Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Fir...Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the simultaneous faults' model is built based on the generalized frame of discernment in DSmT. Secondly, according to the unified description of combination rules in evidence reasoning based on random sets, a new combination rule for simultaneous faults diagnosis is proposed. Thirdly, according to the working characteristics and environment of the sensors used to acquire fault characteristic information, a new method to construct basic probability assignment function is pro- posed based on membership. Finally, diagnosis result is obtained by use of the new combination rule combined with decision rules. A case pertaining to the fault diagnosis for a multi-function rotor test-bed is given, and the result shows that the proposed diagnosis approach is feasible and efficient.展开更多
The more diverse the ways and means of information acquisition are,the more complex and various the types of information are. The qualities of available information are usually uncertain,vague,imprecise,incomplete,and...The more diverse the ways and means of information acquisition are,the more complex and various the types of information are. The qualities of available information are usually uncertain,vague,imprecise,incomplete,and so on. However,the information is modeled and fused traditionally in particular,name some of the known theories: evidential,fuzzy sets,possibilistic,rough sets or conditional events,etc. For several years,researchers have explored the unification of theories enabling the fusion of multisource information and have finally considered random set theory as a powerful mathematical tool. This paper attempts to overall review the close relationships between random set theory and other theories,and introduce recent research results which present how different types of information can be dealt with in this unified framework. Finally,some possible future directions are discussed.展开更多
In this paper,the transferable belief model established on power sets is extended to the permutation event space(PES)and is referred to as the layer-2 transferable belief model.Our goal is to provide a comprehensive a...In this paper,the transferable belief model established on power sets is extended to the permutation event space(PES)and is referred to as the layer-2 transferable belief model.Our goal is to provide a comprehensive approach for handling and modeling uncertainty,capable of representing both quantitative and qualitative information.First,the motivation for proposing the layer-2 transferable belief model and its information processing principles are explored from the perspective of weak propensity.Then,based on these principles,the corresponding information processing methods for the credal and pignistic levels are developed.Finally,the advantages of this model are validated through a classifier that leverages attribute fusion to enhance performance and decision-making accuracy.展开更多
In this paper,the concept of a random rough set which includes the mechanisms of numeric and non-numeric aspects of uncertain knowledge is introduced.It is proved that for any belief structure and its inducing belief ...In this paper,the concept of a random rough set which includes the mechanisms of numeric and non-numeric aspects of uncertain knowledge is introduced.It is proved that for any belief structure and its inducing belief and plausibility measures there exists a random approximation space such that the associated lower and upper probabilities are respectively the given belief and plausibility measures,and vice versa.And for a random approximation space generated from a totally random set,its inducing lower and upper probabilities are respectively a pair of necessity and possibility measures.展开更多
We introduce the probability properties of random recursive sets systematically in this paper. The main contents include convergence, zero\|one law and support of distribution and self\|similarity.Hutchinson construct...We introduce the probability properties of random recursive sets systematically in this paper. The main contents include convergence, zero\|one law and support of distribution and self\|similarity.Hutchinson constructed a class of strictly self\|similar sets and got many important results on fractal properties.Graf investigated the fractal properties of a special statistically self\|similar set. We have investigated various self\|similar sets and their probability properties and fractal properties.\;展开更多
A set is called regular if its Hausdorff dimension and upper box-counting dimension coincide. In this paper,we prove that the random self-conformal set is regular almost surely. Also we determine the dimensions for a ...A set is called regular if its Hausdorff dimension and upper box-counting dimension coincide. In this paper,we prove that the random self-conformal set is regular almost surely. Also we determine the dimensions for a class of random self-conformal sets.展开更多
Local strong seismic activity shows the potential to closely follow a renewal process,which is inconsistent with the overall seismic activity that aligns with the Poisson process.Given that existing methods for synthe...Local strong seismic activity shows the potential to closely follow a renewal process,which is inconsistent with the overall seismic activity that aligns with the Poisson process.Given that existing methods for synthesizing stochastic seismic event sets cannot control local seismic activity,a method based on Monte Carlo simulations has been developed for synthesizing random seismic event sets where local strong earthquakes satisfy the renewal process.This method can synthesize seismic activities in a statistical area where the overall activity conforms to the Poisson process and the major seismic activities in local potential sources or faults follow the renewal process.This paper presents long-and short-scale approaches.The long-scale earthquake catalogs are suitable for reflecting the sequential characteristics of seismic activities.Meanwhile,the short-scale catalogs focus on the impacts of specific earthquake events within a group for a detailed understanding of hazards under certain conditions,making them suitable for studies on specific earthquake sequences and geological areas or situations requiring high temporal resolution.In the applications of shortscale sequences,we find that the equivalent occurrence rate method may overestimate the seismic hazard.This synthesis method for earthquake catalogs can simulate realistic seismic activities,thereby enhancing the accuracy of hazard analysis results and is suitable for seismic hazard analysis and earthquake insurance rate setting.展开更多
In the tracking problem for the maritime radiation source by a passive sensor,there are three main difficulties,i.e.,the poor observability of the radiation source,the detection uncertainty(false and missed detections...In the tracking problem for the maritime radiation source by a passive sensor,there are three main difficulties,i.e.,the poor observability of the radiation source,the detection uncertainty(false and missed detections)and the uncertainty of the target appearing/disappearing in the field of view.These difficulties can make the establishment or maintenance of the radiation source target track invalid.By incorporating the elevation information of the passive sensor into the automatic bearings-only tracking(BOT)and consolidating these uncertainties under the framework of random finite set(RFS),a novel approach for tracking maritime radiation source target with intermittent measurement was proposed.Under the RFS framework,the target state was represented as a set that can take on either an empty set or a singleton; meanwhile,the measurement uncertainty was modeled as a Bernoulli random finite set.Moreover,the elevation information of the sensor platform was introduced to ensure observability of passive measurements and obtain the unique target localization.Simulation experiments verify the validity of the proposed approach for tracking maritime radiation source and demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in comparison with the traditional integrated probabilistic data association(IPDA)method.The tracking performance under different conditions,particularly involving different existence probabilities and different appearance durations of the target,indicates that the method to solve our problem is robust and effective.展开更多
First of all the authors introduce the concepts of random sub-self-similar set and random shift set and then construct the random sub-self-similar set by a random shift set and a collection of statistical contraction ...First of all the authors introduce the concepts of random sub-self-similar set and random shift set and then construct the random sub-self-similar set by a random shift set and a collection of statistical contraction operators.展开更多
Natural-language information is often mathematically expressed by fuzzy sets. With the random set theory as a bridge, this kind of information can be transformed into fuzzy evidence in Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. The...Natural-language information is often mathematically expressed by fuzzy sets. With the random set theory as a bridge, this kind of information can be transformed into fuzzy evidence in Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. Then Dempster's combination rule or other combination rules of evi- dence can be used perfectly for fusing natural-language and other information. However, this traditional transformation involves the use of α -cutsets to construct the focal elements which have to be repre- sented as consonant sets. This construction is very inflexible and unreasonable in some practical ap- plications. In this paper, with the desire to overcome this limitation, a method for constructing more general non-consonant focal elements is proposed based on the random set theory. Some examples are given to show the generality and the efficiency of this new method. Finally, we validate that non-consonant constructions provide less degrees of total uncertainty than that of the consonant case in these examples by using the evaluation criterion of total uncertainty.展开更多
In this article, the Hausdorff dimension and exact Hausdorff measure function of any random sub-self-similar set are obtained under some reasonable conditions. Several examples are given at the end.
Monte Carlo Analysis has been an accepted method for circuit tolerance analysis, but the heavy computational complexity has always prevented its applications. Based on random set theory, this paper presents a simple a...Monte Carlo Analysis has been an accepted method for circuit tolerance analysis, but the heavy computational complexity has always prevented its applications. Based on random set theory, this paper presents a simple and flexible tolerance analysis method to estimate circuit yield. It is the alternative to Monte Carlo analysis, but reduces the number of calculations dramatically.展开更多
The finite set statistics provides a mathematically rig- orous single target Bayesian filter （STBF） for tracking a target that generates multiple measurements in a cluttered environment. However, the target maneuver...The finite set statistics provides a mathematically rig- orous single target Bayesian filter （STBF） for tracking a target that generates multiple measurements in a cluttered environment. However, the target maneuvers may lead to the degraded track- ing performance and even track loss when using the STBF. The multiple-model technique has been generally considered as the mainstream approach to maneuvering the target tracking. Moti- vated by the above observations, we propose the multiple-model extension of the original STBF, called MM-STBF, to accommodate the possible target maneuvering behavior. Since the derived MM- STBF involve multiple integrals with no closed form in general, a sequential Monte Carlo implementation （for generic models） and a Gaussian mixture implementation （for linear Gaussian models） are presented. Simulation results show that the proposed MM-STBF outperforms the STBF in terms of root mean squared errors of dynamic state estimates.展开更多
This paper presents a new idea, named as modeling multisensor-heterogeneous information, to incorporate the fuzzy logic methodologies with mulitsensor-multitarget system under the framework of random set theory. First...This paper presents a new idea, named as modeling multisensor-heterogeneous information, to incorporate the fuzzy logic methodologies with mulitsensor-multitarget system under the framework of random set theory. Firstly, based on strong random set and weak random set, the unified form to describe both data (unambiguous information) and fuzzy evidence (uncertain information) is introduced. Secondly, according to signatures of fuzzy evidence, two Bayesian-markov nonlinear measurement models are proposed to fuse effectively data and fuzzy evidence. Thirdly, by use of "the models-based signature-matching scheme", the operation of the statistics of fuzzy evidence defined as random set can be translated into that of the membership functions of relative point state variables. These works are the basis to construct qualitative measurement models and to fuse data and fuzzy evidence.展开更多
In order to study whether the random events set can be used in Rudongbank of Nantong or not, we use ADCIRC model to stimulate the storm surge affectingRudong bank based on random events set. Then we use p-III curve to...In order to study whether the random events set can be used in Rudongbank of Nantong or not, we use ADCIRC model to stimulate the storm surge affectingRudong bank based on random events set. Then we use p-III curve to fit peak-value ofsurge of all the years to get the surge of typical return periods. The result shows that theresults of fitting by ADCIRC and by historical data coincide well in lower return periods,but to higher return periods, the results of fitting by ADCIRC are significantly higher thanthat of fitting by historical data. Due to the short time, it’s not enough for the extremestorm surge events to occur, the results of higher return periods are not reliable, so wecan’t rule out the reasonability of results based on random events set. The results offitting based on random events set are accurate in lower return periods and we can alsofully estimate the surge of higher return periods based on random events set. In thesituation of lacking historical data of hundreds of years, random events set can beaccepted as a tool to compute the return period of storm surge. Consideration of globalwarming, the possibility of super typhoons’ appearance will rise, which will result inhigher surge of return periods. In order to prevent the disaster of storm surge, thegovernment needs to deepen and reinforce the coastal engineering like seawalls and embankments.展开更多
In this paper we have found a general subordinator, X, whose range up to time 1, X([0,1)), has similar structure as random re orderings of the Cantor set K(ω).X([0,1)) and K(ω) have the same exact Hausdorff measure...In this paper we have found a general subordinator, X, whose range up to time 1, X([0,1)), has similar structure as random re orderings of the Cantor set K(ω).X([0,1)) and K(ω) have the same exact Hausdorff measure function and the integal test of packing measure.展开更多
A novel slow-down set waveform is proposed to improve the set performance and a 1 kb phase change random access memory chip fabricated with a 13nm CMOS technology is implemented to investigate the set performance by d...A novel slow-down set waveform is proposed to improve the set performance and a 1 kb phase change random access memory chip fabricated with a 13nm CMOS technology is implemented to investigate the set performance by different set programming strategies based on this new set pulse. The amplitude difference （I1 - I2） of the set pulse is proved to be a crucial parameter for set programming. We observe and analyze the cell characteristics with different I1 - I2 by means of thermal simulations and high-resolution transmission electron microscopy, which reveal that an incomplete set programming will occur when the proposed slow-down pulse is set with an improperly high I1 - I2. This will lead to an amorphous residue in the active region. We also discuss the programming method to avoid the set performance degradations.展开更多
The uncertainty of measurements and map features in quantity,as well as Data Association(DA)between measurements and map features,are two prevalent challenges in Simultaneous Localization and Mapping(SLAM).By leveragi...The uncertainty of measurements and map features in quantity,as well as Data Association(DA)between measurements and map features,are two prevalent challenges in Simultaneous Localization and Mapping(SLAM).By leveraging Random Finite Set(RFS)theory,SLAM can be naturally formulated as a complete Bayesian estimation problem.In this article,we begin by performing a recursive Bayesian estimator to propagate the joint probability density of the platform's pose and map,and then derive the marginal probability densities for the pose and map individually.Thus,we propose a Pose and Map Alternating Update(PMAU)-SLAM,which achieves favorable linear computational complexity with respect to the number of landmarks in the Field-of-View(FOV).This approach maintains a single probabilistic representation of the map,avoiding the need for multiple parallel maps fusion,as typically required by a particle-based SLAM method.We consider the propagation of the Probability Hypothesis Density(PHD)for the map RFS and the pose probability density,leading to the derivation of the PHD-PMAU-SLAM method.The labeled and unlabeled Gaussian Mixture(GM)-PHD-PMAU-SLAM algorithms are introduced,in which GM models,the Unscented Kalman Filter(UKF)and Covariance Intersection(CI)are used to address PHD approximation,nonlinear filtering,and pose fusion,respectively.Experimental results on both simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed methods improve the accuracy and robustness of landmark-based SLAM in cluttered environments while remaining computationally efficient.展开更多
A systematic approach is proposed to the theme of safety,reliability and global quality of complex networks(material and immaterial)by means of special mathematical tools that allow an adequate geometric characterizat...A systematic approach is proposed to the theme of safety,reliability and global quality of complex networks(material and immaterial)by means of special mathematical tools that allow an adequate geometric characterization and study of the operation,even in the presence of multiple obstacles along the path.To that end,applying the theory of graphs to the problem under study and using a special mathematical model based on stochastic geometry,in this article we consider some regular lattices in which it is possible to schematize the elements of the network,with the fundamental cell with six,eight or 2(n+2)obstacles,calculating the probability of Laplace.In this way it is possible to measure the“degree of impedance”exerted by the anomalies along the network by the obstacles examined.The method can be extended to other regular and/or irregular geometric figures,whose union together constitutes the examined network,allowing to optimize the functioning of the complex system considered.展开更多
It is difficult to build accurate model for measurement noise covariance in complex backgrounds. For the scenarios of unknown sensor noise variances, an adaptive multi-target tracking algorithm based on labeled random...It is difficult to build accurate model for measurement noise covariance in complex backgrounds. For the scenarios of unknown sensor noise variances, an adaptive multi-target tracking algorithm based on labeled random finite set and variational Bayesian （VB） approximation is proposed. The variational approximation technique is introduced to the labeled multi-Bernoulli （LMB） filter to jointly estimate the states of targets and sensor noise variances. Simulation results show that the proposed method can give unbiased estimation of cardinality and has better performance than the VB probability hypothesis density （VB-PHD） filter and the VB cardinality balanced multi-target multi-Bernoulli （VB-CBMeMBer） filter in harsh situations. The simulations also confirm the robustness of the proposed method against the time-varying noise variances. The computational complexity of proposed method is higher than the VB-PHD and VB-CBMeMBer in extreme cases, while the mean execution times of the three methods are close when targets are well separated.展开更多
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60434020, No.60772006)the Zhejiang Natural Science Foundation (R106745, Y1080422)
文摘Simultaneous faults often occur in running equipments, in order to solve the problems of the simultaneous faults, a new approach based on random sets and Dezert-Smarandache Theory (DSmT) is proposed in this paper. Firstly, the simultaneous faults' model is built based on the generalized frame of discernment in DSmT. Secondly, according to the unified description of combination rules in evidence reasoning based on random sets, a new combination rule for simultaneous faults diagnosis is proposed. Thirdly, according to the working characteristics and environment of the sensors used to acquire fault characteristic information, a new method to construct basic probability assignment function is pro- posed based on membership. Finally, diagnosis result is obtained by use of the new combination rule combined with decision rules. A case pertaining to the fault diagnosis for a multi-function rotor test-bed is given, and the result shows that the proposed diagnosis approach is feasible and efficient.
基金Supported in part by the NSFC (No.60934009,60874105)the ZJNSF (Y1080422, R106745)NCET (08-0345)
文摘The more diverse the ways and means of information acquisition are,the more complex and various the types of information are. The qualities of available information are usually uncertain,vague,imprecise,incomplete,and so on. However,the information is modeled and fused traditionally in particular,name some of the known theories: evidential,fuzzy sets,possibilistic,rough sets or conditional events,etc. For several years,researchers have explored the unification of theories enabling the fusion of multisource information and have finally considered random set theory as a powerful mathematical tool. This paper attempts to overall review the close relationships between random set theory and other theories,and introduce recent research results which present how different types of information can be dealt with in this unified framework. Finally,some possible future directions are discussed.
文摘In this paper,the transferable belief model established on power sets is extended to the permutation event space(PES)and is referred to as the layer-2 transferable belief model.Our goal is to provide a comprehensive approach for handling and modeling uncertainty,capable of representing both quantitative and qualitative information.First,the motivation for proposing the layer-2 transferable belief model and its information processing principles are explored from the perspective of weak propensity.Then,based on these principles,the corresponding information processing methods for the credal and pignistic levels are developed.Finally,the advantages of this model are validated through a classifier that leverages attribute fusion to enhance performance and decision-making accuracy.
基金NationalNaturalScienceFoundationofChina (No .60373078)
文摘In this paper,the concept of a random rough set which includes the mechanisms of numeric and non-numeric aspects of uncertain knowledge is introduced.It is proved that for any belief structure and its inducing belief and plausibility measures there exists a random approximation space such that the associated lower and upper probabilities are respectively the given belief and plausibility measures,and vice versa.And for a random approximation space generated from a totally random set,its inducing lower and upper probabilities are respectively a pair of necessity and possibility measures.
文摘We introduce the probability properties of random recursive sets systematically in this paper. The main contents include convergence, zero\|one law and support of distribution and self\|similarity.Hutchinson constructed a class of strictly self\|similar sets and got many important results on fractal properties.Graf investigated the fractal properties of a special statistically self\|similar set. We have investigated various self\|similar sets and their probability properties and fractal properties.\;
文摘A set is called regular if its Hausdorff dimension and upper box-counting dimension coincide. In this paper,we prove that the random self-conformal set is regular almost surely. Also we determine the dimensions for a class of random self-conformal sets.
基金funded by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFC3003502)。
文摘Local strong seismic activity shows the potential to closely follow a renewal process,which is inconsistent with the overall seismic activity that aligns with the Poisson process.Given that existing methods for synthesizing stochastic seismic event sets cannot control local seismic activity,a method based on Monte Carlo simulations has been developed for synthesizing random seismic event sets where local strong earthquakes satisfy the renewal process.This method can synthesize seismic activities in a statistical area where the overall activity conforms to the Poisson process and the major seismic activities in local potential sources or faults follow the renewal process.This paper presents long-and short-scale approaches.The long-scale earthquake catalogs are suitable for reflecting the sequential characteristics of seismic activities.Meanwhile,the short-scale catalogs focus on the impacts of specific earthquake events within a group for a detailed understanding of hazards under certain conditions,making them suitable for studies on specific earthquake sequences and geological areas or situations requiring high temporal resolution.In the applications of shortscale sequences,we find that the equivalent occurrence rate method may overestimate the seismic hazard.This synthesis method for earthquake catalogs can simulate realistic seismic activities,thereby enhancing the accuracy of hazard analysis results and is suitable for seismic hazard analysis and earthquake insurance rate setting.
基金Project(61101186)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘In the tracking problem for the maritime radiation source by a passive sensor,there are three main difficulties,i.e.,the poor observability of the radiation source,the detection uncertainty(false and missed detections)and the uncertainty of the target appearing/disappearing in the field of view.These difficulties can make the establishment or maintenance of the radiation source target track invalid.By incorporating the elevation information of the passive sensor into the automatic bearings-only tracking(BOT)and consolidating these uncertainties under the framework of random finite set(RFS),a novel approach for tracking maritime radiation source target with intermittent measurement was proposed.Under the RFS framework,the target state was represented as a set that can take on either an empty set or a singleton; meanwhile,the measurement uncertainty was modeled as a Bernoulli random finite set.Moreover,the elevation information of the sensor platform was introduced to ensure observability of passive measurements and obtain the unique target localization.Simulation experiments verify the validity of the proposed approach for tracking maritime radiation source and demonstrate the superiority of the proposed approach in comparison with the traditional integrated probabilistic data association(IPDA)method.The tracking performance under different conditions,particularly involving different existence probabilities and different appearance durations of the target,indicates that the method to solve our problem is robust and effective.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (10371092)the Foundation of Wuhan University
文摘First of all the authors introduce the concepts of random sub-self-similar set and random shift set and then construct the random sub-self-similar set by a random shift set and a collection of statistical contraction operators.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (60772006) the Zhejiang Natural Science Foundation (R106745, Y1080422)
文摘Natural-language information is often mathematically expressed by fuzzy sets. With the random set theory as a bridge, this kind of information can be transformed into fuzzy evidence in Dempster-Shafer (DS) theory. Then Dempster's combination rule or other combination rules of evi- dence can be used perfectly for fusing natural-language and other information. However, this traditional transformation involves the use of α -cutsets to construct the focal elements which have to be repre- sented as consonant sets. This construction is very inflexible and unreasonable in some practical ap- plications. In this paper, with the desire to overcome this limitation, a method for constructing more general non-consonant focal elements is proposed based on the random set theory. Some examples are given to show the generality and the efficiency of this new method. Finally, we validate that non-consonant constructions provide less degrees of total uncertainty than that of the consonant case in these examples by using the evaluation criterion of total uncertainty.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(10371092)Foundation of Ningbo University(8Y0600036).
文摘In this article, the Hausdorff dimension and exact Hausdorff measure function of any random sub-self-similar set are obtained under some reasonable conditions. Several examples are given at the end.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.60772006, 60434020)the Zhejiang Natural Science Foundation (No.R106745, Y1080422).
文摘Monte Carlo Analysis has been an accepted method for circuit tolerance analysis, but the heavy computational complexity has always prevented its applications. Based on random set theory, this paper presents a simple and flexible tolerance analysis method to estimate circuit yield. It is the alternative to Monte Carlo analysis, but reduces the number of calculations dramatically.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (61101181)
文摘The finite set statistics provides a mathematically rig- orous single target Bayesian filter （STBF） for tracking a target that generates multiple measurements in a cluttered environment. However, the target maneuvers may lead to the degraded track- ing performance and even track loss when using the STBF. The multiple-model technique has been generally considered as the mainstream approach to maneuvering the target tracking. Moti- vated by the above observations, we propose the multiple-model extension of the original STBF, called MM-STBF, to accommodate the possible target maneuvering behavior. Since the derived MM- STBF involve multiple integrals with no closed form in general, a sequential Monte Carlo implementation （for generic models） and a Gaussian mixture implementation （for linear Gaussian models） are presented. Simulation results show that the proposed MM-STBF outperforms the STBF in terms of root mean squared errors of dynamic state estimates.
基金Supported by the NSFC(No.60434020,60572051)Science and Technology Key Item of Ministry of Education of the PRC( No.205-092)the ZJNSF(No. R106745)
文摘This paper presents a new idea, named as modeling multisensor-heterogeneous information, to incorporate the fuzzy logic methodologies with mulitsensor-multitarget system under the framework of random set theory. Firstly, based on strong random set and weak random set, the unified form to describe both data (unambiguous information) and fuzzy evidence (uncertain information) is introduced. Secondly, according to signatures of fuzzy evidence, two Bayesian-markov nonlinear measurement models are proposed to fuse effectively data and fuzzy evidence. Thirdly, by use of "the models-based signature-matching scheme", the operation of the statistics of fuzzy evidence defined as random set can be translated into that of the membership functions of relative point state variables. These works are the basis to construct qualitative measurement models and to fuse data and fuzzy evidence.
文摘In order to study whether the random events set can be used in Rudongbank of Nantong or not, we use ADCIRC model to stimulate the storm surge affectingRudong bank based on random events set. Then we use p-III curve to fit peak-value ofsurge of all the years to get the surge of typical return periods. The result shows that theresults of fitting by ADCIRC and by historical data coincide well in lower return periods,but to higher return periods, the results of fitting by ADCIRC are significantly higher thanthat of fitting by historical data. Due to the short time, it’s not enough for the extremestorm surge events to occur, the results of higher return periods are not reliable, so wecan’t rule out the reasonability of results based on random events set. The results offitting based on random events set are accurate in lower return periods and we can alsofully estimate the surge of higher return periods based on random events set. In thesituation of lacking historical data of hundreds of years, random events set can beaccepted as a tool to compute the return period of storm surge. Consideration of globalwarming, the possibility of super typhoons’ appearance will rise, which will result inhigher surge of return periods. In order to prevent the disaster of storm surge, thegovernment needs to deepen and reinforce the coastal engineering like seawalls and embankments.
文摘In this paper we have found a general subordinator, X, whose range up to time 1, X([0,1)), has similar structure as random re orderings of the Cantor set K(ω).X([0,1)) and K(ω) have the same exact Hausdorff measure function and the integal test of packing measure.
基金Supported by the Strategic Priority Research Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences under Grant No XDA09020402the National Key Basic Research Program of China under Grant Nos 2013CBA01900,2010CB934300,2011CBA00607,and 2011CB932804+2 种基金the National Integrate Circuit Research Program of China under Grant No 2009ZX02023-003the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant Nos 61176122,61106001,61261160500,and 61376006the Science and Technology Council of Shanghai under Grant Nos 12nm0503701,13DZ2295700,12QA1403900,and 13ZR1447200
文摘A novel slow-down set waveform is proposed to improve the set performance and a 1 kb phase change random access memory chip fabricated with a 13nm CMOS technology is implemented to investigate the set performance by different set programming strategies based on this new set pulse. The amplitude difference （I1 - I2） of the set pulse is proved to be a crucial parameter for set programming. We observe and analyze the cell characteristics with different I1 - I2 by means of thermal simulations and high-resolution transmission electron microscopy, which reveal that an incomplete set programming will occur when the proposed slow-down pulse is set with an improperly high I1 - I2. This will lead to an amorphous residue in the active region. We also discuss the programming method to avoid the set performance degradations.
基金partly supported by the Technology Foundation for Basic Enhancement Plan,China(No.2021-JCJQ-JJ-0301)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.U22A2044,U22A2047,and 62371173)the Hangzhou Leading Innovation and Entrepreneurship Team,China(No.STD013)。
文摘The uncertainty of measurements and map features in quantity,as well as Data Association(DA)between measurements and map features,are two prevalent challenges in Simultaneous Localization and Mapping(SLAM).By leveraging Random Finite Set(RFS)theory,SLAM can be naturally formulated as a complete Bayesian estimation problem.In this article,we begin by performing a recursive Bayesian estimator to propagate the joint probability density of the platform's pose and map,and then derive the marginal probability densities for the pose and map individually.Thus,we propose a Pose and Map Alternating Update(PMAU)-SLAM,which achieves favorable linear computational complexity with respect to the number of landmarks in the Field-of-View(FOV).This approach maintains a single probabilistic representation of the map,avoiding the need for multiple parallel maps fusion,as typically required by a particle-based SLAM method.We consider the propagation of the Probability Hypothesis Density(PHD)for the map RFS and the pose probability density,leading to the derivation of the PHD-PMAU-SLAM method.The labeled and unlabeled Gaussian Mixture(GM)-PHD-PMAU-SLAM algorithms are introduced,in which GM models,the Unscented Kalman Filter(UKF)and Covariance Intersection(CI)are used to address PHD approximation,nonlinear filtering,and pose fusion,respectively.Experimental results on both simulated and real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed methods improve the accuracy and robustness of landmark-based SLAM in cluttered environments while remaining computationally efficient.
文摘A systematic approach is proposed to the theme of safety,reliability and global quality of complex networks(material and immaterial)by means of special mathematical tools that allow an adequate geometric characterization and study of the operation,even in the presence of multiple obstacles along the path.To that end,applying the theory of graphs to the problem under study and using a special mathematical model based on stochastic geometry,in this article we consider some regular lattices in which it is possible to schematize the elements of the network,with the fundamental cell with six,eight or 2(n+2)obstacles,calculating the probability of Laplace.In this way it is possible to measure the“degree of impedance”exerted by the anomalies along the network by the obstacles examined.The method can be extended to other regular and/or irregular geometric figures,whose union together constitutes the examined network,allowing to optimize the functioning of the complex system considered.
基金supported by the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (No.2014AA7014061)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.61501484)
文摘It is difficult to build accurate model for measurement noise covariance in complex backgrounds. For the scenarios of unknown sensor noise variances, an adaptive multi-target tracking algorithm based on labeled random finite set and variational Bayesian （VB） approximation is proposed. The variational approximation technique is introduced to the labeled multi-Bernoulli （LMB） filter to jointly estimate the states of targets and sensor noise variances. Simulation results show that the proposed method can give unbiased estimation of cardinality and has better performance than the VB probability hypothesis density （VB-PHD） filter and the VB cardinality balanced multi-target multi-Bernoulli （VB-CBMeMBer） filter in harsh situations. The simulations also confirm the robustness of the proposed method against the time-varying noise variances. The computational complexity of proposed method is higher than the VB-PHD and VB-CBMeMBer in extreme cases, while the mean execution times of the three methods are close when targets are well separated.
