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The Effectiveness of Russian Countermeasures against EU Economic Sanctions
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作者 Han Yichen Yan Jin 《Contemporary International Relations》 2026年第1期65-92,共28页
Since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis,the European Union(EU)has imposed multiple rounds of systematic economic sanctions on Russia,covering key areas such as finance,energy,trade,and technology,in an attempt to wea... Since the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis,the European Union(EU)has imposed multiple rounds of systematic economic sanctions on Russia,covering key areas such as finance,energy,trade,and technology,in an attempt to weaken Russia's war capacity.In response,Russia has taken forceful measures,legitimizing its counteractions through legal tools,hedging EU sanctions with economic and financial instruments,and leveraging resources as a“weapon.”Additionally,Russia has reinforced its defense through internal structural adjustments,seeking strategic breakthroughs by diversifying foreign relations.These measures have effectively mitigated the impact of EU sanctions,increased EU costs in carrying out the sanctions,and prevented the EU from achieving its intended political objectives.Currently,Russia's military operation in Ukraine continues,with its foreign cooperation pattern and development path undergoing significant shifts.Specifically,Russia is accelerating its“turn to the East”in terms of foreign economic relations,and its development model is becoming increasingly conservative and security-oriented.As its confrontation with the EU enters a prolonged phase,Russia,while striving to maintain overall economic stability,faces numerous challenges and long-term risks threatening its economic transformation and reorientation of foreign cooperation.The difficulties awaiting its future counteractions will even increase. 展开更多
关键词 countersanction economic sanction Russia–EU relationship Ukraine crisis
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Economic Sanctions:A Political,Economic,and Normative Analysis
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作者 Rachael Gosnell 《International Relations and Diplomacy》 2018年第3期152-170,共19页
The use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool dates back to the Megarian decree of 432 BC,but has long been controversial.Economic sanctions are commonly employed by governments as a coercive tool to adjust t... The use of economic sanctions as a foreign policy tool dates back to the Megarian decree of 432 BC,but has long been controversial.Economic sanctions are commonly employed by governments as a coercive tool to adjust the behavior of a state actor that is in violation of international behavior norms,yet there remains concern as to the effectiveness of applying economic sanctions and the extent to which sanctions should be applied.Further questions arise regarding both the viability and morality of sanctions.This paper will examine case studies to determine the moral,economic,and political impact of imposing sanctions on state actors.In doing so,this paper will specifically examine the economic sanctions applied to South Africa,Iran,and Crimea.It will examine the application of sanctions and the effectiveness in achieving established foreign policy goals,while also analyzing the impact on innocents to determine the ethical implications of sanctions. 展开更多
关键词 ECONOMIC sanctions FOREIGN POLICY NORMATIVE analysis ECONOMIC FOREIGN POLICY TOOLS
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Impact of US Financial Sanctions on the Dollar's International Status
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作者 Ma Xue 《Contemporary International Relations》 2024年第4期49-68,共20页
In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of stra... In 2022,the United States stepped up its sanctions on Russia.Most notably,it restricted the flow of the Russian Central Bank's foreign exchange(forex)assets,using financial administrative power as a source of strategic leverage.This move should have reduced the appeal of US dollar assets but in reality has not accelerated as expected the decline of the greenback as a store of value.The US dollar's share of global forex reserves increased instead of decreased during 2022 and 2023.Despite the rise of economic costs caused by tightened US financial sanctions,countries that recognize the geopolitical role of the United States have further accepted the dollar's international status;their continued willingness to live with the dollar's“security premium”has given a fillip to the US dollar in the short term,boosting its appeal as a reserve currency.Meanwhile,de-dollarization of forex reserves has yet to reach a sufficient scale,thus falling short of significantly challenging the dollar's reign.From a longer-term perspective,as economic and security conditions shift,countries that accept the dollar's international role or seek de-dollarization may change their choices.As a result,four possible scenarios may arise:(i)the preeminence of the US dollar remains unthreatened;(ii)the international monetary system splits into blocs;(iii)the international monetary system fragments;and(iv)the dollar loses its throne.The author believes that the last scenario is the most likely outcome. 展开更多
关键词 de-dollarization international status of the US dollar national security US financial sanctions
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US Financial Sanctions on Russia: Do They Work?
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作者 Ma Xue 《Contemporary International Relations》 2018年第5期87-104,共18页
Since the Crimean crisis, the US has continuously tightened financial sanctions on Russia. In the short term, this doesn't appear to be working very effectively, but in the long run, it has indeed had an irreversi... Since the Crimean crisis, the US has continuously tightened financial sanctions on Russia. In the short term, this doesn't appear to be working very effectively, but in the long run, it has indeed had an irreversible impact on the Russian economy. Though the US has repeatedly upgraded its sanction plans, four puzzles have long remained unsolved: appropriate sanctions have avoided a humanitarian crisis, but raised moral dilemmas; actual enforcement of sanctions is getting more and more difficult; EU cooperation with the US is vital, but the two regions more often than not play different tunes; and the frequent use of sanctions weakens US legitimacy and integrity, leading to a degradation of the sanction mechanism. Sanctions have continued to be implemented since President Trump took office, but with some new adjustments. 展开更多
关键词 US economy financial sanction US-Russian relations
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Analyzing Direct and Indirect Effects of Economic Sanctions on I. R. Iran Economic Growth: Focusing on the External Sector of the Economy
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作者 Morteza Ezzati 《Open Journal of Marine Science》 2016年第4期457-471,共16页
In this paper, we analyze direct and indirect effects of economic sanctions on I. R. Iran’s economic growth from 1979 to 2012 focusing on the external sector of the economy. Our data for variables except for sanction... In this paper, we analyze direct and indirect effects of economic sanctions on I. R. Iran’s economic growth from 1979 to 2012 focusing on the external sector of the economy. Our data for variables except for sanction are derived from 1966 to 2012 and a dummy variable is used for each sanction’s beginning years. The designed model is based on the endogenous growth models in which we analyze the effects by 2SLS econometric method. Our findings indicate that economic sanctions have not directly affected Iran’s economic growth so much. These effects have been indirect through restricting total imports, capital goods imports, imports of intermediate goods and primary products and also the export leading to decreased economic growth of the country. 展开更多
关键词 sanction Economic Growth I. R. Iran External Sector
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Market reactions to ESG sanctions in the European airline industry
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作者 Shuvam Agarwal Marina Efthymiou 《Journal of the Air Transport Research Society》 2025年第2期59-67,共9页
Environmental,Social,and Governance(ESG)concerns have gained centrality in the airline industry’s strategic and regulatory landscape.While prior research has explored the effect of voluntary ESG disclosures on firm v... Environmental,Social,and Governance(ESG)concerns have gained centrality in the airline industry’s strategic and regulatory landscape.While prior research has explored the effect of voluntary ESG disclosures on firm valuation,the market impact of regulatory ESG sanctions remains underexamined-particularly in sectors with high regulatory scrutiny like aviation.This study investigates stock market responses to 45 ESG-related enforcement actions issued by EU and UK regulators against 15 publicly listed airlines between 2000 and 2024.Using a standard event study methodology,we find significant negative abnormal returns,with cumulative losses exceeding-3.5%in the[-5,+5]event window.Governance-related sanctions trigger the most severe investor responses,while social sanctions,though more frequent,have a more moderate impact.A clear temporal decay effect is also observed:the longer the delay between misconduct and public disclosure of the sanction,the smaller the market reaction-indicating information leakage and gradual price adjustment.This study adds new evidence on how ESG sanctions affect airline valuations,showing that compliance and transparency matter financially in a heavily regulated industry,like aviation. 展开更多
关键词 AIRLINES Event study Sustainable aviation ESG AVIATION sanctions Environment Aviation finance
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Energy sanctions in the global economy:Geopolitical disruptions,market fragmentation,innovation and green transition
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作者 Godspower Oke Omokaro Zipporah Simiyu Nafula +4 位作者 Nwankwo Evalistus Iloabuchi Ogheneochuko Shadrack Efeni Opelopejesu Israel Adeyanju Oyedele Opeoluwa Janet Omodot Udim Idiong 《International Journal of Innovation Studies》 2025年第3期246-261,共16页
Economic sanctions have emerged as critical instruments of geopolitical strategy, with significant ramifications for global energy markets, innovation trajectories, and the transition to sustainable energy systems. Th... Economic sanctions have emerged as critical instruments of geopolitical strategy, with significant ramifications for global energy markets, innovation trajectories, and the transition to sustainable energy systems. This study offers a qualitative synthesis of literature and case studies spanning 2000–2025 to evaluate how sanctions affect major energy producers such as Russia, Iran, and Venezuela. The analysis reveals that sanctions disrupt energy supply chains, restrict access to foreign investment and advanced technologies, and constrain integration into global financial systems. Simultaneously, they trigger adaptive responses, including domestic innovation efforts, clandestine export practices, and new geopolitical alliances. A key finding is the paradox of sanctions in shaping energy transitions. While sender states, particularly in Europe, have accelerated renewable energy adoption to reduce their dependence on sanctioned fossil fuels, target states often experience technological stagnation and entrenched reliance on conventional hydrocarbons. Notably, sanctions have stimulated localized innovation in some contexts, such as Iran's refining technologies and Venezuela's shadow fleet logistics. The study also identifies gaps in current scholarship, especially regarding the long-term governance implications of sanctions, the emergence of parallel energy markets aligned with BRICS and OPEC+, and the uneven global distribution of green investments. By integrating political realism and social constructivism, the research highlights the dual character of sanctions as both coercive instruments and inadvertent catalysts of systemic energy change. These findings call for a more nuanced policy approach that balances geopolitical objectives with sustainable energy security. 展开更多
关键词 Energy sanctions Economic statecraft Energy security Global energy transition Geopolitics of energy CONFLICT
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Bridging Dreams,Building Futures
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《ChinAfrica》 2026年第3期14-15,共2页
China-Zimbabwe collaboration is creating new opportunities for innovation and development of youth Zimbabwe’s development has long faced obstacles linked to Western economic sanctions,measures that many view as unjus... China-Zimbabwe collaboration is creating new opportunities for innovation and development of youth Zimbabwe’s development has long faced obstacles linked to Western economic sanctions,measures that many view as unjust or unlawful.Yet,despite these constraints,Zimbabwe remains a nation rich in natural resources and endowed with a highly educated population,with its youth standing out as a particularly dynamic force. 展开更多
关键词 innovation DEVELOPMENT natural resources economic sanctions development youth obstacles western economic sanctionsmeasures DREAMS
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新证券法与上市公司审计聘用制度选择
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作者 张睿 田高良 田梓辰 《南开管理评论》 北大核心 2026年第1期113-124,共12页
我国实施的新证券法明确并强化了会计师事务所从事证券审计业务的法律责任,这将深刻影响审计市场和审计行为。目前A+H股公司可自愿选择聘用内地与中国香港审计师双重审计或内地审计师单一审计,其审计聘用制度选择是否会受到新证券法影... 我国实施的新证券法明确并强化了会计师事务所从事证券审计业务的法律责任,这将深刻影响审计市场和审计行为。目前A+H股公司可自愿选择聘用内地与中国香港审计师双重审计或内地审计师单一审计,其审计聘用制度选择是否会受到新证券法影响仍然未知。本文以2017~2022年A股公司为样本,采用双重差分法进行分析,发现新证券法实施降低了A+H股公司采用双重审计制度的概率;这种影响通过提高内地事务所的惩戒风险和服务质量发挥作用,其作用对规模更大的事务所更显著且具有一定时滞。结论表明新证券法的实施强化了内地事务所的法律责任,提高了信息使用者对A+H股公司的信任,促使公司放弃双重审计、转向内地审计师单一审计,推动了我国审计行业的国际化进程。 展开更多
关键词 新证券法 审计聘用制度选择 惩戒风险 审计质量
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我国反制裁追偿诉讼的模式选择
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作者 董静然 《政治与法律》 北大核心 2026年第1期146-162,共17页
《中华人民共和国反外国制裁法》第12条为私人主体在反制裁背景下维护自身合法权益提供了基础性法律依据。此类追偿诉讼的模式选择既关系到《中华人民共和国反外国制裁法》相关条款的实施和反制裁目标的实现,也关系到我国涉外审判国际... 《中华人民共和国反外国制裁法》第12条为私人主体在反制裁背景下维护自身合法权益提供了基础性法律依据。此类追偿诉讼的模式选择既关系到《中华人民共和国反外国制裁法》相关条款的实施和反制裁目标的实现,也关系到我国涉外审判国际影响力的持续提升。反制裁追偿诉讼案件以私法属性为主,但兼具一定的公法属性,这给诉讼模式的选择造成了困境。双方当事人“对抗”的表象下是“合作”的实质需求。案件中主观无恶意的侵权人与被侵权人都是大国博弈政策下的被动承受者,相关诉讼主体应秉持合作的共识,协同推进诉讼程序,以实现各自利益最大化。然而,西方传统的对抗式程序正义理论并不能满足这种“合作”需求。合作调解型诉讼模式,立足于中国传统“调解型”民事诉讼模式和国际调解制度实践,根据协商性程序正义理论,以“调审合一”为基本形式,涵盖公力合作与私力合作。在该模式下,诉讼主体主要围绕认知共识、信息沟通等方面展开合作,促进纠纷解决。合作调解型模式以维护私人主体合法权益、反制裁为基本价值目标,以形成相关案件诉讼模式的中国范式、践行和维护多边主义为更高价值追求。 展开更多
关键词 反制裁 追偿诉讼 协商性程序正义 合作调解型模式
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美国经济制裁对跨境供应链建设的挑战及中国应对
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作者 孙南翔 《供应链管理》 2026年第2期19-30,共12页
近年来,美西方国家加大对中资企业和实体的制裁打压力度,其中高新技术和产业成为美西方国家制裁打压的重点领域,对我国跨境产业链供应链建设形成严峻的挑战。虽然我国已初步建立反制立法,但对比法国、日本、俄罗斯应对制裁打压的经验教... 近年来,美西方国家加大对中资企业和实体的制裁打压力度,其中高新技术和产业成为美西方国家制裁打压的重点领域,对我国跨境产业链供应链建设形成严峻的挑战。虽然我国已初步建立反制立法,但对比法国、日本、俄罗斯应对制裁打压的经验教训以及我国面临更加严峻的内外部竞争形势,我国在维护产业链供应链安全稳定方面的工作仍存在短板弱项。我国要加强推动产业链供应链安全稳定和韧性建设的法律保障,明确不接受其他国家不合理不正当的供应链规则的立场。同时要加强产业链供应链双、多边规则的有效供给,并进一步提高对涉供应链争议解决机制的建设水平和运用能力,以此更好地维护我国的主权、安全和发展利益。 展开更多
关键词 经济制裁 出口管制 海外利益保护 供应链立法 涉外法治
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新治安管理处罚法中与刑法有关的若干问题
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作者 黄京平 《北京联合大学学报(人文社会科学版)》 2026年第1期62-78,共17页
广义的治安管理处罚法规制的违反治安管理行为,是构建“治安违法—刑事犯罪”二元制裁制度的规范基础。在“治安处罚—刑罚处罚”的二元制裁制度中,治安管理处罚法的集中修订和分散修订,都是刑法修正的特别方式,作用在于落实宽严相济刑... 广义的治安管理处罚法规制的违反治安管理行为,是构建“治安违法—刑事犯罪”二元制裁制度的规范基础。在“治安处罚—刑罚处罚”的二元制裁制度中,治安管理处罚法的集中修订和分散修订,都是刑法修正的特别方式,作用在于落实宽严相济刑事政策和终止积极刑法观的立法实践进程。法定违法行为与法定犯对接的最典型规定,实际是分层前置法和双层保障法构成的严控法律追责程度的制度。新治安管理处罚法的实施,要求重新定位治安管理处罚法与刑法的关系,应由“入罪优先、违法兜底”转变为“违法认定优先、严格限制入罪”。新治安管理处罚法,以社会治安综合治理方针、“教惩结合”政策和广义治安调解处理制度等为基础,初步形成了犯罪治理规范体系,具有了“犯罪治理法”的特性;治罪与治理并重,是刑法作为“犯罪惩治法”和治安管理处罚法作为“犯罪治理法”的并重。入罪判断必须为治安管理处罚法预留法定的适用空间,是统一公检法机关执法司法办案标准的一般规则。 展开更多
关键词 治安管理处罚法 二元制裁 刑法修正 限制入罪 社会治安综合治理 教育与处罚相结合 犯罪治理 危险作业 盗窃
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面向美国制裁的反制裁情报基本问题研究
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作者 赵健雅 陈峰 《情报杂志》 北大核心 2026年第1期9-15,共7页
[目的]随着中美战略竞争日益加剧,制裁与反制裁成为国家间竞争的常态化手段。开展面向美国制裁的反制裁情报研究,对我国有效应对外国单边制裁提供理论参考。[方法]从美国对华制裁行为以及我国反制裁实践的竞争情报属性出发,分析该背景... [目的]随着中美战略竞争日益加剧,制裁与反制裁成为国家间竞争的常态化手段。开展面向美国制裁的反制裁情报研究,对我国有效应对外国单边制裁提供理论参考。[方法]从美国对华制裁行为以及我国反制裁实践的竞争情报属性出发,分析该背景下反制裁情报的必要性和可行性,以及被赋予的时代内涵与典型特征,进而从事前-事中-事后三个阶段提出反制裁情报的全过程工作进路。[结果/结论]美国对华制裁举措是典型的国家竞争情报行为,我国反制裁实践也成为新的竞争情报应用场景。面向美国制裁的反制裁情报是政企配合、内外联动、多部门协同的情报过程,是赋能我国反制裁实践的重要一环,可从“如何预防被美制裁风险-如何解决涉美制裁争议-如何争取政府支持”全过程具体开展我国反制裁情报工作。 展开更多
关键词 情报工作 竞争情报 反制裁 反制裁情报 美国制裁
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The Threat of Financial Sanctions:What Safeguards Can Central Banks Build? 被引量:5
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作者 Srichander Ramaswamy 《China & World Economy》 2022年第3期23-41,共19页
The sanctions imposed by the G10 countries on financial institutions in Russia,including on its central bank,mil come under scrutiny by emerging market central banks.This will help them build appropriate safeguards ag... The sanctions imposed by the G10 countries on financial institutions in Russia,including on its central bank,mil come under scrutiny by emerging market central banks.This will help them build appropriate safeguards against disruptions to cross-border transactions and revise their investment mandates to reduce the risk of reserve asset freezes.Building new1 financial market infrastructure and cross-border payment systems,or strengthening existing ones,will become the priority of emerging global powers.The goal will be to build systems that support democratic governance mechanisms,have oversight arrangements involving the central banks of trusted countries,and promote fair and safe access to clearing and settlement under well-defined policy guidelines.The use of alternatives to the US dollar as the invoicing currency in international trade will gather momentum.Markets for energy and other commodities will be the change drivers.China has an important role to play. 展开更多
关键词 Bretton Woods central banks financial market infrastructure financial sanctions foreign exchange reserves SWIFT
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Education Under Siege: Exploring How International Economic Sanctions Create Crises of Pedagogy 被引量:1
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作者 Munyaradzi Hwami 《ECNU Review of Education》 2022年第3期450-469,共20页
Purpose:This article examines the adverse impact of international economic sanctions on pedagogy.The article considers the contemporary times as a period of misinformation,false news,and untruths.Utilizing anti-hegemo... Purpose:This article examines the adverse impact of international economic sanctions on pedagogy.The article considers the contemporary times as a period of misinformation,false news,and untruths.Utilizing anti-hegemonic literature,international economic sanctions are viewed as neoliberalism's instrument of coercion,a Western weapon used to enforce Western values on thosewithdifferentperceptions toward thefreemarket system.Design/Approach/Methods:This article utilizes critical scholarship to unmask authoritarian neoliberalism and a scoping review of sanctioned societies.Critical analytics are deployedto interpret and make sense of the dominant educational policy framework that appears to be against diversity.Findings:Neoliberalism has caused a crisis in pedagogy.Education is under siege as academics and scientific evidence are being disregarded.The call is for pedagogues from all over the world to continue to avail evidence to power by practicing critical education.Literature is utilized to propose critical pedagogy when scientific evidence is disputed,and non-Western epistemologies are considered anachronous.Originality/Value:Linking sanctions and neoliberalism is relativelynovel,as is the contribution of the same lenses to authoritarian neoliberalism.The assault on divergent epistemologies is critical,and the defense of critical scholarship is every academic's duty.The article joins conversations on the neoliberal assault on education and society. 展开更多
关键词 Authoritarian neoliberalism crises of pedagogy critical education international economic sanction post-truth era
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纪法贯通视角下党纪追责时效制度的逻辑构建与实践路径
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作者 王建芹 杨智媛 《内蒙古大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》 2026年第1期99-109,112,共12页
现行党内法规制度下,党纪追责未设置时效限制,实行的是终身追责制。这一制度安排虽彰显了党纪的严肃性,但在纪法贯通的实践要求下,面临着法理自洽性不足与规范协同效能弱化的双重困境。在中央纪委国家监委合署办公背景下,执纪执法贯通... 现行党内法规制度下,党纪追责未设置时效限制,实行的是终身追责制。这一制度安排虽彰显了党纪的严肃性,但在纪法贯通的实践要求下,面临着法理自洽性不足与规范协同效能弱化的双重困境。在中央纪委国家监委合署办公背景下,执纪执法贯通已成为推动监督执纪工作迈向高质量发展的关键举措,时效制度作为一项在刑事、行政等领域得到广泛应用的重要制度,可以作为纪法贯通的一个切入点。在我国,刑事追诉时效和行政追责时效制度经过长期实践与发展,已积累了较为成熟的制度经验和实践路径,为党纪追责时效制度的构建提供了极具价值的参考。建立党纪追责时效制度,是在全面考量党内监督需求、纪法协同关系及纪检监察工作实际状况等多方面因素后作出的理性与现实选择。这一制度的建立有助于增强执纪的精准性与科学性,进一步推动纪检监察机关切实落实好监督这一首要职责与基本职责。 展开更多
关键词 纪法贯通 党纪追责时效 刑事追诉时效 行政追责时效 纪律处分
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大国战略竞争时代的英伟达:一个GPU垄断者的角色与影响
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作者 朱思思 崔莹佳 《国际安全研究》 北大核心 2026年第2期120-142,170,共24页
人工智能时代,以图形处理器(GPU)为关键载体的智能算力已成为大国战略竞争的核心领域。技术权力理论揭示出英伟达公司GPU市场垄断者的地位不仅是一种市场结果,更是一种权力形态,它通过硬件架构、软件生态与供应链网络构筑起控制与依附关... 人工智能时代,以图形处理器(GPU)为关键载体的智能算力已成为大国战略竞争的核心领域。技术权力理论揭示出英伟达公司GPU市场垄断者的地位不仅是一种市场结果,更是一种权力形态,它通过硬件架构、软件生态与供应链网络构筑起控制与依附关系,成为美国对华实施技术遏制的制度化支点。面对美国趋于收紧的对华GPU政策,英伟达采取了游说美国政府与安抚中国市场双向押注、技术降级与生态固守相结合的平衡策略,同时通过调整全球产能布局与构建行业生态联盟来应对地缘政治风险。这些行为在短期内虽为其保留了部分中国市场并规避了政策风险,但长期来看,却加速了中国国产GPU的替代进程,也破坏了全球半导体产业链的稳定,加剧中美在科技领域的战略互疑与“体系并行”风险,最终会对全球科技治理体系的发展产生深远的负面影响。英伟达的战略折射出技术巨头在国家安全逻辑与全球市场逻辑之间难以调和的根本困境。 展开更多
关键词 技术权力 大国战略竞争 英伟达 人工智能 制裁与反制裁
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产业集群政策如何提升企业劳动生产率
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作者 徐睿迪 余淼杰 赵子龙 《国际商务研究》 北大核心 2026年第2期12-25,共14页
本文在产业集群理论视角下提出研究假设,并基于企业微观数据与集群政策信息,采用双重差分模型,评估俄罗斯产业集群政策对企业劳动生产率的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:俄罗斯产业集群政策总体上显著提高了企业劳动生产率;政策通过协同... 本文在产业集群理论视角下提出研究假设,并基于企业微观数据与集群政策信息,采用双重差分模型,评估俄罗斯产业集群政策对企业劳动生产率的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:俄罗斯产业集群政策总体上显著提高了企业劳动生产率;政策通过协同效应、规模效应和管理效应发挥作用;政策效果在较大规模企业、资金链稳健企业及高技术行业中更突出,但中高技术及知识密集型行业的政策效果并不明显。本文基于制裁背景下俄罗斯产业政策实践经验,为中国及其他转型经济体应对外部环境变化和防范制裁风险提供了有益参考。 展开更多
关键词 产业政策 产业集群 劳动生产率 进口替代战略 经济制裁
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经济制裁对全球跨国并购网络的冲击:“非故意后果”假说的再检验
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作者 高天 王智新 《南方经济》 北大核心 2026年第2期44-68,共25页
在经济工具日益“武器化”的今天,经济制裁如何溢出其直接目标,重塑全球跨国并购网络?文章利用时间指数随机图模型(TERGM),并结合2000—2021年全球并购与经济制裁数据,评估了经济制裁对跨国并购网络的冲击效应。研究证实,尽管跨国并购... 在经济工具日益“武器化”的今天,经济制裁如何溢出其直接目标,重塑全球跨国并购网络?文章利用时间指数随机图模型(TERGM),并结合2000—2021年全球并购与经济制裁数据,评估了经济制裁对跨国并购网络的冲击效应。研究证实,尽管跨国并购并非经济制裁的直接目标领域,但经济制裁对全球跨国并购网络依然产生了显著的负面冲击效应,“非故意后果”假说成立。文章的核心贡献在于揭示了该效应的异质性特征与作用机制:首先,在制裁类型异质性上,金融制裁及美欧联合制裁的破坏性最强;其次,在并购目标异质性上,针对产业链上游和技术密集型企业的并购交易受到的负面影响最大。最后,在作用机制上,经济制裁通过降低双边政治关系稳定性来抑制全球跨国并购网络,而国家层面的融资替代、制度嵌入与治理能力则通过负向调节作用,有效缓冲外部冲击。该研究从网络视角揭示了经济制裁对跨国并购网络的“非故意后果”,克服了传统计量模型的局限,使我们可以在一个更复杂、更现实的统一框架内,系统性地检验跨国并购网络是如何在外部冲击和内部演化规律的共同作用下动态演变的。这些发现不仅深化了我国在百年未有之大变局下对经济制裁与跨国并购之间复杂关系的理解,也为实现高水平对外开放、保障我国海外利益安全提供了重要的政策启示。 展开更多
关键词 经济制裁 全球跨国并购网络 “非故意后果”假说 海外利益安全
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