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Relationship between the extreme value distribution of bending moments and traffic characteristics for simply supported bridges based on WIM data
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作者 SUGIRA Jean Claude ZHOU Xiaoyi +3 位作者 LI Xiaoya LI Shutao RUAN Xin WANG Hao 《Journal of Southeast University(English Edition)》 2026年第1期65-73,共9页
Extreme traffic loads significantly challenge the safety and cost-effectiveness of highway bridges,especially under site-specific traffic conditions.Conventional assessments often rely on overly conservative load mode... Extreme traffic loads significantly challenge the safety and cost-effectiveness of highway bridges,especially under site-specific traffic conditions.Conventional assessments often rely on overly conservative load models,leading to excessive structural design.In this study,a framework for the prediction of maximum bending moments in simply supported bridges is developed by integrating weigh-in-motion(WIM)data,traffic microsimulation,and generalized extreme value(GEV)regression modeling to establish relationships between the GEV parameters(μ,σ,ξ)and traffic factors—heavy vehicle proportion,bridge span length,vehicle speed,headway,and traffic volume.Using one-year WIM data from 7.4 million vehicles,the developed models for μ and σ exhibit high predictive accuracy(R^(2)>0.95)and are validated through leave-one-out cross-validation.The prediction of ξ is less accurate(R^(2)≈0.6),requiring further improvement.Applying these models to a 1000-year return level yields a reliable,data-driven extrapolation,supporting optimized bridge design and safety assessment under varying traffic conditions. 展开更多
关键词 site-specific factors extreme value traffic load weigh-in-motion(WIM) generalized extreme value(GEV)parameters Monte Carlo simulation
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Temperature-Dependent Infrared Engineering for Extreme Environments:All-Dielectric Thermal Photonic Metamaterials Stable at 1873 K in Air
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作者 Yang Liu He Lin +5 位作者 Yunxia Zhou Liming Yuan Yanqin Wang Xiaoliang Ma Cheng Huang Xiangang Luo 《Nano-Micro Letters》 2026年第6期879-897,共19页
The development of infrared engineering technologies for extreme environments remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent trade-offs among optical performance,thermal stability,and mechanical integrity in therm... The development of infrared engineering technologies for extreme environments remains a formidable challenge due to the inherent trade-offs among optical performance,thermal stability,and mechanical integrity in thermal photonic metamaterials(TPMs).This work introduces a novel multi-obj ective design framework and demonstrates the design,fabrication,and validation of a TPM operating under extreme temperatures up to 1873 K.We have established a holistic design framework integrating temperaturedependent neural network and Pareto multi-obj ective optimization to co-optimize spectral response,component light-weighting,and structural efficiency.The framework achieves 100 times faster computation than genetic algorithms.The performance of the designed TPM was evaluated under various atmospheric models and detection distances.The TPM achieved a peak radiance suppression efficiency of 82%and a maximum attenuation of-7.4 dB at 1200-1500 K.Experimentally,we fabricated an all-dielectric TPM using a refractory TiO_(2)/BeO multilayer stack with only 5 layers and 2um total thickness.The optimized structure shows high reflectivity(0.62 at 3-5 um;0.48 at 8-14μm)for radiative suppression and high emissivity(0.87 at 5-8μm)for radiative cooling.The TPM withstands 1873 K for 12 h in air with less than 3%spectral drift,retaining excellent mechanical properties.On high-temperature components,it achieves 40-50%radiative suppression and 40-60 K(~10.1 kW m^(-2))radiative cooling at 1100 K,endures over 20 times thermal shock cycles(>150 K s^(-1),700-1500 K),and maintains stable performance over 5 cycles,with 78%visible and 98%microwave transmittance.This work establishes a new paradigm in the design and application of photonic materials for extreme environments. 展开更多
关键词 extreme environment Thermal photonic METAMATERIAL Machine learning Thermal management
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Influence of Distinct Intraseasonal Oscillation Intensities on Regional Persistent Extreme Precipitation Events over South China
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作者 Wei LU Yao HA +5 位作者 Yimin ZHU Haixia DAI Yijia HU Yudi LIU Xiangrong YANG Zhong ZHONG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第5期1000-1018,I0017-I0023,共26页
This study investigated the characteristics and mechanisms of summer regional persistent extreme precipitation events(RPEPEs)over South China(SC)modulated by distinct intensity regimes of 10-30-day intraseasonal oscil... This study investigated the characteristics and mechanisms of summer regional persistent extreme precipitation events(RPEPEs)over South China(SC)modulated by distinct intensity regimes of 10-30-day intraseasonal oscillation(ISO).Diagnostic analyses revealed that the spatiotemporal evolution of RPEPEs exhibits robust phase-locking with the 10-30-day intraseasonal precipitation.By classifying RPEPEs into strong-ISO(SRPEPE)and weak-ISO(WRPEPE)composites based on the amplitude of 10-30-day filtered precipitation,we demonstrate a 14.6%enhancement in peak precipitation intensity during SRPEPEs compared to WRPEPEs.These distinct precipitation regimes are governed by fundamentally different Rossby wave teleconnection patterns over Eurasia.During SRPEPEs,a robust southeastward-propagating 10-30-day Rossby wave train originating from the Barents Sea traverses midlatitude Eurasia,effectively perturbing the northwestern Pacific upper-level circulation and establishing a favorable dynamic environment over SC.In contrast,WRPEPEs are associated with weaker eastward-propagating wave trains constrained along the subtropical jet stream.The horizontal convergence of background moisture driven by 10-30-day winds significantly amplifies lower-tropospheric humidity during SRPEPEs.The thermal advection of background temperature by 10-30-day geostrophic winds enhances baroclinic instability and vertical motion,intensifying precipitation under these moisture conditions. 展开更多
关键词 South China extreme precipitation intraseasonal oscillation Rossby wave
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Global Teleconnections of Extreme Rainfall Events in the Yellow River Basin
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作者 Lin CAI Naiming YUAN +1 位作者 Niklas BOERS Juergen KURTHS 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第5期933-948,I0007-I0016,共26页
Extreme rainfall events(EREs)frequently hit the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin(YRB)during boreal summer.Recent observations have indicated that EREs exhibit teleconnection patterns across long spat... Extreme rainfall events(EREs)frequently hit the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin(YRB)during boreal summer.Recent observations have indicated that EREs exhibit teleconnection patterns across long spatial distances.This study investigated ERE teleconnections in the YRB using the Event Synchronization(ES)method in combination with Complex Network(CN)theory.EREs in the YRB are significantly synchronized with other regions from regional to global scales.Additionally,high-resolution CMIP6 models in general show better skill in capturing these characteristics compared to low-resolution models.A further examination shows that the spatial synchronization patterns exhibit pronounced timescale dependence.Significant ERE synchronizations between the YRB and Europe were uncovered,where the YRB lags Eastern Europe by 3-5 days and Western Europe by 5-7 days,with Rossby wave propagation playing a key role.Wave trains from Europe propagate downstream along the Eurasian jet,inducing anomalous circulations over the YRB that enhance vertical upward motion and moisture transport,ultimately triggering EREs.Two distinct wave trains are observed:one is associated with Eastern Europe-YRB synchronization,occurring in the midlatitude region;the other is linked to Western Europe-YRB synchronization,positioned at higher latitudes.Notably,17.5%of Eastern Europe-YRB synchronization cases and 17.0%of Western Europe-YRB cases overlap.Quantitative analysis indicates that the synchronized events between Eastern(Western)Europe and the YRB account for roughly 28%(30%)of EREs in the YRB.These findings are critical for better understanding ERE mechanisms,offering guidance for forecasting and early warning capabilities for EREs in the YRB. 展开更多
关键词 extreme rainfall events Complex Network TELECONNECTION Yellow River basin
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Hydrological Extremes under Climate Change:Advances in Predictive Modeling and Risk Assessment
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作者 Lei Gao Min’kuo Cai +2 位作者 Changjiang Cai Fachun She Zhexu Li 《Journal of Environmental & Earth Sciences》 2026年第2期340-360,共21页
Hydrological extremes,such as floods,droughts,and compound events,are extremely dangerous to human societies,ecosystems,and infrastructures,whose frequency and severity are affected by climate change more and more.Eff... Hydrological extremes,such as floods,droughts,and compound events,are extremely dangerous to human societies,ecosystems,and infrastructures,whose frequency and severity are affected by climate change more and more.Effective disaster preparedness,water resource management,and climate adaptation have to do with accurate prediction and extensive risk assessment.This review sums up recent progress in predictive modeling and risk assessment systems in the framework of hydrological extremes in the changing climatic conditions.Statistical and empirical techniques,including extreme value theory and nonstationary frequency analysis,give probabilistic information using historic records,whereas process-based models give an understanding of physical hydrological processes at different climate and land-use conditions.New information-based and hybrid methods that use machine learning and high-resolution data take advantage of the complexity and nonlinearities and enhance the predictive power.Hazard,exposure,vulnerability,and adaptive capacity risk assessment models allow predictive output to be translated into actionable decision support,with socio-economic aspects and analysis of the scenario.Case studies of various regions across the globe show the use of these techniques to address floods,droughts,and compound events,with success and current problems.The review also addresses current trends such as compound hazard,multi-hazard integration,AI-enabled modelling,and cross-sectoral decision support,and outlines research priorities of improving predictive capability and resilience.This review will inform researchers,policymakers,and practitioners by offering a synthesis of all the effects of the hydrological extremes in climate change to formulate sound strategies for alleviating these effects. 展开更多
关键词 Hydrological extremes Climate Change Predictive Modeling Risk Assessment Compound Events
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Variations in Summer Extreme Heat Events in the Mongolian Plateau:Role of the Soil Moisture over the Inner Tibetan Plateau
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作者 Zhongren DENG Renhe ZHANG Zhiyan ZUO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第2期451-459,I0032-I0034,共12页
Recent studies have suggested that rapid warming over the Mongolian Plateau(MP)may intensify extreme heat events(EHEs).However,the characteristics and mechanisms driving summer EHEs over the MP(MP-EHEs)remain unclear.... Recent studies have suggested that rapid warming over the Mongolian Plateau(MP)may intensify extreme heat events(EHEs).However,the characteristics and mechanisms driving summer EHEs over the MP(MP-EHEs)remain unclear.This study explores the interannual variations in summer MP-EHEs and their relationship with the summer soil moisture over the Inner Tibetan Plateau(TP-SM).The results reveal that changes in the MP-EHEs are linked to descending atmospheric motion induced by a local high-pressure system over the MP region.Descending motion further results in decreased mid-tolow-level cloud cover and increased shortwave radiation,thereby warming the surface and triggering summer MP-EHEs.Further analysis indicates that increased TP-SM results in a greater latent heat flux,triggering a local secondary circulation that reinforces the local high-pressure system over the MP region,thus serving to promote the occurrence of summer MPEHEs.Additionally,model results from the linear baroclinic model(LBM)and CMIP6 further confirm that variations in summer TP-SM contribute to the occurrence of the MP-EHEs. 展开更多
关键词 summer extreme heat events Mongolian Plateau soil moisture Tibetan Plateau
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Extreme Attitude Prediction of Amphibious Vehicles Based on Improved Transformer Model and Extreme Loss Function
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作者 Qinghuai Zhang Boru Jia +3 位作者 Zhengdao Zhu Jianhua Xiang Yue Liu Mengwei Li 《哈尔滨工程大学学报(英文版)》 2026年第1期228-238,共11页
Amphibious vehicles are more prone to attitude instability compared to ships,making it crucial to develop effective methods for monitoring instability risks.However,large inclination events,which can lead to instabili... Amphibious vehicles are more prone to attitude instability compared to ships,making it crucial to develop effective methods for monitoring instability risks.However,large inclination events,which can lead to instability,occur frequently in both experimental and operational data.This infrequency causes events to be overlooked by existing prediction models,which lack the precision to accurately predict inclination attitudes in amphibious vehicles.To address this gap in predicting attitudes near extreme inclination points,this study introduces a novel loss function,termed generalized extreme value loss.Subsequently,a deep learning model for improved waterborne attitude prediction,termed iInformer,was developed using a Transformer-based approach.During the embedding phase,a text prototype is created based on the vehicle’s operation log data is constructed to help the model better understand the vehicle’s operating environment.Data segmentation techniques are used to highlight local data variation features.Furthermore,to mitigate issues related to poor convergence and slow training speeds caused by the extreme value loss function,a teacher forcing mechanism is integrated into the model,enhancing its convergence capabilities.Experimental results validate the effectiveness of the proposed method,demonstrating its ability to handle data imbalance challenges.Specifically,the model achieves over a 60%improvement in root mean square error under extreme value conditions,with significant improvements observed across additional metrics. 展开更多
关键词 Amphibious vehicle Attitude prediction extreme value loss function Enhanced transformer architecture External information embedding
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Global Challenges of Extreme Climate Events:Scientific Understanding,Impact Assessment and Response Strategies
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作者 Ailin HE 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2026年第1期72-74,共3页
This study takes"ocean heat waves"as a typical case to study the scientific definition,driving mechanisms,multi-dimensional impacts,and response strategies of extreme climate events.The definition of extreme... This study takes"ocean heat waves"as a typical case to study the scientific definition,driving mechanisms,multi-dimensional impacts,and response strategies of extreme climate events.The definition of extreme events requires a comprehensive consideration of statistical thresholds and social impacts.It is mainly driven by global warming caused by human emissions of greenhouse gases,and is also influenced by the interaction of natural variations such as ENSO.Extreme events cause systematic and cascading impacts on human health,infrastructure,agricultural economy,and ecosystems(especially marine ecosystems).Advanced technologies such as satellite remote sensing,climate models,and artificial intelligence have significantly enhanced their monitoring and prediction capabilities.However,effective responses still require a parallel strategy of mitigation and adaptation,and international cooperation is strengthened through the framework of the Paris Agreement. 展开更多
关键词 extreme climate events Ocean heat waves Global warming Composite events Climate resilience Adaptation strategies
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Precipitation or temperature?Nonlinear responses of particulate matter and ozone to meteorological extremes in an arid climate
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作者 LI Yalong HU Bing +9 位作者 Marie Anne Eurie FORIO CHANG Cun QIAO Xuning NAIBI Sulei LI Tao SONG Fengjiao YANG Bin LIU Hailong BAO Anming Peter GOETHALS 《Journal of Arid Land》 2026年第4期584-607,共24页
Northern Xinjiang,an arid inland area in Northwest China,is highly vulnerable to air pollution under intensifying climate extremes,yet the relative roles of temperature and precipitation extremes remain insufficiently... Northern Xinjiang,an arid inland area in Northwest China,is highly vulnerable to air pollution under intensifying climate extremes,yet the relative roles of temperature and precipitation extremes remain insufficiently understood.Using multi-source datasets for 2000-2023,including China High Air Pollutants(CHAP)particulate matter 2.5(PM_(2.5)),particulate matter 10(PM_(10)),and ozone(O3)products and Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices(ETCCDI)extreme climate indices derived from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ECMWF)Reanalysis v5(ERA5)-Land,together with trend detection,change-point analysis,pixel-wise Pearson correlation,and random forest(RF)modeling,we investigated the spatiotemporal evolution of major air pollutants and their responses to meteorological extremes in northern Xinjiang.PM_(2.5) and PM_(10) generally declined from 2000 to 2023,whereas O3 increased,indicating a shift from particulate-dominated pollution toward stronger photochemical pollution.Interannually,PM_(2.5) showed a rise-decline pattern,PM_(10) exhibited a rise-decline-rebound pattern,and O3 increased markedly after 2015.Clear seasonal contrasts were observed,with PM_(2.5) peaking in winter,PM_(10) in spring,and O3 in summer.During the same period,northern Xinjiang exhibited a pronounced warming-drying tendency,characterized by increasing heat-related indices,decreasing cold-related indices,reduced precipitation totals and heavy-rainfall frequency,and increasing consecutive dry days.Pollutant-climate relationships showed strong spatial heterogeneity and pollutant-specific contrasts across the Urumqi-Changji-Shihezi corridor,the Ili River Valley,and the Junggar Basin.PM_(2.5) responses to precipitation shifted from predominantly positive to negative,PM_(10) showed mainly negative associations with precipitation extremes,and O3 responses varied by subregion.Temperature-related extremes generally explained more pollutant variability than precipitation-related extremes,with PM_(2.5) showing the highest sensitivity.These findings highlight the coupled influences of warming,drying,emissions,and terrain-controlled transport on air quality and support region-specific,multi-pollutant strategies for coordinated climate adaptation and air pollution control in northern Xinjiang. 展开更多
关键词 extreme climate events air pollution dynamics climate-pollution coupling ozone formation mechanisms gas-particle transformation random forest
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Optimal Dispatch of Urban Distribution Networks Considering Virtual Power Plant Coordination under Extreme Scenarios
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作者 Yong Li Yuxuan Chen +4 位作者 Jiahui He Guowei He Chenxi Dai Jingjing Tong Wenting Lei 《Energy Engineering》 2026年第1期204-220,共17页
Ensuring reliable power supply in urban distribution networks is a complex and critical task.To address the increased demand during extreme scenarios,this paper proposes an optimal dispatch strategy that considers the... Ensuring reliable power supply in urban distribution networks is a complex and critical task.To address the increased demand during extreme scenarios,this paper proposes an optimal dispatch strategy that considers the coordination with virtual power plants(VPPs).The proposed strategy improves systemflexibility and responsiveness by optimizing the power adjustment of flexible resources.In the proposed strategy,theGaussian Process Regression(GPR)is firstly employed to determine the adjustable range of aggregated power within the VPP,facilitating an assessment of its potential contribution to power supply support.Then,an optimal dispatch model based on a leader-follower game is developed to maximize the benefits of the VPP and flexible resources while guaranteeing the power balance at the same time.To solve the proposed optimal dispatch model efficiently,the constraints of the problem are reformulated and resolved using the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker(KKT)optimality conditions and linear programming duality theorem.The effectiveness of the strategy is illustrated through a detailed case study. 展开更多
关键词 Urban distribution network virtual power plant power supply support leader-follower optimization game extreme weather scenarios
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The energy flexibility potential of short-term HVAC system management in office buildings under both typical and extreme weather conditions in China during the cooling season 被引量:1
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作者 HUANG Bingjie LIU Meng LI Ziqiao 《土木与环境工程学报(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第4期157-171,共15页
To meet the challenge of mismatches between power supply and demand,modern buildings must schedule flexible energy loads in order to improve the efficiency of power grids.Furthermore,it is essential to understand the ... To meet the challenge of mismatches between power supply and demand,modern buildings must schedule flexible energy loads in order to improve the efficiency of power grids.Furthermore,it is essential to understand the effectiveness of flexibility management strategies under different climate conditions and extreme weather events.Using both typical and extreme weather data from cities in five major climate zones of China,this study investigates the energy flexibility potential of an office building under three short-term HVAC management strategies in the context of different climates.The results show that the peak load flexibility and overall energy performance of the three short-term strategies were affected by the surrounding climate conditions.The peak load reduction rate of the pre-cooling and zone temperature reset strategies declined linearly as outdoor temperature increased.Under extreme climate conditions,the daily peak-load time was found to be over two hours earlier than under typical conditions,and the intensive solar radiation found in the extreme conditions can weaken the correlation between peak load reduction and outdoor temperature,risking the ability of a building’s HVAC system to maintain a comfortable indoor environment. 展开更多
关键词 energy flexibility demand-side management extreme weather HVAC systems thermal requirements
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A Year Marked by Extreme Precipitation and Floods:Weather and Climate Extremes in 2024 被引量:2
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作者 Wenxia ZHANG Tianjun ZHOU +17 位作者 Wanheng YE Tingyu ZHANG Lixia ZHANG Piotr WOLSKI James RISBEY Zhuo WANG Seung-Ki MIN Hamish RAMSAY Michael BRODY Alice GRIMM Robin CLARK Kangnian REN Jie JIANG Xiaolong CHEN Shenming FU Lan LI Shijie TANG Shuai HU 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第6期1045-1063,共19页
This past year, 2024, is on track to be the warmest year, joining 2023 as the two hottest years on record. With the exceptional heat, weather and climate extremes were common across the world. In particular, 2024 has ... This past year, 2024, is on track to be the warmest year, joining 2023 as the two hottest years on record. With the exceptional heat, weather and climate extremes were common across the world. In particular, 2024 has seen a remarkable run of extreme precipitation events and resulting impacts. Here, we provide an overview of the most notable extreme events of the year, including extreme precipitation and floods, tropical cyclones, and droughts. The characteristics and impacts of these extreme events are summarized, followed by discussion on the physical drivers and the role of global warming.Finally, we also discuss the future prospects in extreme event studies, including impact-based perspectives, challenges in attribution of precipitation extremes, and the existing gap to minimize impacts from climate extremes. 展开更多
关键词 weather and climate extremes extreme precipitation tropical cyclones DROUGHTS
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Impact of climate change on Kupang River flow and hydrological extremes in Greater Pekalongan,Indonesia 被引量:2
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作者 Fernaldi Gradiyanto Priyo Nugroho Parmantoro Suharyanto 《Water Science and Engineering》 2025年第1期69-77,共9页
Located downstream the Kupang Catchment in Indonesia,Pekalongan faces significant land subsidence issues,leading to severe coastal flooding.This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on future flow regime... Located downstream the Kupang Catchment in Indonesia,Pekalongan faces significant land subsidence issues,leading to severe coastal flooding.This study aimed to assess the impact of climate change on future flow regimes and hydrological extremes to inform long-term water resources management strategies for the Kupang Catchment.Utilizing precipitation and air temperature data from general circulation models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 6(CMIP6)and employing bias correction techniques,the Soil and Water Assessment Tool(SWAT)hydrological model was employed to analyze climate-induced changes in hydrological fluxes,specifically streamflow.Results indicated a consistent increase in monthly streamflow during the wet season,with a substantial rise of 22.8%,alongside a slight decrease of 18.0%during the dry season.Moreover,both the frequency and severity of extremely low and high flows were projected to intensify by approximately 50%and 70%,respectively,for a 20-year return period,suggesting heightened flood and drought risks in the future.The observed declining trend in low flow,by up to 11%,indicated the potential for long-term groundwater depletion exacerbating the threat of land subsidence and coastal flooding,especially in areas with inadequate surface water management policies and infrastructure. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change CMIP6 Hydrological extremes SWAT Pekalongan
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Distinct Mechanisms Governing Two Types of Extreme Hourly Rainfall Rates in the Mountain Foothills of North China During the Passage of a Typhoon Remnant Vortex from 30 July to 1 August 2023 被引量:2
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作者 Rudi XIA Yuqing RUAN +8 位作者 Jisong SUN Xudong LIANG Chong WU Feng LI Ju LI Jinfang YIN Xinghua BAO Mingxin LI Xiaoyu GAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第4期761-779,共19页
This study investigates extreme rainfall episodes along the eastern foothills of the Taihang Mountains in North China from 30 July to 1 August 2023.It focuses on two types of extreme hourly rainfall rates(HRRs),i.e.,t... This study investigates extreme rainfall episodes along the eastern foothills of the Taihang Mountains in North China from 30 July to 1 August 2023.It focuses on two types of extreme hourly rainfall rates(HRRs),i.e.,the maximum regionalaverage HRR and site-observed HRR,which exhibited sequential development over southern,middle,and northern key regions.These rainfall extremes occurred in an environment where a high-pressure barrier over North China prevented the intrusion of cold air masses from the north while a northward-moving typhoon remnant vortex and its associated low-level jet(LLJ)transported warm and moist airflow from the south.Two distinct echo evolution modes and convection initiation mechanisms are identified for the two types of extreme HRRs.The maximum regional-average HRR occurred when the LLJ arrived to the east of the key regions,while the maximum site-observed HRR occurred when the warmer vortex center influenced the regions.Taking the northern key region as a representation,at the time of the maximum regional-average HRR,slantwise ascent of the airflow along a warm-frontal-like boundary released energy related to symmetrical instability,resulting in stratiform rainfall with weak convective cores.The transport of locally initiated convection over the eastern plain region,where the atmospheric stratification was more potentially unstable,also significantly contributed.When the maximum site-observed HRR occurred,the terrain lifting of warm and moist southeast airflow led to intense convection over the mountain foothills.Overall,the passage of the warm-core typhoon remnant vortex and interaction with Taihang Mountains determined the timing and location of extreme HRRs across the key regions. 展开更多
关键词 extreme rainfall hourly rainfall rate MOUNTAIN VORTEX mechanism
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Projection of extreme climate change in the Asian arid region and the Tibetan Plateau in the early and middle 21st century based on NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 被引量:1
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作者 Yankun Sun Rui Zhu Tao Wang 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第3期53-58,共6页
In the context of global warming,it is anticipated that both the intensity and the frequency of future global extreme high precipitation(EHP)and extreme high temperature(EHT)events will increase.To evaluate the future... In the context of global warming,it is anticipated that both the intensity and the frequency of future global extreme high precipitation(EHP)and extreme high temperature(EHT)events will increase.To evaluate the future extreme climate changes in the Asian arid region and Tibetan Plateau,this study applied the NASA Earth Exchange Global Daily Downscaled Projections(NEX-GDDP-CMIP6)to assess the changes in EHP(Rx5d and R95pTOT)and EHT(TX90p and TXx)under different emission scenarios in the 21st century.Findings suggest that both the frequency and the intensity of the extreme indices will increase,exhibiting accelerated growth under higher emission scenarios,particularly under the SSP5-8.5 emission scenario.It is suggested that the growth of EHT and EHP in the early subperiod of the 21st century(2026-2045)will be relatively moderate,with small differences between different emission scenarios.However,by the middle subperiod of the 21st century(2041-2060),the differences between different emission scenarios will become larger than the 2035s and the growth will become more intense.In western central Asia,TX90p,TXx,Rx5d,and R95pTOT increase by 9.7%-14.2%(13.3%-24.7%),1.3℃-1.7℃(1.6℃-2.7℃),6.5%-8.9%(8.2%-8.8%),and 18.1%-27.0%(25.6%-30.0%)by the early(middle)subperiod;in eastern central Asia,TX90p,TXx,Rx5d,and R95pTOT increase 8.1%-12.0%(11.3%-21.1%),1.4℃-1.8℃(1.9℃-2.9℃),7.4%-9.7%(10.4%-13.8%),and 20.2%-29.3%(32.0%-40.8%)by the early(middle)subperiod;and over the Tibetan Plateau,TX90p,TXx,Rx5d,and R95pTOT increase 12.5%-17.4%(17.0%-31.0%),1.2℃-1.5℃(1.6℃-2.5℃),7.2%-10.0%(9.9%-15.0%),and 26.6%-33.1%(36.1%-55.3%)by the early(middle)subperiod. 展开更多
关键词 extreme high precipitation extreme high temperature Asian arid region Tibetan plateau NEX-GDDP-CMIP6
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Hydrogeodesy Facilitates the Accurate Assessment of Extreme Drought Events 被引量:1
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作者 Yunlong Wu Yulong Zhong +6 位作者 Sulan Liu Guodong Xu Cuiyu Xiao Xiaohui Wu Binhong Xie Zilong Li C.K.Shum 《Journal of Earth Science》 2025年第1期347-350,共4页
1 EXTREME DROUGHT AND HYDROGEODESY TECHNOLOGIES The World Meteorological Organization has officially declared 2023 as the hottest year on record,with the average global temperature surpassing pre-industrial(1850-1900)... 1 EXTREME DROUGHT AND HYDROGEODESY TECHNOLOGIES The World Meteorological Organization has officially declared 2023 as the hottest year on record,with the average global temperature surpassing pre-industrial(1850-1900)average by 1.45℃.While temperature is not the only climate observable from the complex processes for the geneses of droughts,recent hottest years have witnessed numerous instances of extreme droughts. 展开更多
关键词 HYDRO METEOROLOGICAL extreme
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High-impact Extreme Weather and Climate Events in China:Summer 2024 Overview 被引量:2
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作者 Xingyan ZHOU Ying LI +3 位作者 Chan XIAO Wei CHEN Mei MEI Guofu WANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第6期1064-1076,共13页
In the summer of 2024, following a strong El Ni?o event in the preceding winter, the tropical Indian Ocean and tropical North Atlantic recorded their highest SSTs since 1961, along with a significant westward shift an... In the summer of 2024, following a strong El Ni?o event in the preceding winter, the tropical Indian Ocean and tropical North Atlantic recorded their highest SSTs since 1961, along with a significant westward shift and intensification of the western Pacific subtropical high(WPSH). Under these conditions, China experienced its hottest summer since 1961,and was hit by a series of high-impact extreme weather and climate events. From 9 June to 2 July, southern China experienced an unprecedented extreme precipitation event that exceeded the well-known 1998 summer precipitation event in both duration and impact scope, resulting in devastating floods in the Yangtze River basin. Subsequently, in early to midJuly, the Huanghe-Huaihe Basin suffered from a severe drought–flood abrupt alternation event, heavily affecting Henan and Shandong. Meanwhile, southern China underwent a widespread heatwave event lasting 74 days, ranking as the second most intense since 1961. From late July to the end of August, northern China faced unusually frequent heavy precipitation events, with cumulative precipitation reaching the second highest for the same period since 1961, causing floods in many rivers of northern China. This study provides a timely summary and assessment of the characteristics and impacts of these extreme events. It serves as a reference for climate change research, including mechanism analysis, numerical simulation,and climate event attribution, and also offers valuable insights for improving meteorological disaster prevention and mitigation strategies. 展开更多
关键词 extreme weather and climate event precipitation HEATWAVE drought–flood abrupt alternation event
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Extreme weather characteristics and influences on urban ecosystem services in Wuhan Urban Agglomeration 被引量:1
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作者 Xin Dai Lunche Wang +2 位作者 Jie Gong Zigeng Niu Qian Cao 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第1期211-222,共12页
In recent years,there has been a pronounced increase in the frequency of extreme weather events.To compre hensively examine the impact of extreme weather on ecosystem services within the Wuhan Urban Agglomera tion(WUA... In recent years,there has been a pronounced increase in the frequency of extreme weather events.To compre hensively examine the impact of extreme weather on ecosystem services within the Wuhan Urban Agglomera tion(WUA),this study utilized meteorological station data,the Mann-Kendall(MK)test,and the Standardized Precipitation-Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI)to quantify the variation trends in heatwaves(HW)and droughts from 1961 to 2020.Then the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs(InVEST)model was employed to evaluate and compare the differences in water yield and climate regulation ecosystem services un der various HW,droughts,and HW-drought combination scenarios.The results show that over the past 60 years,the temperature,duration,and frequency of HW have significantly increased in the WUA.Specifically,the high est HW temperature,total HW days,HW frequency,and average HW temperature showed changing trend of+0.17℃/decade,+1.4 day/decade,+0.19 event/decade,and+0.07℃/decade,respectively.The year 2000 was identified as a mutation year for HW,characterized by increased frequency and heightened severity thereafter.The SPEI value exhibited an insignificant upward trend,with 1980 marked as a mutation year,indicating a de creasing trend in drought occurrences after 1980.Heatwaves have a weakening effect on both water yield and climate regulation services,while drought significantly weakened water yield and had a relatively modest effect on climate regulation.During HW-drought composite period,the average monthly water yield showed a notable discrepancy of 60 mm compared to humid years.Besides,as heatwaves intensify,the area of low aggregation for ecosystem services expands,whereas the area of high aggregation decreases.This study provides a preliminary understanding of the impact of urban extreme weather on urban ecosystem services under changing climatic conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Heatwaves DROUGHT Ecosystem services extreme weather composite events
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Subseasonal impact of extreme Tibetan Plateau snow cover on the local atmosphere in summer 被引量:1
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作者 Yuanyan Xu Wenkai Li 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2025年第5期36-40,共5页
Due to the high elevation and cold climate of the Tibetan Plateau,the western region retains extensive snow cover during the summer,which can exhibit rapid variability over the course of just a few days.This study uti... Due to the high elevation and cold climate of the Tibetan Plateau,the western region retains extensive snow cover during the summer,which can exhibit rapid variability over the course of just a few days.This study utilizes numerical experiments to investigate the atmospheric response to extreme Tibetan Plateau snow cover(TPSC)events on a subseasonal timescale during summer.The results indicate that the subseasonal variations in TPSC exert limited impact on nonlocal atmospheric circulation and temperature during this period.Nevertheless,local surface energy and atmospheric temperature exhibit rapid cooling responses to increased snow cover.Specifically,an increase in snow cover over the western Tibetan Plateau leads to a sharp rise in surface albedo,resulting in a reduction in land surface energy and a negative response in the diabatic heating rate from the surface to 350 hPa locally.This negative diabatic heating response subsequently causes a decline in both surface and overlying atmospheric temperatures.The temperature response is confined to the western Tibetan Plateau and extends vertically from the surface to approximately 350 hPa.These extreme TPSC events and their associated atmospheric impacts occur within a two-week timescale. 展开更多
关键词 Land-atmosphere interaction Snow cover extreme events Atmospheric temperature Tibetan Plateau
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Piezo-actuated smart mechatronic systems for extreme scenarios 被引量:1
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作者 Zhongxiang Yuan Shuliu Zhou +7 位作者 Cailin Hong Ziyu Xiao Zhengguang Zhang Xuedong Chen Lizhan Zeng Jiulin Wu Yunlong Wang Xiaoqing Li 《International Journal of Extreme Manufacturing》 2025年第2期72-119,共48页
Precision actuation is a foundational technology in high-end equipment domains,where stroke,velocity,and accuracy are critical for processing and/or detection quality,precision in spacecraft flight trajectories,and ac... Precision actuation is a foundational technology in high-end equipment domains,where stroke,velocity,and accuracy are critical for processing and/or detection quality,precision in spacecraft flight trajectories,and accuracy in weapon system strikes.Piezoelectric actuators(PEAs),known for their nanometer-level precision,flexible stroke,resistance to electromagnetic interference,and scalable structure,have been widely adopted across various fields.Therefore,this study focuses on extreme scenarios involving ultra-high precision(micrometer and beyond),minuscule scales,and highly complex operational conditions.It provides a comprehensive overview of the types,working principles,advantages,and disadvantages of PEAs,along with their potential applications in piezo-actuated smart mechatronic systems(PSMSs).To address the demands of extreme scenarios in high-end equipment fields,we have identified five representative application areas:positioning and alignment,biomedical device configuration,advanced manufacturing and processing,vibration mitigation,micro robot system.Each area is further divided into specific subcategories,where we explore the underlying relationships,mechanisms,representative schemes,and characteristics.Finally,we discuss the challenges and future development trends related to PEAs and PSMSs.This work aims to showcase the latest advancements in the application of PEAs and provide valuable guidance for researchers in this field. 展开更多
关键词 piezoelectric actuator nanopositioning system high-end equipment extreme scenarios piezo-actuated smart mechatronic system
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