下的陕西交通业低碳路径研究
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作者 许建 张奕奕 +1 位作者 闫一凡 宋洁 《技术与创新管理》 2025年第5期509-518,528,共11页
交通业已成为全国能源消耗和碳排放的第三大重要领域,陕西省交通运输业发展迅速。为实现“双碳”目标,亟须推动省内交通行业的低碳发展。基于陕西省交通业2022年各能源使用终端的数据,构建了陕西交通业低碳排放LEAP模型,将陕西交通业分... 交通业已成为全国能源消耗和碳排放的第三大重要领域,陕西省交通运输业发展迅速。为实现“双碳”目标,亟须推动省内交通行业的低碳发展。基于陕西省交通业2022年各能源使用终端的数据,构建了陕西交通业低碳排放LEAP模型,将陕西交通业分为城际客运、货运和城市客运三大部门,预测了未来不同情景下(政策情景、2℃情景及技术创新情景)陕西交通业的能源需求及碳排放,并分析了减排潜力。为“十五五”规划的制定提供参考。结果表明:陕西交通业碳达峰时间出现在2030-2040年之间,峰值规模约在5160~5500万吨之间;货物运输是陕西交通业碳排放的主要来源,达到交通部门碳排放量76%左右;技术创新情景下碳排放强度下降3.2%,可实现陕西交通“十四五”规划中交通碳排放强度规划目标。基于此,为实现“双碳”目标,陕西省在制定“十五五”交通规划时,应重点推进以下工作:鼓励技术创新及应用,优化运输结构,构建绿色低碳交通网络,发展智慧交通系统。 展开更多
关键词 “双碳”目标 陕西交通业 技术创新 LEAP模型 情景分析法 低碳路径
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基于LEAP模型的安徽省H市碳排放及低碳发展路径研究 被引量:3
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作者 杨满意 吴蕾 +3 位作者 朱魏炜 岳正波 王晓辉 钱靖 《环境污染与防治》 北大核心 2025年第4期153-160,I0008,共9页
采用LEAP模型对安徽省H市2021—2050年的能源消费量和碳排放量进行预测。根据减排措施实施力度,设置基准情景、低碳情景和强化低碳情景,分析措施的减排贡献率,从而为H市探索低碳发展路径。结果表明:3个情景下,H市分别于2031、2029、202... 采用LEAP模型对安徽省H市2021—2050年的能源消费量和碳排放量进行预测。根据减排措施实施力度,设置基准情景、低碳情景和强化低碳情景,分析措施的减排贡献率,从而为H市探索低碳发展路径。结果表明:3个情景下,H市分别于2031、2029、2021年碳达峰;基准情景和低碳情景难以实现“双碳”目标,只有强化低碳情景才有望实现“双碳”目标。就减排贡献率而言,电力清洁化、电气化和能耗强度降低对H市碳减排起到关键作用,减排贡献率分别达到44.20%、24.76%、22.12%。为实现低碳发展,H市应提高能源终端需求部门电气化率,提升电力清洁化程度,降低用能设备的能耗强度。 展开更多
关键词 LEAP模型 碳排放 情景分析 低碳发展
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基于LMDI和LEAP模型的山西省碳排放影响因素及预测 被引量:4
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作者 李姗姗 费翔 +2 位作者 董洪光 马雨晴 姜佩 《中国环境科学》 北大核心 2025年第7期4052-4063,共12页
基于IPCC方法测算了山西省2010~2022年的碳排放量,通过构建Kaya-LMDI模型识别出影响山西省碳排放的主要因素,以2022年为基准年建立了LEAP-Shanxi模型,对山西省2023~2060年的碳排放量进行预测.结果表明:经济发展水平效应是山西省碳排放... 基于IPCC方法测算了山西省2010~2022年的碳排放量,通过构建Kaya-LMDI模型识别出影响山西省碳排放的主要因素,以2022年为基准年建立了LEAP-Shanxi模型,对山西省2023~2060年的碳排放量进行预测.结果表明:经济发展水平效应是山西省碳排放增长的关键促进因素,而能源强度效应是关键抑制因素;至2060年,在工业节能增效情景、交通低碳转型情景、新能源需求加速情景和电力结构优化情景下节能降碳效果更为显著,分别使对应部门碳排放量降低42.16,3.21,1.38和31.73Mt;在基准情景和综合情景下,山西省均能在2030年达到碳达峰,碳排放量分别为764.33和742.34Mt.而综合情景与基准情景在2060年相比,减排107.42Mt的碳排放量.研究结果可为山西省提供有效的低碳发展理论依据以制定相关降碳减排措施. 展开更多
关键词 碳排放 LMDI模型 LEAP模型 情景预测
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