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SIS模型下列车晚点传播动态机制研究
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作者 许婷婷 徐敏一 冯再勇 《五邑大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第1期47-53,共7页
为揭示高速铁路列车晚点传播的动态机制,本文基于SIS传染病动力学模型,构建列车晚点传播的动态系统,将正点列车定义为易感状态(S),晚点列车定义为感染状态(I),通过微分方程描述传播率β与恢复率γ的耦合作用,刻画晚点在列车网络中的扩... 为揭示高速铁路列车晚点传播的动态机制,本文基于SIS传染病动力学模型,构建列车晚点传播的动态系统,将正点列车定义为易感状态(S),晚点列车定义为感染状态(I),通过微分方程描述传播率β与恢复率γ的耦合作用,刻画晚点在列车网络中的扩散与恢复过程.基于中国铁路济南局2021年5月23日至6月22日31天的33205条实绩数据(正点率23.1%,晚点率76.3%),采用MATLAB仿真分析发现:该模型能够客观地反映列车晚点传播的动态演变规律,并量化分析晚点传播率、恢复率等多种因素的影响.基于模型的仿真结果,本文提出了针对性的高速列车晚点防控与恢复措施,为提升列车运行可靠性提供了理论依据. 展开更多
关键词 列车晚点传播 siS模型 传播阈值 动态恢复 铁路调度
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钻削Al-50wt%Si合金孔内表面粗糙度预测模型研究
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作者 胡锦渊 金成哲 +1 位作者 周浩淳 刘玮 《工具技术》 北大核心 2026年第2期58-65,共8页
孔内表面粗糙度是评价钻孔质量的重要因素,而Al-50wt%Si合金钻孔时因硅含量高易造成表面粗糙度高,从而影响孔加工质量。通过无涂层、TiAlN涂层和Ta-C涂层硬质合金麻花钻的钻孔试验,采用正交试验法探究刀具材料和钻削参数对表面粗糙度的... 孔内表面粗糙度是评价钻孔质量的重要因素,而Al-50wt%Si合金钻孔时因硅含量高易造成表面粗糙度高,从而影响孔加工质量。通过无涂层、TiAlN涂层和Ta-C涂层硬质合金麻花钻的钻孔试验,采用正交试验法探究刀具材料和钻削参数对表面粗糙度的影响规律。基于试验数据建立Ta-C涂层硬质合金麻花钻钻削Al-50wt%Si合金孔内表面粗糙度的预测模型,显著性检验分析表明,该孔内表面粗糙度预测模型具有很好的准确性和可靠性。研究结果表明:各因素的影响程度从大到小依次为进给量、主轴转速、刀具直径。在试验参数范围内,孔内表面粗糙度值与钻头直径和进给量成正比,与主轴转速变化情况成反比,且Ta-C涂层硬质合金麻花钻在加工Al-50wt%Si合金时综合性能更优异,加工质量更高。 展开更多
关键词 钻削 Al-50wt%si合金 表面粗糙度 预测模型 钻削参数
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Ta-C涂层刀具钻削Al-50wt%Si合金的钻削力预测模型研究
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作者 邹继胤 金成哲 +1 位作者 周浩淳 刘玮 《工具技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期70-77,共8页
Al-50wt%Si合金具有低热膨胀系数、高硬度、优异耐磨性和轻量化特性,也因高硅铝含量导致其存在加工难题,通过物理气相沉积(PVD)技术在硬质合金麻花钻表面制备Ta-C涂层。采用正交试验和单因素试验法,对Al-50wt%Si合金进行钻削试验,探究... Al-50wt%Si合金具有低热膨胀系数、高硬度、优异耐磨性和轻量化特性,也因高硅铝含量导致其存在加工难题,通过物理气相沉积(PVD)技术在硬质合金麻花钻表面制备Ta-C涂层。采用正交试验和单因素试验法,对Al-50wt%Si合金进行钻削试验,探究钻头直径d、主轴转速n和进给量f对钻削力的影响规律。结果表明:Ta-C涂层凭借其高硬度和低摩擦系数,显著降低钻削轴向力和扭矩;轴向力与扭矩随钻头直径与进给量的增大呈线性增长,而随主轴转速升高呈现先降后增的趋势。通过多元线性回归分析,建立Ta-C涂层钻削力预测模型,其预测平均误差为4.85%,且方差分析表明模型具有高度显著性,为实现Al-50wt%Si合金的高效、低成本加工提供理论支撑与工艺优化参考。 展开更多
关键词 Ta-C涂层 Al-50wt%si合金 钻削力 预测模型
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具有环境传播的SIS年龄结构模型稳定性分析
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作者 毕新禹 张世超 +3 位作者 向华 张帆 王超群 努尔别克·艾孜玛洪 《山东理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第2期60-66,共7页
建立了一类具有环境传播的SIS年龄结构模型,定义了该模型的基本再生数,得到了无病平衡态的局部及全局渐近稳定性,对地方病平衡态的存在唯一性和局部渐近稳定性进行了分析。数值模拟结果与理论分析结果基本吻合,且环境传播会显著影响SIS... 建立了一类具有环境传播的SIS年龄结构模型,定义了该模型的基本再生数,得到了无病平衡态的局部及全局渐近稳定性,对地方病平衡态的存在唯一性和局部渐近稳定性进行了分析。数值模拟结果与理论分析结果基本吻合,且环境传播会显著影响SIS年龄结构模型的动力学行为,这对理解和预测疾病在人群中的传播具有重要意义。 展开更多
关键词 siS传染病模型 年龄结构模型 环境传播 基本再生数 渐近稳定
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Analysis of an Epidemic Model with Age of Vaccination 被引量:2
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作者 GUO Shu-li DING Feng-xia 《Chinese Quarterly Journal of Mathematics》 CSCD 北大核心 2006年第4期545-552,共8页
A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper.Both vexing birth rate, the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate areconsidered in this model. We prove that the global ... A simple SI epidemic model with age of vaccination is discussed in this paper.Both vexing birth rate, the mortality rate caused by disease and vaccine waning rate areconsidered in this model. We prove that the global dynamics is completely determined bythe basic reproductive number R(ψ)(ψ denotes per capita vaccination rate). If R(0) 〈 1,the disease-free equilibrium is a global attractor; If R(ψ) 〈: 1, the disease-free equilibriumis locally asymptotically stable; If R(ψ) :〉 1, an unique endemic equilibrium exists and islocally asymptotically stable under certain condition. 展开更多
关键词 si model VACCINATION EQUILIBRIUM STABILITY
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ANALYSIS OF AN SI EPIDEMIC MODEL WITH NONLINEAR TRANSMISSION AND STAGE STRUCTURE 被引量:10
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作者 陆忠华 jupiter.cnc.ac.cn +3 位作者 高淑京 l63.net 陈兰荪 math08.math.ac.cn 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第4期440-446,共7页
A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are in... A disease transmission model of SI type with stage structure is formulated. The stability of disease free equilibrium, the existence and uniqueness of an endemic equilibrium, the existence of a global attractor are investigated. 展开更多
关键词 si epidemic model THRESHOLD disease free equilibrium endemic equilibrium global attractor
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具有标准发生率及饱和治疗函数的随机SIS传染病模型的灭绝性和持久性
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作者 谭杨 杨林 郭子君 《中北大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第2期245-253,共9页
研究了一类具有标准发生率和饱和治疗函数的随机易感-感染-易感(SIS)传染病模型。首先,利用构造李雅普诺夫函数方法证明了模型正解的存在、唯一性。然后,在灭绝性方面得到了感染种群趋于普通灭绝和依指数灭绝的充分条件,其结果表明,随... 研究了一类具有标准发生率和饱和治疗函数的随机易感-感染-易感(SIS)传染病模型。首先,利用构造李雅普诺夫函数方法证明了模型正解的存在、唯一性。然后,在灭绝性方面得到了感染种群趋于普通灭绝和依指数灭绝的充分条件,其结果表明,随机基本再生数小于1时,感染种群必将趋于灭绝,而依指数灭绝则需要更强的条件。在持久性方面,得到了感染种群趋于依平均持久和随机持久的充分条件,其结果表明,随机基本再生数大于1时,感染种群随机持久,而依平均持久需要更强的条件才能满足。最后,通过数值模拟进行了结果验证。 展开更多
关键词 siS模型 标准发生率 饱和治疗函数 灭绝性 持久性
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上引连铸Cu-2.40Ni-0.63Si合金高温变形行为及热加工图
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作者 刘劲松 徐亚楠 +3 位作者 高博伦 邓偲瀛 王松伟 宋鸿武 《材料热处理学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期93-103,共11页
在变形温度为650~950℃、应变速率为0.01~10 s^(-1)及总压缩应变量为60%的条件下,采用Gleeble-3800D型热模拟试验机对Cu-2.40Ni-0.63Si合金进行了热压缩试验,获得了其高温热压缩变形的应力-应变曲线,分析了合金的流变行为;基于试验结果... 在变形温度为650~950℃、应变速率为0.01~10 s^(-1)及总压缩应变量为60%的条件下,采用Gleeble-3800D型热模拟试验机对Cu-2.40Ni-0.63Si合金进行了热压缩试验,获得了其高温热压缩变形的应力-应变曲线,分析了合金的流变行为;基于试验结果建立了合金的热变形峰值应力模型,并基于不同应变量下的应力值及峰值应力值建立了该合金的热加工图。结果表明:Cu-2.40Ni-0.63Si合金的流变应力随变形温度的升高而减小,随应变速率的增大而增大;Cu-2.40Ni-0.63Si合金的较佳加工区域为变形温度为850~950℃,应变速率为0.01~1 s^(-1)。 展开更多
关键词 CU-NI-si合金 热压缩 本构方程 热加工图 显微组织
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ANALYSIS OF AN SIS EPIDEMIOLOGIC MODEL WITH VARIABLE POPULATION SIZE AND A DELAY 被引量:1
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作者 Yuan Sanling Han Litao Ma ZhienDept. of Appl. Math., Xi’an Jiaotong Univ., Xi’an 710049,China. 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2003年第1期9-16,共8页
Epidemiologic model of SIS type has a delay corresponding to the infectious period and disease related deaths,so that the population size is variable.The population dynamics structure is recruitment and natural birth... Epidemiologic model of SIS type has a delay corresponding to the infectious period and disease related deaths,so that the population size is variable.The population dynamics structure is recruitment and natural births with natural deaths.The incidence term is of the standard incidence.Here the thresholds and equilibria are detemined,and stabilities are examined.The persistence of the infectious disease and disease related deaths can lead to a new equilibrium population size below the carrying capacity. 展开更多
关键词 epidemiologic modeling siS model DELAY threshold.
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COEXISTENCE FOR MULTIPLE LARGEST REPRODUCTION RATIOS OF A MULTI-STRAIN SIS EPIDEMIC MODEL 被引量:1
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作者 Yoshiaki MUROYA Eleonora MESSINA +1 位作者 Elvira RUSSO Antonia VECCHIO 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第5期1524-1530,共7页
In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction rat... In this paper, to complete the global dynamics of a multi-strains SIS epidemic model, we establish a precise result on coexistence for the cases of the partial and complete duplicated multiple largest reproduction ratios for this model. 展开更多
关键词 multi-strains siS epidemic model global attractivity Lyapunov function COEXISTENCE
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Oscillatory Behavior of a Network Epidemic SIS Model with Nonlinear Infectivity 被引量:1
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作者 Chunhua Feng Carl S. Pettis 《Applied Mathematics》 2014年第1期203-211,共9页
In this paper, an epidemic SIS model with nonlinear infectivity on heterogeneous networks and time delays is investigated. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided t... In this paper, an epidemic SIS model with nonlinear infectivity on heterogeneous networks and time delays is investigated. The oscillatory behavior of the solutions is studied. Two sufficient conditions are provided to guarantee the oscillatory behavior for the solutions. Some computer simulations are demonstrated. 展开更多
关键词 Sepidemic siS NETWORK model DELAY OSCILLATION
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Simulation of Typhoon Muifa using a mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model 被引量:4
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作者 SUN Minghua DUAN Yihong +3 位作者 ZHU Jianrong WU Hui ZHANG Jin HUANG Wei 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第11期123-133,共11页
A mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model has been developed based on the GRAPES(Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System) regional typhoon model(GRAPES_TYM) and ECOM-si(estuary, coast and ocean m... A mesoscale coupled atmosphere–ocean model has been developed based on the GRAPES(Global and Regional Assimilation and Prediction System) regional typhoon model(GRAPES_TYM) and ECOM-si(estuary, coast and ocean model(semi-implicit)). Coupling between the typhoon and ocean models was conducted by exchanging wind stress, heat, moisture fluxes, and sea surface temperatures(SSTs) using the coupler OASIS3.0. Numerical prediction experiments were run with and without coupling for the case of Typhoon Muifa in the western North Pacific. To investigate the impact of using more accurate SST information on the simulation of the track and the intensity of Typhoon Muifa, experiments were also conducted using increased SST resolution in the initial condition field of the control test. The results indicate that increasing SST resolution in the initial condition field somewhat improved the intensity forecast, and use of the coupled model improved the intensity forecast significantly, with mean absolute errors in maximum wind speed within 48 and 72 h reduced by 32% and 20%, respectively. Use of the coupled model also resulted in less pronounced over-prediction of the intensity of Typhoon Muifa by the GRAPES_TYM. Moreover, the effects of using the coupled model on the intensity varied throughout the different stages of the development of Muifa owing to changes in the oceanic mixed layer depth. The coupled model had pronounced effects during the later stage of Muifa but had no obvious effects during the earlier stage. The SSTs predicted by the coupled model decreased by about 5–6℃ at most after the typhoon passed, in agreement with satellite data. Furthermore, based on analysis on the sea surface heat flux, wet static energy of the boundary layer, atmospheric temperature, and precipitation forecasted by the coupled model and the control test, the simulation results of this coupled atmosphere–ocean model can be considered to reasonably reflect the primary mechanisms underlying the interactions between tropical cyclones and oceans. 展开更多
关键词 coupled atmosphere-ocean model GRAPES ECOM-si TC intensity SST
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An SIS epidemic model with diffusion
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作者 XU Zhi-ting CHEN Dan-xia 《Applied Mathematics(A Journal of Chinese Universities)》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第2期127-146,共20页
The aim of this paper is to study the diffusion. We first study the well-posedness of the dynamics of an SIS epidemic model with model. And then, by using linearization method and constructing suitable Lyapunov functi... The aim of this paper is to study the diffusion. We first study the well-posedness of the dynamics of an SIS epidemic model with model. And then, by using linearization method and constructing suitable Lyapunov function, we establish the local and global stability of the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium, respectively. Furthermore, in view of Schauder fixed point theorem, we show that the model admits traveling wave solutions con- necting the disease-free equilibrium and the endemic equilibrium when R0 〉 1 and c 〉 c^*. And also, by virtue of the two-sided Laplace transform, we prove that the model has no traveling wave solution connecting the two equilibria when R0 〉 1 and c ∈(0, c^*). 展开更多
关键词 siS epidemic model traveling wave solution local stability global stability diffusive.
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The Game-Theoretical Model of Using Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets to Fight Malaria
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作者 Mark Broom Jan Rychtář Tracy Spears-Gill 《Applied Mathematics》 2016年第9期852-860,共9页
Malaria infection is a major problem in many countries. The use of the Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets (ITNs) has been shown to significantly reduce the number of malaria infections;however, the effectiveness is often je... Malaria infection is a major problem in many countries. The use of the Insecticide-Treated Bed-Nets (ITNs) has been shown to significantly reduce the number of malaria infections;however, the effectiveness is often jeopardized by improper handling or human behavior such as inconsistent usage. In this paper, we present a game-theoretical model for ITN usage in communities with malaria infections. We show that it is in the individual’s self interest to use the ITNs as long as the malaria is present in the community. Such an optimal ITN usage will significantly decrease the malaria prevalence and under some conditions may even lead to complete eradication of the disease. 展开更多
关键词 Game Theory Malaria Prevention Optimal Strategy Epidemic modelling siS model
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基于SiIGBT与SiCFET并联的新型混合器件特性解析及对比研究 被引量:1
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作者 朱梓贤 涂春鸣 +3 位作者 肖标 郭祺 肖凡 龙柳 《太阳能学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期251-260,共10页
对由SiC FET与Si IGBT并联组成的新型混合器件(HY_F)开展研究。首先,分析HY_F的基本结构与工作原理,并搭建HY_F的导通损耗模型、开通损耗模型以及关断损耗模型。其次,基于混合器件的仿真模型,分析HY_F与传统Si IGBT/SiC MOSFET混合器件(... 对由SiC FET与Si IGBT并联组成的新型混合器件(HY_F)开展研究。首先,分析HY_F的基本结构与工作原理,并搭建HY_F的导通损耗模型、开通损耗模型以及关断损耗模型。其次,基于混合器件的仿真模型,分析HY_F与传统Si IGBT/SiC MOSFET混合器件(HY_M)在不同额定电流等级下损耗与成本的优劣势。仿真结果表明,当额定电流为较小(15 A)时,HY_M能以较低的成本实现更低的损耗;混合器件在额定电流较大(25 A、40 A)时,HY_F能以更低的成本实现更低的损耗。最后,通过实验验证结论的正确性。 展开更多
关键词 si/siC混合器件 siCMOSFET siIGBT siCFET 损耗模型
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Global Stability of the Deterministic and Stochastic SIS Epidemic Models with Vaccination
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作者 Xu ZHAO Wenshu ZHOU 《Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications》 CSCD 2021年第1期62-68,共7页
We study the stability of endemic equilibriums of the deterministic and stochastic SIS epidemic models with vaccination. The deterministic SIS epidemic model with vaccination was proposed by Li and Ma(2004), for which... We study the stability of endemic equilibriums of the deterministic and stochastic SIS epidemic models with vaccination. The deterministic SIS epidemic model with vaccination was proposed by Li and Ma(2004), for which some sufficient conditions for the global stability of the endemic equilibrium were given in some earlier works. In this paper, we first prove by Lyapunov function method that the endemic equilibrium of the deterministic model is globally asymptotically stable whenever the basic reproduction number is larger than one. For the stochastic version, we obtain some sufficient conditions for the global stability of the endemic equilibrium by constructing a class of different Lyapunov functions. 展开更多
关键词 siS epidemic model VACCINATION global stability
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一类具有时滞效应的SIS传染病模型 被引量:1
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作者 汪雨琴 谢景力 +1 位作者 赵佳璐 李嘉隆 《吉首大学学报(自然科学版)》 2025年第1期12-17,共6页
研究了一类具有时滞效应和logistic增长的SIS传染病模型的动力学性质.运用泛函微分方程基本理论和常数变易法证明了模型解的非负性和有界性,结合特征方程得到了各平衡点局部稳定的条件.以时滞τ为分支参数,通过Hopf分支理论,获得了地方... 研究了一类具有时滞效应和logistic增长的SIS传染病模型的动力学性质.运用泛函微分方程基本理论和常数变易法证明了模型解的非负性和有界性,结合特征方程得到了各平衡点局部稳定的条件.以时滞τ为分支参数,通过Hopf分支理论,获得了地方病平衡点在不稳定时发生Hopf分支的条件. 展开更多
关键词 siS传染病模型 LOGISTIC增长 时滞效应 HOPF分支 稳定性
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Surrogate Model Application to the Identification of an Optimal Surfactant-Enhanced Aquifer Remediation Strategy for DNAPL-Contaminated Sites 被引量:1
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作者 罗建男 卢文喜 +1 位作者 辛欣 初海波 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2013年第6期1023-1032,共10页
A surrogate model is introduced for identifying the optimal remediation strategy for Dense Non-Aqueous Phase Liquids (DNAPL)-contaminated aquifers. A Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method was used to collect data ... A surrogate model is introduced for identifying the optimal remediation strategy for Dense Non-Aqueous Phase Liquids (DNAPL)-contaminated aquifers. A Latin hypercube sampling (LHS) method was used to collect data in the feasible region for input variables. A surrogate model of the multi-phase flow simulation model was developed using a radial basis function artificial neural network (RBFANN). The developed model was applied to a perchloroethylene (PCE)-contaminated aquifer remediation optimization problem. The relative errors of the average PCE removal rates be- tween the surrogate model and simulation model for 10 validation samples were lower than 5%, which is high approximation accuracy. A comparison of the surrogate-based simulation optimization model and a conventional simulation optimization model indicated that RBFANN surrogate model developed in this paper considerably reduced the computational burden of simulation optimization processes. 展开更多
关键词 DNAPL Latin hypercube sampling radial basis function artificial neural network si-mulation optimization surrogate model.
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A Nonstandard Finite Difference Scheme for SIS Epidemic Model with Delay: Stability and Bifurcation Analysis
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作者 Agus Suryanto 《Applied Mathematics》 2012年第6期528-534,共7页
A numerical scheme for a SIS epidemic model with a delay is constructed by applying a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) method. The dynamics of the obtained discrete system is investigated. First we show that the d... A numerical scheme for a SIS epidemic model with a delay is constructed by applying a nonstandard finite difference (NSFD) method. The dynamics of the obtained discrete system is investigated. First we show that the discrete system has equilibria which are exactly the same as those of continuous model. By studying the distribution of the roots of the characteristics equations related to the linearized system, we can provide the stable regions in the appropriate parameter plane. It is shown that the conditions for those equilibria to be asymptotically stable are consistent with the continuous model for any size of numerical time-step. Furthermore, we also establish the existence of Neimark-Sacker bifurcation (also called Hopf bifurcation for map) which is controlled by the time delay. The analytical results are confirmed by some numerical simulations. 展开更多
关键词 siS EPIDEMIC model with DELAY Stability NONSTANDARD Finite Difference Method Neimark-Sacker (Hopf) BIFURCATION
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Thickness-averaged model for numerical simulation of electroosmotic flow in three-dimensional microfluidic chips
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作者 Bo CHEN Han CHEN Jian-kang WU 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 SCIE EI 2013年第3期297-308,共12页
The microfiuidic system is a multi-physics interaction field that has at- tracted great attention. The electric double layers and electroosmosis are important flow-electricity interaction phenomena. This paper present... The microfiuidic system is a multi-physics interaction field that has at- tracted great attention. The electric double layers and electroosmosis are important flow-electricity interaction phenomena. This paper presents a thickness-averaged model to solve three-dimensional complex electroosmotic flows in a wide-shallow microchan- nel/chamber combined (MCC) chip based on the Navier-Stokes equations for the flow field and the Poisson equation to the electric field. Behaviors of the electroosmotic flow, the electric field, and the pressure are analyzed. The quantitative effects of the wall charge density (or the zeta potential) and the applied electric field on the electroosmotic flow rate are investigated. The two-dimensional thickness-averaged flow model greatly simplifies the three-dimensional computation of the complex electroosmotic flows, and correctly reflects the electrookinetic effects of the wall charge on the flow. The numerical results indicate that the electroosmotic flow rate of the thickness-averaged model agrees well with that of the three-dimensional slip-boundary flow model. The flow streamlines and pressure distribution of these two models are in qualitative agreement. 展开更多
关键词 microfluidic electric double layer flow-electricity interaction electroosmo-sis thickness-averaged model
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