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A novel framework for predicting non-stationary production time series of shale gas based on BiLSTM-RF-MPA deep fusion model 被引量:2
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作者 Bin Liang Jiang Liu +4 位作者 Li-Xia Kang Ke Jiang Jun-Yu You Hoonyoung Jeong Zhan Meng 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第5期3326-3339,共14页
Shale gas, as an environmentally friendly fossil energy resource, has gained significant commercial development and shows immense potential. However, accurately predicting shale gas production faces substantial challe... Shale gas, as an environmentally friendly fossil energy resource, has gained significant commercial development and shows immense potential. However, accurately predicting shale gas production faces substantial challenges due to the complex law of decline, nonlinear and non-stationary features in production data, which greatly repair the robustness of current models in predicting shale gas production time series. To address these challenges and improve accuracy in production forecasting, this paper introduces a novel and innovative approach: a hybrid proxy model that combines the bidirectional long short-term memory(BiLSTM) neural network and random forest(RF) through deep learning. The BiLSTM neural network is adept at capturing long-term dependencies, making it suitable for understanding the intricate relationships between input and output variables in shale gas production.On the other hand, RF serves a dual purpose: reducing model variance and addressing the concept drift problem that arises in non-stationary time series predictions made by BiLSTM. By integrating these two models, the hybrid approach effectively captures the inherent dependencies present in long and nonstationary production time series, thereby reducing model uncertainty. Furthermore, the combination of BiLSTM and RF is optimized using the recently-proposed marine predators algorithm(MPA) to fine-tune hyperparameters and enhance the overall performance of the proxy model. The results demonstrate that the proposed BiLSTM-RF-MPA model achieves higher prediction accuracy and demonstrates stronger generalization capabilities by effectively handling the complex nonlinear and non-stationary characteristics of shale gas production time series. Compared to other models such as LSTM, BiLSTM, and RF, the proposed model exhibits superior fitting and prediction performance, with an average improvement in performance indicators exceeding 20%. This innovative framework provides valuable insights for forecasting the complex production performance of unconventional oil and gas reservoirs, which sheds light on the development of data-driven proxy models in the field of subsurface energy utilization. 展开更多
关键词 production forecasting Shale gas BiLSTM-RF-MPA model Nonstationary production time series Deep learning
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Assessing the effects of site factors on the productivity of a feller buncher:a time and motion analysis
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作者 Ebru Bilici Abdullah E.Akay Dalia Abbas 《Journal of Forestry Research》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第4期1471-1478,共8页
We evaluated,for the first time in Turkey,the productivity of a feller buncher during clear-cut operations of two Brutian pine stands located in Canakkale,northwestern Turkey with different diameter classes and terrai... We evaluated,for the first time in Turkey,the productivity of a feller buncher during clear-cut operations of two Brutian pine stands located in Canakkale,northwestern Turkey with different diameter classes and terrain conditions.In the first stand with 24.6 cm average DBH,the feller buncher cut full trees and moved them to roadside.In the second stand with 34.3 cm average DBH,the feller buncher cut trees in two stages due to their larger diameters and the relatively steep and rough terrain conditions of the site.The effects of specific stand features,DBH and tree height measurements were assessed through statistical analysis in relation to productivity.The results indicate that the average productivity for the first stand was about 118 m^3h^-1,while it was about 80 m3h-1 in the second stand.Even though tree diameter and volume were higher in the second stand,productivity decreased by32.3%due to extra time spent on the two-stage cutting operation.The results revealed that harvesting operations should be planned carefully and the right equipment selected by accounting for different tree sizes,terrain conditions and machine specifications in order to better understand their effects on production. 展开更多
关键词 Timber HARVESTING FELLER BUNCHER Timber size productIVITY time and motion study
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MIP Formulations and Metaheuristics for Multi-Item Capacitated Lot-Sizing Problem with Non-Customer Specific Production Time Windows and Setup Times
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作者 Ridha Erromdhani Abdelwaheb Rebai 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2017年第2期83-98,共16页
Our research focuses on the development of two cooperative approaches for resolution of the multi-item capacitated lot-sizing problems with time windows and setup times (MICLSP-TW-ST). In this paper we combine variabl... Our research focuses on the development of two cooperative approaches for resolution of the multi-item capacitated lot-sizing problems with time windows and setup times (MICLSP-TW-ST). In this paper we combine variable neighborhood search and accurate mixed integer programming (VNS-MIP) to solve MICLSP-TW-ST. It concerns so a particularly important and difficult problem in production planning. This problem is NP-hard in the strong sense. Moreover, it is very difficult to solve with an exact method;it is for that reason we have made use of the approximate methods. We improved the variable neighborhood search (VNS) algorithm, which is efficient for solving hard combinatorial optimization problems. This problem can be viewed as an optimization problem with mixed variables (binary variables and real variables). The new VNS algorithm was tested against 540 benchmark problems. The performance of most of our approaches was satisfactory and performed better than the algorithms already proposed in the literature. 展开更多
关键词 Variable Neighborhood Decomposition Search Formatting Metaheuristics production Planning Capacitated Lot Sizing Mixed Integer Programming Matheuristics production time Windows
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Research on Reduction of Solar Power Curtailment with Grid Connected Energy Storage System Based on Time-Series Production Simulation 被引量:1
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作者 S. Ma Y. P. Xu +3 位作者 X. F. Li Y. F. Wang N. Zhang Y. R. Xu 《Energy and Power Engineering》 2017年第4期162-175,共14页
Due to the variable output of renewable energy (RE) generation, difficulties of dispatching RE for power system operators could not be avoided. One of possible solutions is the energy storage technology, especially th... Due to the variable output of renewable energy (RE) generation, difficulties of dispatching RE for power system operators could not be avoided. One of possible solutions is the energy storage technology, especially the battery storage system. The large-scale energy storage system is available to support power system reliable flexibility for load following and system frequency regulation. In this paper, the bottlenecks of large-scale solar power generation dispatching and operation in Qinghai grid are discussed, and a new PV-energy storage coordinated dispatching method is proposed for reduction of PV curtailment in Qinghai. Moreover, the validation based on the time-series production simulation is provided using real data from Qinghai. The results indicate that the proposed method can effectively decrease the curtailment of solar power and future vision of large-scale solar power coordinated operation with energy storage system is also presented. 展开更多
关键词 SOLAR POWER curtailment ENERGY STORAGE time-series productION simulation
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Switchable down-,up-and dual-chirped microwave waveform generation with improved time–bandwidth product based on polarization modulation and phase encoding
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作者 Yuxiao Guo Muguang Wang +1 位作者 Hongqian Mu Guofang Fan 《Chinese Physics B》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2022年第7期620-628,共9页
A switchable down-,up-and dual-chirped microwave waveform generation technique with improved time–bandwidth product(TBWP)is proposed and demonstrated based on a dual-polarization dual-parallel Mach–Zehnder modulator... A switchable down-,up-and dual-chirped microwave waveform generation technique with improved time–bandwidth product(TBWP)is proposed and demonstrated based on a dual-polarization dual-parallel Mach–Zehnder modulator(DPDPMZM)cascaded with a polarization modulator(Pol M).By properly controlling the phase shifts of the radio frequency signals applied to the DP-DPMZM,switchable down-,up-and dual-chirped waveforms with simultaneous frequency and bandwidth doubling can be generated.To enlarge the TBWP further,splitting parabolic signal and phase-encoding splitting parabolic signal are used to drive the Pol M for the enhancement of bandwidth and time duration.Numerical results demonstrate the generation of down-,up-and dual-chirped microwave waveform with TBWP of 8,160 and 10240.The proposed method may find applications in future multifunction radar systems due to the high performance and flexibility. 展开更多
关键词 microwave photonics linearly chirped waveform generation time–bandwidth product
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National Plan for Non-ferrous Metals Production Fulfilled ahead of Time
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《Rare Metals》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 1993年第1期73-73,共1页
Vice president of China National Nonferrous Metals Industries Corporation Mr. WoTingshu said:"The output of 10 kinds of nonferrous metals amounted to 2.45 Mt." This factmean1s that the national plan for nonf... Vice president of China National Nonferrous Metals Industries Corporation Mr. WoTingshu said:"The output of 10 kinds of nonferrous metals amounted to 2.45 Mt." This factmean1s that the national plan for nonferrous metals production fulfiled earlier. The 10 kinds ofnonferrous metals are aluminium, magnesium, lead, zinc, copper, tin, nickel, antimony mercuryand titanium. 展开更多
关键词 National Plan for Non-ferrous Metals production Fulfilled ahead of time
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Minimal Generalized Time-Bandwidth Product Method for Estimating the Optimum Fractional Fourier Order 被引量:2
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作者 Lin Tian Zhenming Peng 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2015年第3期8-12,共5页
A minimal generalized time-bandwidth product-based coarse-to-fine strategy is proposed with one novel ideas highlighted: adopting a coarse-to-fine strategy to speed up the searching process. The simulation results on ... A minimal generalized time-bandwidth product-based coarse-to-fine strategy is proposed with one novel ideas highlighted: adopting a coarse-to-fine strategy to speed up the searching process. The simulation results on synthetic and real signals show the validity of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 GENERALIZED time-Bandwidth product Coarse-to-Fine Strategy OPTIMUM FRACTIONAL FOURIER Order FRACTIONAL FOURIER Transform
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Distribution, residence time, autotrophic production, and heterotrophic removal of DOP in the Mirs Bay, northern South China Sea 被引量:2
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作者 Huaming Shi Yu Ma +2 位作者 Xulu Li Xiaoyong Shi Junxiao Zhang 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2019年第8期17-26,共10页
The importance of dissolved organic phosphorus(DOP) as a potential nutrient source for primary producers in marine systems has been recognized for up to eight decades, but currently, the understanding of the biogeoche... The importance of dissolved organic phosphorus(DOP) as a potential nutrient source for primary producers in marine systems has been recognized for up to eight decades, but currently, the understanding of the biogeochemistry of DOP is in its infancy. In the present study, monthly data between 2000 and 2014 were used to analyze the temporal and spatial distributions of DOP in the Mir Bay, the northern South China Sea. The DOP residence time(TDOP) was also investigated using a simple regression analysis in combination with chlorophyll a(Chl a) measurements while excess DOP(ΔDOP), produced by the biogeochemical processes of autotrophic production and heterotrophic removal, was determined using a two-component mixing mass-balance model in combination with salinity measurements. The results showed that the DOP concentration was(0.017±0.010) mg/L higher in the surface-water compared with the bottom-water and higher in the inner Tolo Harbour and waters adjacent to Shatoujiao compared with the main zone of the bay. Although seasonal changes and annual variability in the DOP were small, the surface DOP concentration was higher in the wet season(April–September)than in the dry season(October–March) due to the impacts of seaward discharges and atmospheric deposition into the bay. Measurement and regression results showed that the DOP release rate from phytoplankton production was about 1.83(gP)/(gChl a) and the TDOP was about 7 d, which implied that the DOP cycle in the bay was rapid. The ΔDOP was calculated from the model to be about 0.000 mg/L in the main zone of the bay and about 0.002 mg/L in the inner Tolo Harbour and waters adjacent to Shaotoujiao, suggesting that the autotrophic production of DOP was almost balanced by the heterotrophic removal in the main zone of the bay and dominated in the inner Tolo Harbour and waters adjacent to Shaotoujiao. In conclusion, the Mirs Bay is very productive and fairly heterotrophic. 展开更多
关键词 dissolved organic phosphorus temporal and spatial distributions residence time AUTOTROPHIC productION HETEROTROPHIC REMOVAL MIRS BAY northern South China Sea
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Analysis of the Main Factors Influencing Food Production in China Based on Time Series Trend Chart
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作者 Shuangjin WANG Jianying LI 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2014年第6期37-42,共6页
Based on the annual sample data on food production in China since the reform and opening up,we select 8 main factors influencing the total food production( growing area,application rate of chemical fertilizer,effectiv... Based on the annual sample data on food production in China since the reform and opening up,we select 8 main factors influencing the total food production( growing area,application rate of chemical fertilizer,effective irrigation area,the affected area,total machinery power,food production cost index,food production price index,financial funds for supporting agriculture,farmers and countryside),and put them into categories of material input,resources and environment,and policy factors. Using the factor analysis,we carry out the multi-angle analysis of these typical influencing factors one by one through the time series trend chart. It is found that application rate of chemical fertilizer,the growing area of food crops and drought-affected area become the key factors affecting food production. On this basis,we set forth the corresponding recommendations for improving the comprehensive food production capacity. 展开更多
关键词 FOOD productION Influencing FACTORS time SERIES TR
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Water Requirement Rules and Production of Highland Barley in Different Sowing Time and Irrigation Levels
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作者 Hou Yahong Liu Guoyi 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2019年第3期92-97,共6页
Water requirement rules and production of highland barley in different sowing time and irrigation levels were studied according to the data in field trial of 2016-2017.Based on analyzing the experimental results,the o... Water requirement rules and production of highland barley in different sowing time and irrigation levels were studied according to the data in field trial of 2016-2017.Based on analyzing the experimental results,the optimal irrigation scheduling and amount in the growth period of highland barley were proposed,which was of great significance to the unification of water saving and high yield of highland barley in the arid agricultural area of Tibet. 展开更多
关键词 Highland BARLEY SOWING time IRRIGATION treatment productION
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Fabrication scheduling on a single machine to minimize the weighted sum of product completion time
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作者 王玉青 孙世杰 《Journal of Shanghai University(English Edition)》 CAS 2007年第2期109-114,共6页
In this paper, a fabrication scheduling problem concerning the production of components at a single manufacturing facility was studied, in which the manufactured components are subsequently assembled into a finite num... In this paper, a fabrication scheduling problem concerning the production of components at a single manufacturing facility was studied, in which the manufactured components are subsequently assembled into a finite number of end products. Each product was assumed to comprise a common component to all jobs and a unique component to itself. Common operations were processed in batches and each batch required a setup time. A product is completed when both its two operations have been processed and are available. The optimality criterion considered was the minimization of weighted flow time. For this scheduling problem, the optimal schedules were described in a weignted shortest processing time first (WSPT) order and two algorithms were constructed corresponding to the batch availability and item availability, respectively. 展开更多
关键词 SCHEDULING product weighted flow time weighted shortest processing time first (WSPT) batch processing dynamic programming.
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Multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth product chirp signal
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作者 张洪纲 范花玉 +1 位作者 何少华 刘泉华 《Journal of Beijing Institute of Technology》 EI CAS 2015年第4期501-507,共7页
To prevent the long-time coherent integration and limited range window stumbling blocks of stretch processing and reduce computational complexity, a novel method called multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth p... To prevent the long-time coherent integration and limited range window stumbling blocks of stretch processing and reduce computational complexity, a novel method called multi-subpulse process of large time-bandwidth product linear frequency modulating ( LFM ) signal ( i. e. chirp ) is proposed in this paper. The wideband chirp signal is split up into several compressed subpulses. Then the fast Fourier transform (FFT) is used to reconstruct the high resolution range profile ( HR- RP) in a relative short computation time. For multi-frame, pulse Doppler (PD) process is performed to obtain the two-dimension range-Doppler (R-D) high resolution profile. Simulations and field ex- perimental results show that the proposed method can provide high-quality target profile over a large range window in a short computation time and has the promising potential for long-time coherent in- tegration. 展开更多
关键词 multi-subpulse process large time-bandwidth product chirp signal COMPUTATIONALCOMPLEXITY coherent integration
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A Time Dependent Inventory Model for Exponential Demand Rate with Constant Production Where Shelf-Life of the Product Is Finite
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作者 Mohammad Ekramol Islam Shirajul Islam Ukil Md. Sharif Uddin 《Open Journal of Applied Sciences》 2016年第1期38-48,共11页
In this paper a time dependent inventory model is developed on the basis of constant production rate and market demands which are exponentially decreasing. It advances in quest of total average optimum cost considerin... In this paper a time dependent inventory model is developed on the basis of constant production rate and market demands which are exponentially decreasing. It advances in quest of total average optimum cost considering those products which have finite shelf-life. The model also considers the small amount of decay. Without having any sort of backlogs, production starts. Reaching at the desired level of inventories, it stops production. After that due to demands along with the deterioration of the items it initiates its depletion and after certain periods the inventory gets zero. The decay of the products is level dependent. The objective of this paper is to find out the optimum inventory cost and optimum time cycle. The model has also been justified with proving the convex property and by giving a numerical example. 展开更多
关键词 production Inventory Shelf-Life time Dependent Demand Class production Rate
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Photonics Improvement of the Time-Bandwidth Product for a Linearly Chirped Waveform
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作者 Xuan Li Shanghong Zhao +1 位作者 Guodong Wang He Li 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2020年第12期2955-2963,共9页
<div style="text-align:justify;"> A photonics approach to generate a linearly chirped waveform with increased TBWP is proposed and investigated. The time bandwidth product (TBWP) of the linearly chirpe... <div style="text-align:justify;"> A photonics approach to generate a linearly chirped waveform with increased TBWP is proposed and investigated. The time bandwidth product (TBWP) of the linearly chirped waveform is improved based on optical microwave frequency multiplying combined with temporal synthesis. An integrated dual-polarization modulator and an optical filter are utilized to perform frequency doubling operation by generating an orthogonally polarized optical signal, which consists of an optical carrier in one polarization direction and a second-order chirped optical sideband in another. Then the orthogonally polarized optical signal puts into a polarization modulator (PolM) to perform phase coding process. By driving a Pseudorandom (PN) sequence to the PolM, the time duration of the generated bandwidth doubled linearly chirped waveform can be synthesized to arbitrary length. The approach is verified by simulation. A linearly chirped waveform with central frequency of 8.25 GHz, bandwidth of 500 MHz, time duration of 6.4 ns is used to generate a synthesized waveform with central frequency of 16.5 GHz, bandwidth of 1 GHz, time duration of 819.2 ns. The TBWP of the linearly chirped signal is improved from 3.2 to 819.2. The proposed method features arbitrary large TBWP, and it can be used in a radar system to improve its resolution. </div> 展开更多
关键词 Linearly Chirped Waveform time-Bandwidth product Frequency Multiplying Phase Coding
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Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Military and Civilian Regimes in Nigeria: A Statistical Evidence from Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
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作者 Desmond Chekwube Bartholomew Geoffrey Uzodinma Ugwuanyim +1 位作者 Ukamaka Cynthia Orumie Francis Attah Egwumah 《Open Journal of Statistics》 2023年第4期635-660,共26页
Governments influence the economy by changing the level and types of taxes, the extent and composition of spending, and the degree and form of borrowing. Governments directly and indirectly influence the way resources... Governments influence the economy by changing the level and types of taxes, the extent and composition of spending, and the degree and form of borrowing. Governments directly and indirectly influence the way resources are used in the economy. Higher taxes, fees, and greater regulations can stymie businesses or entire industries and the resulting impact is reflected on the country’s economy status (strong or weak). The growth rate of GDP is often used as an indicator of the general health of the economy. In broad terms, an increase in real GDP is interpreted as a sign that the economy is doing well. So it is important to study and pay more attention to country’s GDP growth rate. In this paper, an intervention analysis approach was applied to Nigeria GDP data in order to evaluate the performances of military and civilian rules in the country. Data on Nigeria GDP were collected and subjected to interrupted (intervention) time series model. Based on the Alkaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and sigma<sup>2</sup> values, the interrupted time series model ARIMA (1, 1, 0) with exogenous variables (per capita per capita GDP, intervention, year and yearAfter) was identified as the best model amongst other competing models. It was observed that the intervention (civilian rule) was significant at the 10% level of significance in increasing the Nigeria GDP by 10B US$ on the average since 2005 till 2021 while controlling for the effects of other determinants. Also, the ARIMA (1, 1, 0) forecasts indicate that the Nigeria GDP will continue increasing during the civilian rule. As a result, changing from military rule to civilian rule in Nigeria significantly increased the GDP of the country. 展开更多
关键词 ARIMA FORECAST Gross Domestic product NIGERIA INTERVENTION Interrupted time Series
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Interrupted Time Series Analysis of Military and Civilian Regimes in Nigeria: A Statistical Evidence from Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
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作者 Desmond Chekwube Bartholomew Geoffrey Uzodinma Ugwuanyim +1 位作者 Ukamaka Cynthia Orumie Francis Attah Egwumah 《Open Journal of Endocrine and Metabolic Diseases》 2023年第4期635-660,共26页
Governments influence the economy by changing the level and types of taxes, the extent and composition of spending, and the degree and form of borrowing. Governments directly and indirectly influence the way resources... Governments influence the economy by changing the level and types of taxes, the extent and composition of spending, and the degree and form of borrowing. Governments directly and indirectly influence the way resources are used in the economy. Higher taxes, fees, and greater regulations can stymie businesses or entire industries and the resulting impact is reflected on the country’s economy status (strong or weak). The growth rate of GDP is often used as an indicator of the general health of the economy. In broad terms, an increase in real GDP is interpreted as a sign that the economy is doing well. So it is important to study and pay more attention to country’s GDP growth rate. In this paper, an intervention analysis approach was applied to Nigeria GDP data in order to evaluate the performances of military and civilian rules in the country. Data on Nigeria GDP were collected and subjected to interrupted (intervention) time series model. Based on the Alkaike Information Criterion (AIC), Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) and sigma<sup>2</sup> values, the interrupted time series model ARIMA (1, 1, 0) with exogenous variables (per capita per capita GDP, intervention, year and yearAfter) was identified as the best model amongst other competing models. It was observed that the intervention (civilian rule) was significant at the 10% level of significance in increasing the Nigeria GDP by 10B US$ on the average since 2005 till 2021 while controlling for the effects of other determinants. Also, the ARIMA (1, 1, 0) forecasts indicate that the Nigeria GDP will continue increasing during the civilian rule. As a result, changing from military rule to civilian rule in Nigeria significantly increased the GDP of the country. 展开更多
关键词 ARIMA FORECAST Gross Domestic product NIGERIA INTERVENTION Interrupted time Series
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A Real-time Concurrent Product and Process Design System for Mechanical Parts
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作者 宋玉银 《High Technology Letters》 EI CAS 1999年第1期75-81,共7页
A real time concurrent product and process design system for mechanical parts is described in this paper. It consists of integrated product model, the expert system of product manufacturability evaluation and the con... A real time concurrent product and process design system for mechanical parts is described in this paper. It consists of integrated product model, the expert system of product manufacturability evaluation and the controller of concurrent design. With the help of the controller of concurrent design, each feature of a part can be designed and evaluated based on manufacturing knowledge and resources, and can be modified according to the results of evaluation. The machining method of design feature can be selected based on manufacturing knowledge. So real time concurrent product and process design can be implemented based on integrated product model that is established based on generalized feature. Products and its design process can be optimized with the help of this system. The information and function integration of product design process can be realized. The time to market and the cost of products can be reduced. 展开更多
关键词 CONCURRENT Engineering Real time CONCURRENT DESIGN Integrated product model EXPERT SYSTEM
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Comparison of Two Real-time PCR Technigues for Quantification of GMO Contents in Highly Processed Products of Soybean
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作者 YU Yanbo GAO Xuejun ZHANG Minghui LI Lu AO Jinxia 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2010年第1期37-42,共6页
The RR soybean was quantitatively detected by ABI Prism 7300 sequence detector with PCR primers and fluorescence probes were designed according to the sequences of endogenous Lectin gene and exogenous CP4-EPSPS gene, ... The RR soybean was quantitatively detected by ABI Prism 7300 sequence detector with PCR primers and fluorescence probes were designed according to the sequences of endogenous Lectin gene and exogenous CP4-EPSPS gene, and the PCR systems were based on SYBR Green I and TaqMan. The standard curve of ACt between CP4-EPSPS gene and Lectin gene of the RR soybean in standard materials was generated and a linear regression equation was obtained. Quantification methods were optimized through two different real-time PCR chemistries, i.e. SYBR Green I and TaqMan, and the RR soybean contents were quantified in five standard samples and seven highly processed products by the two assays. Both methods are proved to be specific, highly sensitive and reliable for both identification and quantification of soybean DNA. The results indicate that the two optimized PCR system can be used for the practical quantitative detection of RR soybean in highly processed products. 展开更多
关键词 RR soybean highly processed products CP4-EPSPS gene real-time PCR SYBR Green I TAQMAN
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Knowledge Management of Software Productivity and Development Time
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作者 James A. Rodger Pankaj Pankaj Ata Nahouraii 《Journal of Software Engineering and Applications》 2011年第11期609-618,共10页
In this paper, we identify a set of factors that may be used to forecast software productivity and software development time. Software productivity was measured in function points per person hours, and software develo... In this paper, we identify a set of factors that may be used to forecast software productivity and software development time. Software productivity was measured in function points per person hours, and software development time was measured in number of elapsed days. Using field data on over 130 field software projects from various industries, we empirically test the impact of team size, integrated computer aided software engineering (ICASE) tools, software development type, software development platform, and programming language type on the software development productivity and development time. Our results indicate that team size, software development type, software development platform, and programming language type significantly impact software development productivity. However, only team size significantly impacts software development time. Our results indicate that effective management of software development teams, and using different management strategies for different software development type environments may improve software development productivity. 展开更多
关键词 SOFTWARE Engineering SOFTWARE Metrics FOURTH Generation LANGUAGES CASE TOOLS Field Study TOOLS And Techniques Models And Principles Team Size VOLATILITY DEVELOPMENT Platform And Type productivity Elapsed DEVELOPMENT time
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2026年全国荔枝生产形势分析与管理建议
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作者 胡桂兵 苏钻贤 齐文娥 《中国热带农业》 2026年第2期5-15,54,共12页
去冬今春整体偏暖,冷空气过程少,不利于荔枝成花。今年荔枝成花率普遍低于去年,呈现“中等偏下”产量年景。全国荔枝种植面积约751.72万亩,基于成花情况预测2026年全国荔枝总产量约231.16万t,比创高产纪录的2025年(365.04万t)减产36.68%... 去冬今春整体偏暖,冷空气过程少,不利于荔枝成花。今年荔枝成花率普遍低于去年,呈现“中等偏下”产量年景。全国荔枝种植面积约751.72万亩,基于成花情况预测2026年全国荔枝总产量约231.16万t,比创高产纪录的2025年(365.04万t)减产36.68%,但比“小年”的2024年(172.79万t)增产33.78%。早熟品种‘妃子笑’‘白糖罂’成花率普遍在70%~90%,中晚熟品种‘桂味’‘糯米糍’等成花率仅10%~30%,新品种如‘仙进奉’成花率40%~70%。预计上市高峰集中在5—6月。针对当前花果期管理,建议加强肥水调控、保花保果及病虫害防控,力争稳产提质。 展开更多
关键词 荔枝 产量与产期预测 产销管理
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