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Atmospheric Warming Slowdown during 1998-2013 Associated with Increasing Ocean Heat Content 被引量:5
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作者 Changyu LI Jianping HUANG +2 位作者 Yongli HE Dongdong LI Lei DING 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第11期1188-1202,I0006,I0007,I0008,I0009,I0010,I0011,共21页
Although atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continuously increased, there was relatively little change in global-averaged surface temperatures from 1998 to 2013, which is known as atmospheric warming slowdown. ... Although atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations continuously increased, there was relatively little change in global-averaged surface temperatures from 1998 to 2013, which is known as atmospheric warming slowdown. For further understanding the mechanism involved, we explored the energy redistribution between the atmosphere and ocean in different latitudes and depths by using data analysis as well as simulations of a coupled atmosphere–ocean box model. The results revealed that, compared with observational changes of ocean heat content (OHC) associated with rapid warming, the OHC changes related to warming slowdown are relatively larger in multiple ocean basins, particularly in the deeper layer of the Atlantic. The coupled box model also showed that there is a larger increasing trend of OHC under the warming slowdown scenario than the rapid warming scenario. Particularly, during the warming slowdown period, the heat storage in the deeper ocean increases faster than the ocean heat uptake in the surface ocean. The simulations indicated that the warming patterns under the two scenarios are accompanied by distinct outgoing longwave radiation and atmospheric meridional heat transport, as well as other related processes, thus leading to different characteristics of ocean heat uptake. Due to the global energy balance, we suggest this slowdown has a tight relationship with the accelerated heat transport into the global ocean. 展开更多
关键词 WARMING slowdown OCEAN HEAT content BOX model HEAT transport
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China's Economic Slowdown under Supply-Side Perspective 被引量:2
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作者 蔡昉 《China Economist》 2016年第5期4-15,共12页
This paper creates an analytical framework for ongoing China's economic slowdown and reveals the major.factors affecting potential growth rate. First, proceeding from the factors that led to a decline in China 's po... This paper creates an analytical framework for ongoing China's economic slowdown and reveals the major.factors affecting potential growth rate. First, proceeding from the factors that led to a decline in China 's potential growth rate, this paper demonstrates that the slowdown since 2012 is not caused by demand-side shock.s' but is a natural result of the demographic transition and the change of economic development stage that stemmed from supply-side factors. It is therefore suggested that the demand- side perspective for cyclical analysis must be abandoned and the supply-side perspective for growth analysis ought to be followed Secondly, this paper argues that it is theoretically unjounded and empirically unconvincing for existing literature based on the growth perspective to simply apply the statistical pattern of "regression towards the mean" to forecast China 's growth outlook and thus arrive at pessimistic conclusions. On this basis, this paper identifies a host of initiatives that can significantly increase potential growth rates and proposes policy recommendations for deriving reform dividends foom supply-side structural reform. 展开更多
关键词 growth slowdown potential growth rate supply-side dividends of structural reform
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Slowdown of sea surface height rises in the Nordic seas and related mechanisms
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作者 SHI Wenqi ZHAO Jinping +2 位作者 LIAN Xihu WANG Xiaoyu CHEN Weibin 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2017年第8期20-33,共14页
A slowdown of sea surface height (SSH) rise occurred in the Nordic (GIN) seas around 2004. In this study, SSH satellite data and constructed steric height data for the decades before and after 2004 (i.e., May 199... A slowdown of sea surface height (SSH) rise occurred in the Nordic (GIN) seas around 2004. In this study, SSH satellite data and constructed steric height data for the decades before and after 2004 (i.e., May 1994 to April 2014) were used for comparative analysis. The findings indicate that the rate of slowdown of SSH rises in the GIN seas (3.0 mm/a) far exceeded that of the global mean (0.6 mm/a). In particular, the mean steric height of the GIN seas increased at a rate of 4.5 mm/a and then decreased at a slower pace. This was the main factor responsible for the stagnation of the SSH rises, while the mass factor only increased slightly. The Norwegian Sea particularly experienced the most prominent slowdown in SSH rises, mainly due to decreased warming of the 0-600 m layer. The controlling factors of this decreased warming were cessation in the increase of volume of the Atlantic inflow and stagnation of warming of the inflow. However, variations in air-sea thermal flux were not a major factor. In the recent two decades, mean halosteric components of the GIN seas decreased steadily and remained at a rate of 2 mm/a or more because of increased flow and salinity of the Atlantic inflow during the first decade, and reduction in freshwater inputs from the Arctic Ocean in the second decade. 展开更多
关键词 Nordic seas sea surface height steric height slowdown in sea level rises
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Policy Suggestions for the Slowdown in Per Capital Output of Grain Growth in China
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作者 Yang Yang 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2013年第10期48-51,共4页
China is a large agricultural and the most populous country, so it is a crucial importance for the food security. The basic situation of food in our country is self-sufficiency, a certain amount of imports and reserve... China is a large agricultural and the most populous country, so it is a crucial importance for the food security. The basic situation of food in our country is self-sufficiency, a certain amount of imports and reserves. The output of grain in our country has increased annually, however, as a result of policy adjustments and other factors like environmental pollution, together with a large population base and the trend of excessively popu- lous growth, the growth of grain output is relatively slow, which will be harmful for our grain security as well as the healthy development of the na- tional economy. In this case, several solutions could be tried, such as improving the level of science and technology, adjusting industrial policies and controlling environmental pollution. Besides, we ought to strongly advocate thrifty behavior to increase income and reduce expenditure. 展开更多
关键词 Per capita output of grain slowdown Policy suggestions China
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China's Economy Registered Moderate Slowdown
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《China's Foreign Trade》 2011年第23期34-35,共2页
CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH IS EXPECTED AT 9.1 PERCENT IN 2011, 8.4 PERCENT IN 2012 AND ROUGHLY SIMILAR RATES THEREAFTER.The Chinese economy registered a moderate slowdown over the course of 2011, the World Bank said in ... CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH IS EXPECTED AT 9.1 PERCENT IN 2011, 8.4 PERCENT IN 2012 AND ROUGHLY SIMILAR RATES THEREAFTER.The Chinese economy registered a moderate slowdown over the course of 2011, the World Bank said in its East Asia and Pacific Economic Update. 展开更多
关键词 ASIA China’s Economy Registered Moderate slowdown
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Experts: Chinese Economic Boom Against Global Slowdown
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作者 Shang Lin’ai 《China Textile》 2008年第5期38-40,共3页
China economic boom to last until at least 2020"The cycle of economic boom in China, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, would last until at least 2020", said an expert with the National Development ... China economic boom to last until at least 2020"The cycle of economic boom in China, the world’s fastest-growing major economy, would last until at least 2020", said an expert with the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), the top economic planner. 展开更多
关键词 Bank World Chinese Economic Boom Against Global slowdown Experts
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Keeping the Slowdown in Check
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作者 Zhou Xiaoyan 《ChinAfrica》 2015年第5期34-37,共4页
CHINA'S GDP growth slipped to 7 percent in the first quarter of 2015, the lowest level in six years. On the other side of the equation, convincing signs of an improved economic structure, a buoyant job market and fas... CHINA'S GDP growth slipped to 7 percent in the first quarter of 2015, the lowest level in six years. On the other side of the equation, convincing signs of an improved economic structure, a buoyant job market and faster-than-expected consumer spending are solid evidence of a better-quality and increas- ingly mature economy. That said, in order to keep the slowdown in check, the central authorities have been urged to take further steps to tackle potential risks, including a lackluster property sector, persist- ent deflationary pressure and high financing costs for businesses. The first-quarter GDP figure was better than previ- ously forecast by multiple institutions. It has also met the annual target of 7 percent set by the Central Government for 2015. 展开更多
关键词 Keeping the slowdown in Check NBS GDP
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German textile machinery sector showcases technologies under the banner“Experience Leading Technology”Interview with Dr.Harald Weber,Managing Director,VDMA Textile Machinery Association
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《China Textile》 2025年第5期19-19,共1页
In the first half of 2025,the global textile machinery market continued to face significant headwinds,including economic slowdown,persistent inflation,and dampened consumer sentiment.According to Dr.Harald Weber,Manag... In the first half of 2025,the global textile machinery market continued to face significant headwinds,including economic slowdown,persistent inflation,and dampened consumer sentiment.According to Dr.Harald Weber,Managing Director of the VDMA Textile Machinery Association,German exports of textile machinery and accessories saw a yearon-year decrease of approximately 9%between January and May.This trend was not unique to Germany,as exports from all European countries also declined amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and unpredictable trade policies.Despite these challenges,the incoming orders are bottoming out,potentially signaling the beginning of an industry recovery.However,the protectionist policies have contributed to a cautious investment climate worldwide.And the protectionism is not limited to the U.S.,with subsidies and other unfair advantages for domestic companies distorting competition in multiple regions.Now,trade barriers are the most pressing challenge for the global textile industry,urging manufacturers to reduce strategic dependencies to mitigate risks. 展开更多
关键词 technology EXPORTS economic slowdown textile machinery consumer sentiment geopolitical tensions economic slowdownpersistent INFLATION
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高校毕业生综合素质与就业竞争力的关系研究——基于经济增速放缓的调节效应
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作者 夏星 谭倩 张珍 《科技创业月刊》 2025年第6期170-181,共12页
高校毕业生的就业工作关乎经济升级、民生改善和社会稳定,历来是政府和全社会关注的重点。近年来随着高校毕业生数量逐年攀升,加之经济增速放缓、人工智能等带来的就业结构变化,高校毕业生就业面临越来越大的压力。运用多元回归分析方... 高校毕业生的就业工作关乎经济升级、民生改善和社会稳定,历来是政府和全社会关注的重点。近年来随着高校毕业生数量逐年攀升,加之经济增速放缓、人工智能等带来的就业结构变化,高校毕业生就业面临越来越大的压力。运用多元回归分析方法验证性探究了学习能力和实践能力对高校毕业生就业竞争力的影响,以及经济增速放缓在其中所起到的作用。研究结果表明:高校毕业生综合素质中的学习能力和实践能力对毕业生的就业竞争力提升都起着促进作用;经济增速放缓在综合素质与就业竞争力的关系中发挥调节作用;相较于经济增速放缓时期,公共卫生事件突发时的毕业生综合素质与就业竞争力之间的正向关系最强。研究结论对于厘清毕业生综合素质、经济增速、就业竞争力之间的影响机制有一定的理论贡献,同时对各主体助力提升毕业生就业竞争力具有一定的实践启示意义。 展开更多
关键词 大学生高质量就业 大学生综合素质 就业竞争力 经济增速放缓
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徐州市碳排放影响因素及情景预测 被引量:1
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作者 柯舜方 黄成 +2 位作者 王书宇 李冰 王冉 《黑龙江科学》 2025年第3期40-43,共4页
基于徐州市2007-2021年的面板数据,对徐州市碳排放进行核算与情景分析;利用STIRPAT模型,运用岭回归分析人口数量、城镇化率、经济发展、技术进步与产业结构对碳排放的影响;结合情景分析法对徐州市未来的碳排放情况进行预测模拟。研究结... 基于徐州市2007-2021年的面板数据,对徐州市碳排放进行核算与情景分析;利用STIRPAT模型,运用岭回归分析人口数量、城镇化率、经济发展、技术进步与产业结构对碳排放的影响;结合情景分析法对徐州市未来的碳排放情况进行预测模拟。研究结果表明,2007-2021年徐州市碳排放量由2007年的3230万t增长到2021年的6780万t,区域碳排放强度由2007年的1.923 t/万元下降到2021年的0.835 t/万元。在基准情景下,徐州市将在2032年实现碳达峰,峰值为10315万t;在产业结构优化情景、节能情景、经济放缓情景、绿色发展情景与粗放式情景下,徐州市碳排放峰值分别约为9890万t、9679万t、7086万t、6800万t与25178万t,经济放缓情景是徐州市实现碳达峰的最佳路径。 展开更多
关键词 碳排放 STIRPAT模型 徐州市 产业结构 节能 经济放缓 绿色发展 粗放式
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China's Trade Slowdown: Cyclical or Structural? 被引量:6
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作者 Xuefeng Qian Zhao Liu Ying Pan 《China & World Economy》 SCIE 2017年第6期65-83,共19页
This paper analyzes whether the slowdown of China's trade in 2012-2015 was cyclical or structural, and further discusses the effects of structural factors, including trade structure, trade protectionism and global va... This paper analyzes whether the slowdown of China's trade in 2012-2015 was cyclical or structural, and further discusses the effects of structural factors, including trade structure, trade protectionism and global value chain participation, Using the national panel data from 2000 to 2015, based on the error correction model and import-intensity- adjusted demand model, our results show that the slowdown of China's trade growth in 2012-2015 was mainly a result of cyclical factors. Using 2000-2015 industry- level data, we also find that the structure of trade goods had an inhibitory effect on the import slowdown but a positive effect on the export slowdown. Trade protectionism had an adverse effect on the trade growth slowdown. The global value chain participation marginally contributed to the slowdown in trade growth. Therefore, the impacts of structural factors on trade growth slowdown cannot be ignored, and related policies should receive greater attention from policy-makers. 展开更多
关键词 cyclical factor structural factor trade slowdown
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Could CMIP6 climate models reproduce the early-2000s global warming slowdown? 被引量:5
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作者 Meng WEI Qi SHU +5 位作者 Zhenya SONG Yajuan SONG Xiaodan YANG Yongqing GUO Xinfang LI Fangli QIAO 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CSCD 2021年第6期853-865,共13页
The unexpected global warming slowdown during 1998–2013 challenges the existing scientific understanding of global temperature change mechanisms,and thus the simulation and prediction ability of state-of-the-art clim... The unexpected global warming slowdown during 1998–2013 challenges the existing scientific understanding of global temperature change mechanisms,and thus the simulation and prediction ability of state-of-the-art climate models since most models participating in phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project(CMIP5)cannot simulate it.Here,we examine whether the new-generation climate models in CMIP6 can reproduce the recent global warming slowdown,and further evaluate their capacities for simulating key-scale natural variabilities which are the most likely causes of the slowdown.The results show that although the CMIP6 models present some encouraging improvements when compared with CMIP5,most of them still fail to reproduce the warming slowdown.They considerably overestimate the warming rate observed in 1998–2013,exhibiting an obvious warming acceleration rather than the observed deceleration.This is probably associated with their deficiencies in simulating the distinct temperature change signals from the human-induced long-term warming trend and/or the three crucial natural variabilities at interannual,interdecadal,and multidecadal scales.In contrast,the 4 models that can successfully reproduce the slowdown show relatively high skills in simulating the long-term warming trend and the three keyscale natural variabilities.Our work may provide important insight for the simulation and prediction of near-term climate changes. 展开更多
关键词 CMIP6 climate models Global warming Global warming slowdown HIATUS Climate natural variability Anthropogenic warming trend
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Shortened Duration of Global Warming Slowdowns with Elevated Greenhouse Gas Emissions 被引量:4
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作者 Feng GAO Tongwen WU +2 位作者 Jie ZHANG Aixue HU Gerald AMEEHL 《Journal of Meteorological Research》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第2期225-237,共13页
Continuous emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases(GHGs)and aerosols in the last 160 years have resulted in an increasing trend of global mean surface temperatures(GMSTs).Due to interactions with natural variabili... Continuous emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases(GHGs)and aerosols in the last 160 years have resulted in an increasing trend of global mean surface temperatures(GMSTs).Due to interactions with natural variability,rates of the combined anthropogenically and naturally induced warming trends are characterized by significant slowdowns and speedups on decadal timescales.Here,by analyzing observed and model-simulated data,we investigate how the duration of these episodes will change with different strengths of GHG and aerosol forcing.We found that the duration of warming slowdowns can be more than 30 yr with a slower rate of anthropogenic emissions but would shorten to about 5 yr with a higher one.This duration reduction depends on both the magnitude of the climate response to anthropogenic forcing and the strength of the internal variability.Moreover,the warming slowdowns can still occur even towards the end of this century under high emissions scenarios but with significantly shortened duration. 展开更多
关键词 global warming slowdown greenhouse gas(GHG)emissions internal variability
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China's Growth Slowdown:Labor Supply,Productivity,or What? 被引量:1
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作者 Anping Chen Nicolaas Groenewold 《Frontiers of Economics in China-Selected Publications from Chinese Universities》 2021年第1期35-66,共32页
There has been much discussion of the sources of China's growth slowdown but little formal econometric analysis of this question.Chen and Groenewold(2019)show that the slowdown was primarily supply-driven,but they... There has been much discussion of the sources of China's growth slowdown but little formal econometric analysis of this question.Chen and Groenewold(2019)show that the slowdown was primarily supply-driven,but they stopped short of identifying specific supply variables.This paper extends their analysis and distinguishes several potential supply components:labor supply,productivity,and capital accumulation.Our results confirm their main conclusion that supply dominates the explanation of the slowdown.A model with two supply factors(labor supply and productivity)reveals that both components contribute to the slowdown,although productivity makes the greater contribution.However,when capital stock is added to the model,the decline in the capital accumulation rate becomes an important factor in the growth slowdown,to some extent replacing the effects of both labor supply and productivity. 展开更多
关键词 GROWTH slowdown supply factors labor supply PRODUCTIVITY capital accumulation
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经济放缓下的中廖村民宿旅游发展研究
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作者 王秋雅 毋茜 《特区经济》 2025年第8期137-140,共4页
经济增速放缓对旅游行业带来了深刻的影响。在此背景下,旅游业逐渐成为拉动内需、推动经济增长的新选择。民宿旅游作为乡村旅游的重要构成部分,对促进旅游经济发展及乡村振兴有重要的作用。本研究以乡村振兴战略和民宿产业理论为基础,... 经济增速放缓对旅游行业带来了深刻的影响。在此背景下,旅游业逐渐成为拉动内需、推动经济增长的新选择。民宿旅游作为乡村旅游的重要构成部分,对促进旅游经济发展及乡村振兴有重要的作用。本研究以乡村振兴战略和民宿产业理论为基础,深刻剖析了当前中廖村民宿旅游发展的现状,研究其存在的问题,提出了布局民宿旅游的整体规划,加强招商引资的力度;深化挖掘民宿旅游IP产品的开发,创新民宿旅游产品形式;降低民宿产品与旅游景点的关联性,弱化淡旺季分化;完善民宿旅游周边的配套设施等对策,以期帮助中廖村民宿旅游走出困境,实现乡村经济增长,助力乡村振兴。 展开更多
关键词 经济放缓 民宿旅游发展 中廖村 乡村振兴
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About Slight Slowdown
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《Beijing Review》 2010年第32期33-33,共1页
Fears of a "double-dip" recession are haunting the world economy.But a "double-dip" recession is quite unlikely in China as long as the Chinese Government can properly deal with the real estate mar... Fears of a "double-dip" recession are haunting the world economy.But a "double-dip" recession is quite unlikely in China as long as the Chinese Government can properly deal with the real estate market, control credit expansion and stabilize the stock 展开更多
关键词 About Slight slowdown
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Growth Rate of China's Metal Trade Expected to Slowdown
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《China Nonferrous Metals Monthly》 2004年第3期1-2,共2页
According to preliminary statistics,China’simport & export of non-ferrous metals areexpected to experience a slowdown in 2004,especially in the growth rate of export,andeven a zero growth rate will show up in the... According to preliminary statistics,China’simport & export of non-ferrous metals areexpected to experience a slowdown in 2004,especially in the growth rate of export,andeven a zero growth rate will show up in the firstquarter.The factors that will affect the importand export of non-ferrous metals in 2004 havebeen analyzed as follows:as the adjustedexport tax refund rates became effectivestarting from January 1<sup>st</sup>,2004,the end of 2003had seen large amount of non-ferrous export 展开更多
关键词 FERROUS preliminary slowdown QUOTA ALUMINA TRADING
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Troika slowdown of the textile industry in Jan.~Jul.
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《纺织服装周刊》 2012年第37期40-40,共1页
The data show that, since 2012, influenced by factors like outside need sluggish, domestic demand slowdown, and domestic and foreign cotton spreads widening, China’s textile industry continues the trend of slowing ec... The data show that, since 2012, influenced by factors like outside need sluggish, domestic demand slowdown, and domestic and foreign cotton spreads widening, China’s textile industry continues the trend of slowing economic growth in the last year, the growth rate of production, exports, investment and other major economic indicators continued to slow down, the e ectiveness declined. Specific performance: production slowdown; domestic consumption growth rate dropped; negative growth in the number of 展开更多
关键词 Troika slowdown of the textile industry in Jan Jul DOWN
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Slowdown in the First-8-Months Profit Growth of the Textile Industry
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作者 Liuxin Guoyun 《纺织服装周刊》 2010年第39期9-9,共1页
Slowdown in Profit Growth According to data collected from statistics-worthy Chinese textile enterprises surveyed by National Bureau of Statistics of China, from Jan. to Aug., 2010, the total profits reached CNY128.64... Slowdown in Profit Growth According to data collected from statistics-worthy Chinese textile enterprises surveyed by National Bureau of Statistics of China, from Jan. to Aug., 2010, the total profits reached CNY128.649 billion, up 52.42 展开更多
关键词 slowdown in the First-8-Months Profit Growth of the Textile Industry CNY THAN
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Export growth slowdown from January to April
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作者 Liu Xinxin 《纺织服装周刊》 2012年第25期40-40,共1页
January to April this year, the economic operation of China’s textile industry overall in slowdown trend, the growth rate of output of major products fell significantly, exports and profits were greatly affected, the... January to April this year, the economic operation of China’s textile industry overall in slowdown trend, the growth rate of output of major products fell significantly, exports and profits were greatly affected, the textile industry is facing great operating pressure. The export side, Japan, EU, U.S. textile and garment export growth has slowed down, the market 展开更多
关键词 DOWN Export growth slowdown from January to April
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