In the era of the digital economy,digital trade has demonstrated strong vitality,becoming a crucial driving force for the highquality development of national and regional economies.However,understanding the resilience...In the era of the digital economy,digital trade has demonstrated strong vitality,becoming a crucial driving force for the highquality development of national and regional economies.However,understanding the resilience of digital trade in the face of external crises is an important topic.Taking the backdrop of Sino-US trade friction,this paper constructs a resilience index system for digital trade.It utilizes entropy method,kernel density estimation,and ArcGIS mapping to calculate and visually analyze the resilience of China’s digital trade from 2017 to 2021.Additionally,a Tobit model is constructed to explore the main influencing factors of digital trade resilience patterns.The research findings indicate:1)temporally,during the period of Sino-US trade friction,China’s digital trade resilience shows an overall upward trend,but there are regional differences in resilience levels across the country,with a severe polarization phenomenon.2)Spatially,high resilience is observed in the eastern and central regions of China,while the western and northeastern regions exhibit low resilience.3)From a dimensional perspective,the resistance of digital trade resilience displays a spatial distribution of high values in the east and low values in the west.The recovery force is aggregated along coastal areas,and the renewal force tends to aggregate along the eastern coastline.4)Factors such as economic scale,industrial structure,urbanization rate,government fiscal expenditure,and technological talents significantly promote the enhancement of digital trade resilience.This study reveals the dynamic characteristics and influencing factors of digital trade resilience in responding to external shocks,providing theoretical basis and policy suggestions for enhancing digital trade resilience,and promoting high-quality economic development in China.展开更多
Trade friction between China and US have escalated,commodities involved in China-US trade is being affected.China is important import and export market for fragrance and flavor.The United States is the third largest i...Trade friction between China and US have escalated,commodities involved in China-US trade is being affected.China is important import and export market for fragrance and flavor.The United States is the third largest importer and the largest exporter of China’s fragrance and flavor commodities.This round of tariff increasing has important impact on China’s fragrance and flavor trade.In the review,development of China’s fragrance and flavor industry and the situation of their imports and exports,especially trade between China and US,are briefly introduced;focusing on the tariff increasing of fragrance and flavor products between the two countries,the impact of trade friction to the industry is anticipated.展开更多
Under the background of Sino-US trade friction,soybean,as an important variety in the important and export trade of agricultural products,has become a key bargaining chip. After the Ministry of Commerce of China annou...Under the background of Sino-US trade friction,soybean,as an important variety in the important and export trade of agricultural products,has become a key bargaining chip. After the Ministry of Commerce of China announced the counter list of agricultural products including soybean,the price fluctuations of domestic soybean and related agricultural products are rapidly expanding. Under the background of SinoUS trade friction,taking the soybean-producing areas in Heilongjiang as an example,the impact of Sino-US trade friction on the important and export pattern of soybean in Heilongjiang was explored to provide a certain theoretical basis for the development of soybean industry in Heilongjiang.展开更多
In March 2018,the US used an immense trade deficit as an excuse to provoke trade friction with China.This study uses the EGARCH model and event study methods to study the impact of the major risk event of Sino-US trad...In March 2018,the US used an immense trade deficit as an excuse to provoke trade friction with China.This study uses the EGARCH model and event study methods to study the impact of the major risk event of Sino-US trade friction on soybean futures markets in China and the United States.Results indicate that the Sino-US trade friction weakened the return spillover effect between the soybean futures markets in China and the US,and significantly increased market volatilities.As the scale of additional tariffs increased,the volatility of the Chinese soybean futures market declined;however,the volatility of the US soybean futures market did not weaken.In addition,expanding the sources of soybean imports helped ease the impact of tariffs on China's soybean futures market,while the decline in US soybean exports to China intensified the volatility of the US soybean futures market.In addition,while the release of multiple tariff increases has had a short-termimpact on the returns of soybean futures markets,the impact of trade friction has grad-ually decreased.展开更多
When China announced that it would “seal customs operations” in Hainan,the phrase travelled poorly beyond its borders. To many foreign readers, the term sounds defensive, even restrictive—as if an island were being...When China announced that it would “seal customs operations” in Hainan,the phrase travelled poorly beyond its borders. To many foreign readers, the term sounds defensive, even restrictive—as if an island were being closed off at a time when the global economy urgently needs openness.From Southeast Asia, however, the policy looks less like retreat and more like revelation.It shines light on how China’s understanding of openness has evolved—shaped not by slogans, but by the trade frictions of recent years. What is unfolding in Hainan is not an attempt to close an island, but an effort to define,with unusual precision, where openness begins and how it is sustained.展开更多
中美贸易摩擦导致中国对外直接投资(outward foreign direct investment,OFDI)面临巨大的不确定性。现有研究多采用回归分析识别中国OFDI的影响因素,其主要关注单变量的净效应,难以揭示多条件交互下中国OFDI区位选择路径,同时也缺乏中...中美贸易摩擦导致中国对外直接投资(outward foreign direct investment,OFDI)面临巨大的不确定性。现有研究多采用回归分析识别中国OFDI的影响因素,其主要关注单变量的净效应,难以揭示多条件交互下中国OFDI区位选择路径,同时也缺乏中美贸易摩擦等新时代背景下的探讨。论文运用模糊集定性比较分析,探讨中美贸易摩擦背景下东道国多维距离、市场潜力与要素禀赋对中国OFDI区位选择的联动效应。研究发现:(1)贸易摩擦前识别出4条路径,而贸易摩擦发生后识别出3条路径,中美贸易摩擦发生前后的区位选择路径存在差异。(2)贸易摩擦发生前创新水平最为重要,而贸易摩擦发生后,市场规模和自然资源成为重要因素。政治距离和市场开放的重要性上升,而创新水平与经济自由的作用有所弱化。(3)市场规模、要素禀赋及政治距离对资本密集型OFDI的影响更强,而技术密集型OFDI主要受到自然资源和经济自由的影响。该研究既弥补了传统研究未能基于组态视角分析中国OFDI区位选择路径的理论空白,也为新时期中国高水平实施“走出去”战略提供决策依据。展开更多
With finance upheaval endlessly and global economic environment become more complex, the trading disputes among the western developed countries is more, and this kind of tendency is dangerous to the prospect of the wo...With finance upheaval endlessly and global economic environment become more complex, the trading disputes among the western developed countries is more, and this kind of tendency is dangerous to the prospect of the world economic growth. This paper tries to analyze the major reasons of the intense trading friction between America and Japan and the countermeasures two sides took. Since the trading friction between America and Japan began from the middle of the 1950s, it never be disconnected, and escalate constantly.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42471205)the General Scientific Research Project of Zhejiang Provincial Department of Education(No.2024JYTYB12)the Philosophy and Social Science Planning Project of Zhejiang Province(No.23NDJC109YB)。
文摘In the era of the digital economy,digital trade has demonstrated strong vitality,becoming a crucial driving force for the highquality development of national and regional economies.However,understanding the resilience of digital trade in the face of external crises is an important topic.Taking the backdrop of Sino-US trade friction,this paper constructs a resilience index system for digital trade.It utilizes entropy method,kernel density estimation,and ArcGIS mapping to calculate and visually analyze the resilience of China’s digital trade from 2017 to 2021.Additionally,a Tobit model is constructed to explore the main influencing factors of digital trade resilience patterns.The research findings indicate:1)temporally,during the period of Sino-US trade friction,China’s digital trade resilience shows an overall upward trend,but there are regional differences in resilience levels across the country,with a severe polarization phenomenon.2)Spatially,high resilience is observed in the eastern and central regions of China,while the western and northeastern regions exhibit low resilience.3)From a dimensional perspective,the resistance of digital trade resilience displays a spatial distribution of high values in the east and low values in the west.The recovery force is aggregated along coastal areas,and the renewal force tends to aggregate along the eastern coastline.4)Factors such as economic scale,industrial structure,urbanization rate,government fiscal expenditure,and technological talents significantly promote the enhancement of digital trade resilience.This study reveals the dynamic characteristics and influencing factors of digital trade resilience in responding to external shocks,providing theoretical basis and policy suggestions for enhancing digital trade resilience,and promoting high-quality economic development in China.
文摘Trade friction between China and US have escalated,commodities involved in China-US trade is being affected.China is important import and export market for fragrance and flavor.The United States is the third largest importer and the largest exporter of China’s fragrance and flavor commodities.This round of tariff increasing has important impact on China’s fragrance and flavor trade.In the review,development of China’s fragrance and flavor industry and the situation of their imports and exports,especially trade between China and US,are briefly introduced;focusing on the tariff increasing of fragrance and flavor products between the two countries,the impact of trade friction to the industry is anticipated.
基金Supported by Tianjin Third National Agricultural Census Project (TJ2016NP023)
文摘Under the background of Sino-US trade friction,soybean,as an important variety in the important and export trade of agricultural products,has become a key bargaining chip. After the Ministry of Commerce of China announced the counter list of agricultural products including soybean,the price fluctuations of domestic soybean and related agricultural products are rapidly expanding. Under the background of SinoUS trade friction,taking the soybean-producing areas in Heilongjiang as an example,the impact of Sino-US trade friction on the important and export pattern of soybean in Heilongjiang was explored to provide a certain theoretical basis for the development of soybean industry in Heilongjiang.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[71873022].
文摘In March 2018,the US used an immense trade deficit as an excuse to provoke trade friction with China.This study uses the EGARCH model and event study methods to study the impact of the major risk event of Sino-US trade friction on soybean futures markets in China and the United States.Results indicate that the Sino-US trade friction weakened the return spillover effect between the soybean futures markets in China and the US,and significantly increased market volatilities.As the scale of additional tariffs increased,the volatility of the Chinese soybean futures market declined;however,the volatility of the US soybean futures market did not weaken.In addition,expanding the sources of soybean imports helped ease the impact of tariffs on China's soybean futures market,while the decline in US soybean exports to China intensified the volatility of the US soybean futures market.In addition,while the release of multiple tariff increases has had a short-termimpact on the returns of soybean futures markets,the impact of trade friction has grad-ually decreased.
文摘When China announced that it would “seal customs operations” in Hainan,the phrase travelled poorly beyond its borders. To many foreign readers, the term sounds defensive, even restrictive—as if an island were being closed off at a time when the global economy urgently needs openness.From Southeast Asia, however, the policy looks less like retreat and more like revelation.It shines light on how China’s understanding of openness has evolved—shaped not by slogans, but by the trade frictions of recent years. What is unfolding in Hainan is not an attempt to close an island, but an effort to define,with unusual precision, where openness begins and how it is sustained.
文摘中美贸易摩擦导致中国对外直接投资(outward foreign direct investment,OFDI)面临巨大的不确定性。现有研究多采用回归分析识别中国OFDI的影响因素,其主要关注单变量的净效应,难以揭示多条件交互下中国OFDI区位选择路径,同时也缺乏中美贸易摩擦等新时代背景下的探讨。论文运用模糊集定性比较分析,探讨中美贸易摩擦背景下东道国多维距离、市场潜力与要素禀赋对中国OFDI区位选择的联动效应。研究发现:(1)贸易摩擦前识别出4条路径,而贸易摩擦发生后识别出3条路径,中美贸易摩擦发生前后的区位选择路径存在差异。(2)贸易摩擦发生前创新水平最为重要,而贸易摩擦发生后,市场规模和自然资源成为重要因素。政治距离和市场开放的重要性上升,而创新水平与经济自由的作用有所弱化。(3)市场规模、要素禀赋及政治距离对资本密集型OFDI的影响更强,而技术密集型OFDI主要受到自然资源和经济自由的影响。该研究既弥补了传统研究未能基于组态视角分析中国OFDI区位选择路径的理论空白,也为新时期中国高水平实施“走出去”战略提供决策依据。
文摘With finance upheaval endlessly and global economic environment become more complex, the trading disputes among the western developed countries is more, and this kind of tendency is dangerous to the prospect of the world economic growth. This paper tries to analyze the major reasons of the intense trading friction between America and Japan and the countermeasures two sides took. Since the trading friction between America and Japan began from the middle of the 1950s, it never be disconnected, and escalate constantly.
