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Application of the InVEST model for assessing water yield and its response to precipitation and land use in the Weihe River Basin, China 被引量:10
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作者 WU Changxue QIU Dexun +2 位作者 GAO Peng MU Xingmin ZHAO Guangju 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第4期426-440,共15页
With realizing the importance of ecosystem services to society, the efforts to evaluate the ecosystem services have increased. As the largest tributary of the Yellow River, the Weihe River has been endowed with many e... With realizing the importance of ecosystem services to society, the efforts to evaluate the ecosystem services have increased. As the largest tributary of the Yellow River, the Weihe River has been endowed with many ecological service functions. Among which, water yield can be a measure of local availability of water and an index for evaluating the conservation function of the region. This study aimed to explore the temporal and spatial variation of water yield and its influencing factors in the Weihe River Basin(WRB), and provide basis for formulating reasonable water resources utilization schemes. Based on the InVEST(integrated valuation of ecosystem services and tradeoffs) model, this study simulated the water yield in the WRB from 1985 to 2019, and discussed the impacts of climatic factors and land use change on water yield by spatial autocorrelation analysis and scenario analysis methods. The results showed that there was a slight increasing trend in water yield in the WRB over the study period with the increasing rate of 4.84 mm/10a and an average depth of 83.14 mm. The main water-producing areas were concentrated along the mainstream of the Weihe River and in the southern basin. Changes in water yield were comprehensively affected by climate and underlying surface factors. Precipitation was the main factor affecting water yield, which was consistent with water yield in time. And there existed significant spatial agglomeration between water yield and precipitation. Land use had little impact on the amount of water yield, but had an impact on its spatial distribution. Water yield was higher in areas with wide distribution of construction land and grassland. Water yield of different land use types were different. Unused land showed the largest water yield capacity, whereas grassland and farmland contributed most to the total water yield. The increasing water yield in the basin indicates an enhanced water supply service function of the ecosystem. These results are of great significance to the water resources management of the WRB. 展开更多
关键词 water yield invest model Weihe River Basin Geoda model scenario analysis
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Habitat quality assessment of mining cities based on InVEST model—a case study of Yanshan County,Jiangxi Province 被引量:6
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作者 Yanan Li Linghua Duo +2 位作者 Ming Zhang Jingyuan Yang Xiaofei Guo 《International Journal of Coal Science & Technology》 EI CAS CSCD 2022年第2期245-254,共10页
The assessment of the spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality caused by land use changes can provide a scientifc basis for the ecological protection and green development of mining cities.Taking Yanshan County as ... The assessment of the spatiotemporal evolution of habitat quality caused by land use changes can provide a scientifc basis for the ecological protection and green development of mining cities.Taking Yanshan County as an example of a typical mining city,this article discussed the spatial pattern and evolution characteristics of habitat quality in 2000 and 2018 based on the ArcGIS platform and the InVEST model.The conclusions are as below:from 2000 to 2018,the area of farmland and construction land changed the most in the study area.Among them,the area of farmland decreased by 3.48%,and the area of industrial and mining land and construction land increased by 53.25%.Areas of low,relatively low and high habitat quality expanded,and areas of medium and relatively high habitat quality shrank,which is closely related to the distribution of land use.The areas with high habitat degradation degrees appear around cities,mining areas and watersheds,while the areas with low habitat degradation degrees are mainly distributed in the southern woodland.The distribution of cold and hot spots in the habitat quality distribution of Yanshan County presents a pattern of“hot in the south and cold in the north”.The results are of great signifcance to the precise implementation of ecosystem management decisions in mining cities and the creation of a landscape pattern of“beautiful countrysides,green cities,and green mines”. 展开更多
关键词 invest model Habitat quality Land use change Temporal and spatial pattern Mining city
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Temporal and spatial variation and prediction of water yield and water conservation in the Bosten Lake Basin based on the PLUS-InVEST model 被引量:5
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作者 CHEN Jiazhen KASIMU Alimujiang +3 位作者 REHEMAN Rukeya WEI Bohao HAN Fuqiang ZHANG Yan 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第6期852-874,共23页
To comprehensively evaluate the alterations in water ecosystem service functions within arid watersheds,this study focused on the Bosten Lake Basin,which is situated in the arid region of Northwest China.The research ... To comprehensively evaluate the alterations in water ecosystem service functions within arid watersheds,this study focused on the Bosten Lake Basin,which is situated in the arid region of Northwest China.The research was based on land use/land cover(LULC),natural,socioeconomic,and accessibility data,utilizing the Patch-level Land Use Simulation(PLUS)and Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)models to dynamically assess LULC change and associated variations in water yield and water conservation.The analyses included the evaluation of contribution indices of various land use types and the investigation of driving factors that influence water yield and water conservation.The results showed that the change of LULC in the Bosten Lake Basin from 2000 to 2020 showed a trend of increasing in cultivated land and construction land,and decreasing in grassland,forest,and unused land.The unused land of all the three predicted scenarios of 2030(S1,a natural development scenario;S2,an ecological protection scenario;and S3,a cultivated land protection scenario)showed a decreasing trend.The scenarios S1 and S3 showed a trend of decreasing in grassland and increasing in cultivated land;while the scenario S2 showed a trend of decreasing in cultivated land and increasing in grassland.The water yield of the Bosten Lake Basin exhibited an initial decline followed by a slight increase from 2000 to 2020.The areas with higher water yield values were primarily located in the northern section of the basin,which is characterized by higher altitude.Water conservation demonstrated a pattern of initial decrease followed by stabilization,with the northeastern region demonstrating higher water conservation values.In the projected LULC scenarios of 2030,the estimated water yield under scenarios S1 and S3 was marginally greater than that under scenario S2;while the level of water conservation across all three scenarios remained rather consistent.The results showed that Hejing County is an important water conservation function zone,and the eastern part of the Xiaoyouledusi Basin is particularly important and should be protected.The findings of this study offer a scientific foundation for advancing sustainable development in arid watersheds and facilitating efficient water resource management. 展开更多
关键词 PLUS model invest model Bosten Lake Basin water yield water conservation land-use simulation Geodetector
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Spatio-temporal evolution analysis of landscape pattern and habitat quality in the Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 based on InVEST model
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作者 ZHENG Guoqiang Li Cunxiu +3 位作者 LI Runjie LUO Jing FAN Chunxia ZHU Hailing 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第9期1183-1196,共14页
Habitat quality is an important indicator for evaluating the quality of ecosystem.The Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin plays an important role in the ecological protection of the upper reaches of the... Habitat quality is an important indicator for evaluating the quality of ecosystem.The Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin plays an important role in the ecological protection of the upper reaches of the Yellow River Basin.To comprehensively analysis the alterations of habitat quality in the Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin,this study utilized the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)model to calculate the habitat quality index and analyze the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of habitat quality in the study area from 2000 to 2022,and calculated seven landscape pattern indices(number of patches,patch density,largest patch index(LPI),landscape shape index(LSI),contagion index(CONTAG),Shannon diversity index,and Shannon evenness index)to research the variation of landscape pattern in the study area.The results showed that the number of patches,patch density,LPI,LSI,Shannon diversity index,and Shannon evenness index increased from 2000 to 2022,while the CONTAG decreased,indicating that the landscape pattern in the Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin changed in the direction of distribution fragmentation,shape complexity,and heterogeneity.The average value of the habitat quality index in the Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2022 was 0.90.Based on the value of habitat quality index,we divided the level of habitat quality into five categories:lower(0.00-0.20),low(0.20-0.40),moderate(0.40-0.60),high(0.60-0.80),and higher(0.80-1.00).Most areas were at the higher habitat quality level.The lower habitat quality patches were mainly distributed in Longyang Gorge and Yellow River-Huangshui River Valley.From 2000 to 2022,the habitat quality in most areas was stable;the increase areas were mainly distributed in Guinan County,while the decrease areas were mainly distributed in Xining City,Maqen County,Xinghai County,Qumarleb County,and Darlag County.To show the extent of habitat quality variation,we calculated Sen index.The results showed that the higher habitat quality area had a decrease trending,while other categories had an increasing tendency,and the decreasing was faster than increasing.The research results provide scientific guidance for promoting ecological protection and high-quality development in the Qinghai Province section of the Yellow River Basin. 展开更多
关键词 invest model landscape pattern index habitat quality largest patch index landscape shape index Shannon evenness index
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Study on the Change of Eco-Environmental Quality in Jiufeng Mountain Area Based on InVEST Model
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作者 Xiping Li Weixian Li +3 位作者 Ce Gao Luying Shao Guoqing Chen Shaifei Wang 《Open Journal of Ecology》 2022年第1期36-50,共15页
Habitat is not only an important place for animals and plants to inhabit and reproduce, but also the basis of human survival and development. With the large-scale development of mineral resources, land use types have ... Habitat is not only an important place for animals and plants to inhabit and reproduce, but also the basis of human survival and development. With the large-scale development of mineral resources, land use types have changed sharply, fragile habitats tend to collapse, and the future sustainable development has lost a stable carrier. Habitat quality is a comprehensive expression of the interaction of many factors such as land, biology and water resources for many years. Natural factors are the most direct factors affecting habitat quality, and human activities are the most intense factors. The habitat module of invest model was used to evaluate the changes and temporal and spatial characteristics of habitat quality in Jiufeng Mountain from 1990 to 2018. It is found that the habitat quality in Jiufeng Mountain area shows a downward trend, and the ecological environment is very fragile. The high value areas of eco-environmental quality are mainly distributed in mountainous and hilly areas with high vegetation coverage;The low value areas of eco-environmental quality are mainly distributed in industrial and mining land and gully areas. With the development of society and economy and the development of mining industry in Jiufengshan area, the area of construction land is also increasing. 展开更多
关键词 Habitat Quality Land Use Change invest model Jiufengshan Area
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Analysis of Dynamic Changes in Habitat Quality Based on InVEST Models:A Case Study of Pu er City,Yunnan Province
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作者 Qinfang ZHOU Yang YE +1 位作者 Pin MA Xi SHEN 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2021年第1期79-86,共8页
Based on the data of land use status in 2009-2018 in the annual change survey results of Pu er City,Yunnan Province,China,the habitat quality in the city were studied by using InVEST models.The results show that the a... Based on the data of land use status in 2009-2018 in the annual change survey results of Pu er City,Yunnan Province,China,the habitat quality in the city were studied by using InVEST models.The results show that the area of cultivated land,construction land,and unused land in Pu er City continuously increased from 2009 to 2018.The growth rate of cultivated land and construction land in the next three years was significantly higher than that in the previous three years,while the area of gardens,grassland and woodland continuously decreased.From 2009 to 2018,the habitat quality in Pu er City showed a downward trend,that is,there was a clear increase in the proportion of moderate and poor habitat quality and a decrease in the proportion of superior and good habitat quality.Changes in habitat quality calculated by InVEST models can be used as a grasp of regional ecological environment in the investigation before the audit of natural resource assets and breakthroughs in finding clues of problems,thereby improving the scientificity and efficiency of audit work of natural resource assets. 展开更多
关键词 Habitat quality invest model Audit of natural resources assets GIS
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Evaluation of the water conservation function in the Ili River Delta of Central Asia based on the InVEST model 被引量:3
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作者 CAO Yijie MA Yonggang +2 位作者 BAO Anming CHANG Cun LIU Tie 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第12期1455-1473,共19页
The Ili River Delta(IRD)is an ecological security barrier for the Lake Balkhash and an important water conservation area in Central Asia.In this study,we selected the IRD as a typical research area,and simulated the w... The Ili River Delta(IRD)is an ecological security barrier for the Lake Balkhash and an important water conservation area in Central Asia.In this study,we selected the IRD as a typical research area,and simulated the water yield and water conservation from 1975 to 2020 using the water yield module of the Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(InVEST)model.We further analyzed the temporal and spatial variations in the water yield and water conservation in the IRD from 1975 to 2020,and investigated the main driving factors(precipitation,potential evapotranspiration,land use/land cover change,and inflow from the Ili River)of the water conservation variation based on the linear regression,piecewise linear regression,and Pearson's correlation coefficient analyses.The results indicated that from 1975 to 2020,the water yield and water conservation in the IRD showed a decreasing trend,and the spatial distribution pattern was"high in the east and low in the west";overall,the water conservation of all land use types decreased slightly.The water conservation volume of grassland was the most reduced,although the area of grassland increased owing to the increased inflow from the Ili River.At the same time,the increased inflow has led to the expansion of wetland areas,the improvement of vegetation growth,and the increase of regional evapotranspiration,thus resulting in an overall reduction in the water conservation.The water conservation depth and precipitation had similar spatial distribution patterns;the change in climate factors was the main reason for the decline in the water conservation function in the delta.The reservoir in the upper reaches of the IRD regulated runoff into the Lake Balkhash,promoted vegetation restoration,and had a positive effect on the water conservation;however,this positive effect cannot offset the negative effect of enhanced evapotranspiration.These results provide a reference for the rational allocation of water resources and ecosystem protection in the IRD. 展开更多
关键词 water conservation function water yield Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs(invest)model climate change land use/land cover change(LUCC) Ili River Delta Lake Balkhash
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基于PLUS-InVEST模型的长株潭城市群碳储量时空演变及情景模拟
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作者 张阔 郭荣中 吴洁 《中国水土保持科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期252-269,共18页
【目的】本研究聚焦长株潭城市群土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)与生态系统碳储量之间的耦合关系。通过构建多种发展情景,预测未来碳储量变化趋势,以期为提升区域碳储量、助力实现我国“双碳”战略目标提供科学依据,为优化国土空间规划、提升... 【目的】本研究聚焦长株潭城市群土地利用/覆被变化(LUCC)与生态系统碳储量之间的耦合关系。通过构建多种发展情景,预测未来碳储量变化趋势,以期为提升区域碳储量、助力实现我国“双碳”战略目标提供科学依据,为优化国土空间规划、提升区域碳储量提供支撑。【方法】本研究耦合PLUS–InVEST模型,分析研究区2000—2020年土地利用变化及其引起的碳储量演变,结合14个驱动因子,设置自然发展、耕地保护、经济发展与生态保护四种情景,并预测2040年土地利用格局及碳储量变化,揭示不同土地利用政策对固碳能力的影响。【结果】1)2000—2020年,耕地、林地与草地总体呈减少趋势,水域与建设用地呈增加趋势,未利用地变化相对稳定。2)2000—2020年,长株潭城市群总碳储量总体下降,2000、2005、2010、2015和2020年分别为394.7×10^(6)、393.5×10^(6)、390.1×10^(6)、388.1×10^(6)和385.9×10^(6)t。碳储量空间异质性显著,呈现“东南高、西北低”的分布特征,其中林地为主要碳汇并保持较高的碳储能力。3)土地利用变化直接影响碳储量:2000—2020年林地转为建设用地导致碳储量减少5.6×106 t,耕地转为建设用地导致碳储量减少3.0×10^(6)t;耕地转为林地使碳储量增加2×10^(6)t。4)2040年预测结果显示4种情景下碳储量均呈下降趋势,分别为382×10^(6)t、382.5×10^(6)t、381.7×10^(6)t和382.7×10^(6)t。【结论】研究表明,林地、耕地等高碳储地类向建设用地等低碳储地类转变是碳储量减少的主要原因。为提升区域固碳能力,未来国土空间规划应综合考虑自然发展、耕地保护、经济发展与生态保护4种情景结果,在兼顾社会经济发展与生态保护需求的同时优化土地利用配置,为减缓碳损失提供科学依据。 展开更多
关键词 PLUS模型 invest模型 碳储量 情景模拟 长株潭城市群
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基于PLUS-InVEST模型的东北黑土区景观格局与碳储量变化多情景模拟
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作者 王悦 于福东 +3 位作者 张月 相恒星 焉恒琦 毛德华 《生态环境学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期178-189,共12页
探究景观格局变化对区域碳储量的影响机制,对优化景观结构、提升生态系统碳汇能力、保障区域生态安全与粮食安全具有重要意义。以东北黑土区为研究对象,分析1990-2020年其景观格局变化及碳储量演变特征,并运用PLUS-InVEST模型,模拟2050... 探究景观格局变化对区域碳储量的影响机制,对优化景观结构、提升生态系统碳汇能力、保障区域生态安全与粮食安全具有重要意义。以东北黑土区为研究对象,分析1990-2020年其景观格局变化及碳储量演变特征,并运用PLUS-InVEST模型,模拟2050年自由发展、生态保护和粮食增产等3种情景下的景观格局与碳储量变化趋势。结果表明,1)1990-2020年,研究区景观以耕地、林地和草地为主,占比达87.6%以上;耕地和人工表面面积持续增加,草地面积加速减少。2)2020-2050年,自由发展情景下耕地和林地面积增长明显,草地和裸地面积减少;生态保护情景下林地面积大幅增加,人工表面和草地面积减少;粮食增产情景下则以耕地激增为主。3)1990-2020年,碳储量呈“东高西低、山地高平原低”的分布格局和逐年减少的变化趋势,其总量累积减少479.6 Tg。碳储量以林地和湿地为主,高碳密度区主要由林地和湿地构成,低值区域则以耕地和草地为主。4)2020-2050年,自由发展和生态保护情景下,碳储量可能分别增加38.0、197.4 Tg,而粮食增产情景下,由于林地、湿地和草地向耕地的转移概率增加,碳储量可能减少261.0 Tg。该研究结果可为东北黑土区未来景观格局规划和生态保护策略的制定提供科学依据和决策支持,推动生态系统服务功能的可持续管理。 展开更多
关键词 景观格局 碳储量 东北黑土区 PLUS-invest模型 多情景模拟
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基于PLUS-InVEST模型的河北省承德市水源涵养功能预测
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作者 吕铁冰 苏伟 +4 位作者 贾梓琦 胡宝月 刘宏权 付银环 马素英 《水土保持通报》 北大核心 2026年第1期344-354,共11页
[目的]模拟预测不同情景下河北省承德市的水源涵养功能,为优化该市国土空间布局,提升复合生态系统服务能力及保障京津冀水资源安全提供科学支撑。[方法]基于PLUS-InVEST耦合模型,设置耕地保护、生态保护、自然发展、城市扩张4种情景,对... [目的]模拟预测不同情景下河北省承德市的水源涵养功能,为优化该市国土空间布局,提升复合生态系统服务能力及保障京津冀水资源安全提供科学支撑。[方法]基于PLUS-InVEST耦合模型,设置耕地保护、生态保护、自然发展、城市扩张4种情景,对承德市2028,2033和2038年土地利用变化及水源涵养功能进行预测与分析。[结果](1)承德市“三生”空间冲突将持续影响土地利用变化,其中森林面积总体稳定,但草地除生态保护情景外普遍遭受侵占并呈退化趋势;城市扩张情景下不透水面面积显著增加。(2)未来不同情景下,承德市水源涵养功能分布格局保持高度稳定,但总量对土地利用变化响应敏感。除生态保护情景外草地水源涵养量持续下降,城市扩张情景下森林水源涵养功能被侵占,不透水面水源涵养量异常升高。[结论]耕地、林地及草地是承德市水源涵养功能的主体,承德市面临着草地退化与城市无序扩张的双重压力。未来应在严格保护森林生态系统的前提下,统筹协调耕地保护与草地恢复,严格控制不透水面的无序扩张。 展开更多
关键词 invest模型 PLUS模型 土地利用变化 多情景模拟 水源涵养预测 河北省承德市
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基于耦合PLUS-InVEST模型的大同市多情景土地利用模拟与碳储量评估
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作者 袁懿婧 杨磊 《环境监测管理与技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期49-58,共10页
基于2000—2020年大同市土地利用数据,利用InVEST模型测算2000—2020年大同市碳储量变化,再利用PLUS模型分别测算自然发展情景、经济发展情景、耕地保护情景和生态保护情景4个模拟情景下的土地利用变化,最后采用InVEST模型预测2030年4... 基于2000—2020年大同市土地利用数据,利用InVEST模型测算2000—2020年大同市碳储量变化,再利用PLUS模型分别测算自然发展情景、经济发展情景、耕地保护情景和生态保护情景4个模拟情景下的土地利用变化,最后采用InVEST模型预测2030年4种情景下的碳储量。结果表明:2000—2020年大同市林地和建设用地呈增加趋势,耕地、草地、水域和未利用地均呈下降趋势;2000—2020年总碳储量呈下降趋势,下降了2.95×10^(6)t,碳储量分布与土地利用空间分布较为一致,碳储量较高区域生态用地面积占比多,建设用地少;4种情景模拟的土地利用分布格局与2020年基本一致,耕地保护情景下耕地面积增加,建设用地面积虽然在4种情景下均增加,但在生态保护和耕地保护情景下的增幅较低;与2020年相比,各情景下碳储量均减少,生态保护情景下降得最少,耕地保护情景下降也较少。 展开更多
关键词 碳储量 土地利用变化 PLUS模型 invest模型 大同市
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基于InVEST模型的城市蓝绿空间降温效应及影响因素研究——以西安市为例
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作者 徐晨 黄晓军 赵凯旭 《地理科学》 北大核心 2026年第3期528-541,共14页
本文以西安市为例,整合遥感、蒸散发及气象等多源数据,运用InVEST城市降温模型生成热缓解指数(HMI),探究城市蓝绿空间的热缓解能力,并采用景观格局分析、地理探测器、增强回归树等方法揭示景观格局对降温效应的影响机制。结果表明:(1)... 本文以西安市为例,整合遥感、蒸散发及气象等多源数据,运用InVEST城市降温模型生成热缓解指数(HMI),探究城市蓝绿空间的热缓解能力,并采用景观格局分析、地理探测器、增强回归树等方法揭示景观格局对降温效应的影响机制。结果表明:(1)西安市夏季地表温度以中温区为主导。城市热岛集中在中心城区和西部工业园,空间格局相对稳定;冷岛则主要分布在河流沿岸和近郊地区,在高密度建成区内呈散点状。(2)不同降温距离下HMI的分布高度一致,三环外高值区多沿河流分布或集中于连片耕地,三环内则与含有水体的城市公园相对应;低值区主要分布于高密度建成区和工业区,呈连续面状,并在外围农村居民点表现为条带状。(3)蓝绿空间降温效应是多因子协同作用的结果。景观多样性和斑块破碎度是核心驱动因子,二者分别与斑块规模交互作用提升降温能力。各因子均表现出阈值特征,对降温效应的影响随自身数值区间的变化而呈现促进或抑制的差异性特征。 展开更多
关键词 invest模型 蓝绿空间 降温效应 西安市
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基于InVEST-MCR模型的奉贤新城鸟类生态廊道识别与优化
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作者 贺坤 唐运泽 +2 位作者 卯响 张德顺 李杰 《华中农业大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期52-63,共12页
生态廊道识别与构建是维系生态系统完整性与促进物种迁移的重要手段,为了构建科学、可实施的鸟类生态廊道识别与优化框架,以快速城市化的上海市奉贤新城为研究区域,选取麻雀(Passer montanus)、乌鸫(Turdus merula)、黑水鸡(Gallinula c... 生态廊道识别与构建是维系生态系统完整性与促进物种迁移的重要手段,为了构建科学、可实施的鸟类生态廊道识别与优化框架,以快速城市化的上海市奉贤新城为研究区域,选取麻雀(Passer montanus)、乌鸫(Turdus merula)、黑水鸡(Gallinula chloropus)、牛背鹭(Bubulcus coromandus)4种常见鸟类为焦点物种,综合运用生态系统服务和权衡的综合评估模型(InVEST)与最小累积阻力(MCR)模型模拟区域生态廊道格局,并结合实地调查数据建立评价指标体系进行验证。结果显示:4种鸟类的符合高质量生境标准的斑块面积总和(即生态源地面积)分别为18.2、19.3、10.4和13.5 km^(2),主要分布于林地、灌草地、耕地及河塘;共识别出66条生态廊道,奉贤新城核心区廊道数量较少,断裂风险高、连接度弱,而外围水域、农田与林地密集区形成了相对完整的廊道网络;优化后4种鸟类廊道控制点偏离度分别降低0.25、0.15、0.16和0.27,生态连通性显著提升。 展开更多
关键词 生态廊道 invest模型 MCR模型 城市常见鸟类 城市规划
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基于PLUS-InVEST模型的四川省乐山市碳储量时空变化及预测
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作者 杨茹荔 罗怀良 桑子榕 《水土保持通报》 北大核心 2026年第1期260-270,共11页
[目的]探究土地利用演变及其对碳储量的影响,为维持区域碳平衡和提高区域碳储量研究提供科学依据。[方法]结合PLUS-InVEST模型分析2000—2020年乐山市碳储量时空特征,并预测2030年自然发展情景和生态保护情景下的碳储量情况,最后利用重... [目的]探究土地利用演变及其对碳储量的影响,为维持区域碳平衡和提高区域碳储量研究提供科学依据。[方法]结合PLUS-InVEST模型分析2000—2020年乐山市碳储量时空特征,并预测2030年自然发展情景和生态保护情景下的碳储量情况,最后利用重心转移模型探究碳储量重心空间变化。[结果](1)2000—2020年该市碳储量呈现增长趋势,共增加2.33×10^(6)t,其中,各地类贡献的碳储量依次为:林地>建设用地>水域>草地>未利用地>耕地。(2)2030年2种情景下的碳储量均呈增加趋势,其中,自然发展情景增加2.43×10^(6)t,生态保护情景增加2.58×10^(6)t。(3)近20 a来该市碳储量重心整体向偏西方移动3121.86 m,移动范围在沙湾区内。自然发展和生态保护情景下碳储量重心也在沙湾区内移动,分别向东南移动1236.62 m,向东北移动4226.55 m。[结论]土地利用变化和碳储量变化具有一致性,固碳能力强的地类对碳储量影响明显,通过控制该地类的转出来实现区域生态环境保护。 展开更多
关键词 碳储量 土地利用变化 PLUS-invest模型 重心转移 乐山市
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基于SD-PLUS-InVEST模型的江西省土地利用与生境质量演变及模拟
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作者 窦丽霞 徐丽婷 +3 位作者 李文紫怡 许鑫 周达宝 徐羽 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第2期903-915,共13页
探究土地利用变化对生境质量的影响对于区域生态文明建设具有重要意义.以江西省为研究区,基于2000年、2010年和2020年3期土地利用数据,分析土地利用变化特征.结合CMIP6中的3种典型情景与SD-PLUS模型,模拟2040年和2060年土地利用变化格局... 探究土地利用变化对生境质量的影响对于区域生态文明建设具有重要意义.以江西省为研究区,基于2000年、2010年和2020年3期土地利用数据,分析土地利用变化特征.结合CMIP6中的3种典型情景与SD-PLUS模型,模拟2040年和2060年土地利用变化格局,运用InVEST模型评估生境质量演变.结果表明:①2000~2020年间,江西省土地利用变化呈“先快后缓”的特征,前10 a土地转移量为后10 a的4.67倍.土地利用变化主要表现为水田、旱地、有林地和疏林地间的相互转换,以及向城镇用地与其他建设用地的转移.②2000~2020年间,生境质量均值同比下降3.57%,整体以中、良好和优等级为主,而差和较差等级主要集中于城市建成区,并沿交通干线呈“大”字形扩散.③未来情景表明,耕地持续缩减,其他建设用地不断增加.其中,SSP119情景下,林地显著增加,生境质量最高;SSP245情景下,土地利用较为均衡,生境质量次之;SSP585情景下,建设用地扩张最为显著,生境质量最低.④生境质量的提升主要受有林地和疏林地增加的推动,而建设用地的扩张及林地转耕地是导致生境质量下降的主要因素.研究结果可为江西省生态治理和可持续发展提供科学依据. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用变化 生境质量 SSP-RCP情景 SD-PLUS模型 invest模型 江西省
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基于InVEST-PLUS模型盐城黄海湿地世界自然遗产地碳储量时空演变与预测
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作者 杨寅寅 李传武 《海洋环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期74-82,共9页
滨海湿地是生态系统中独特的组成部分,其强大的碳储存能力在全球碳平衡中发挥重要作用,成为当前研究的热点。本文以盐城黄海湿地世界自然遗产地为研究区域,利用PLUS模型和InVEST模型,结合2000年、2010年、2015年和2020年4个时段土地利... 滨海湿地是生态系统中独特的组成部分,其强大的碳储存能力在全球碳平衡中发挥重要作用,成为当前研究的热点。本文以盐城黄海湿地世界自然遗产地为研究区域,利用PLUS模型和InVEST模型,结合2000年、2010年、2015年和2020年4个时段土地利用数据,分析了黄海湿地碳储量的时空演变特征,并进行3种情景下的模拟预测。结果表明:(1)2000—2020年盐城黄海湿地土地利用类型变化显著,其中以耕地和水域两种类型的变化为主,耕地减少了6966.27 ha,水域增加了6220.26 ha。(2)2000—2020年盐城黄海湿地碳储量总体呈下降趋势,减少了216.91×10^(3)t。碳损耗的主要原因是耕地减少所损失的碳储量大于水域增加所得到的碳储量。(3)预测到2030年盐城黄海湿地生态系统在自然发展、经济发展和生态保护3种情景下的碳储量分别是10430.88×10^(3)t、10447.36×10^(3)t、10458.14×10^(3)t,相较于2020年,碳储量(10447.85×10^(3)t)仅在生态保护情景下有所增加。本研究可为中国滨海湿地生态系统碳汇能力的修复和管理提供科学依据,为全球滨海湿地碳汇研究提供中国案例。 展开更多
关键词 碳储量 PLUS模型 invest模型 世界自然遗产地 盐城黄海湿地
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基于PLUS-InVEST-Geodetector模型的环太湖城市群土地利用多情景模拟与碳储量评估
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作者 赵晶晶 周松 +2 位作者 葛颜祥 厉成伟 李彩红 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第2期880-891,共12页
探究环太湖城市群土地利用时空演变对碳储量的影响,对区域生态系统碳库管理与实现区域低碳高质量发展具有重要意义.运用PLUS-InVEST-Geodetector模型,探讨环太湖城市群2000~2020年土地利用与碳储量时空格局及其差异特征,预测并模拟2030... 探究环太湖城市群土地利用时空演变对碳储量的影响,对区域生态系统碳库管理与实现区域低碳高质量发展具有重要意义.运用PLUS-InVEST-Geodetector模型,探讨环太湖城市群2000~2020年土地利用与碳储量时空格局及其差异特征,预测并模拟2030年自然发展、城市发展和生态保护情景下土地利用与碳储量空间格局分布特征,揭示影响碳储量变化归因.结果表明:①2000~2020年,环太湖城市群耕地面积减少26.3%,建设用地面积增加147.5%,主要驱动因子为人口数量、高程和至二级道路的相对距离;②环太湖城市群碳储量呈西南高、东北低的空间分布特征,总体下降8.17%,其中耕地和林地损失分别为48.84 Mt和5.36 Mt,土地利用类型转变是碳储量降低的主要原因.③基于2030年3种情景比较,生态保护情景具有更高的碳储量(469.865Mt)和较低的碳损失(-11.545 Mt).碳储量高值区主要分布在太湖西部和南部,低值区则集中于东部和北部地区.④归因分析表明,自然环境因子对碳储量的影响显著高于社会经济因子. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用 碳储量 多情景模拟 PLUS模型 invest模型 环太湖城市群
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基于PLUS-InVEST模型的川渝地区碳储量变化及多情景预测
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作者 陈红香 辛存林 +4 位作者 陈宁 马新淑 白元 康利刚 辛顺杰 《环境科学》 北大核心 2026年第1期360-371,共12页
陆地生态系统的碳储量受土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)的影响显著,探讨LUCC对区域陆地生态系统碳储量的作用,对于改进土地利用结构和实现碳达峰及碳中和目标具有极其重要的意义.研究利用2000~2020年间的土地利用数据,综合考虑了13项关键驱动... 陆地生态系统的碳储量受土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC)的影响显著,探讨LUCC对区域陆地生态系统碳储量的作用,对于改进土地利用结构和实现碳达峰及碳中和目标具有极其重要的意义.研究利用2000~2020年间的土地利用数据,综合考虑了13项关键驱动因素,建立了自然发展(ND)、生态保护(EP)、经济发展(ED)和综合发展(CD)这4种发展情景.结合PLUS和InVEST模型,模拟了川渝地区土地利用类型的动态调整与碳储量的时空演变.结果表明:(1)2000~2020年,草地和耕地面积分别减少了83.65×10^(4) hm^(2)和46.41×10^(4) hm^(2),而林地、建设用地和水域面积则分别增加了65.37×10^(4)、50.55×10^(4)和13.41×10^(4) hm^(2),未利用地面积基本保持稳定.(2)在2000年、2010年和2020年,碳储量分别为1 968.88×10^(7)、1 996.90×10^(7)和1 998.59×10^(7) t,总碳储量增加了29.71×10^(7) t,耕地和草地向林地的转变是碳储量增加的主要因素.(3)相较于2020年,ND、ED、EP和CD情景下的碳储量分别增加1.48×10^(7)、27.75×10^(7)、43.62×10^(7)和50.32×10^(7) t.在CD情景下,碳储量及其总价值均超过其他情景,是最优的发展模式.研究结果从土地利用的角度为生态系统碳储量优化决策提供参考,这将为未来土地利用政策的制定以及“双碳”战略目标的实现提供有力支持. 展开更多
关键词 土地利用/覆盖变化(LUCC) 碳储量 PLUS-invest模型 多情景预测 川渝地区
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Study on the investment and construction models and value assessment of shared energy storage in the context of the new power system
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作者 Yuanying Chi Zihang Jin +3 位作者 Xufeng Zhang Yanzhao Zhang Yuxi Wu Junqi Wang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2025年第4期700-718,共19页
New energy-storage systems play a pivotal role in the development of the new power system for advancing the energy transition in China.In the“14th Five-Year Plan”for the New Energy-Storage Development,it is proposed... New energy-storage systems play a pivotal role in the development of the new power system for advancing the energy transition in China.In the“14th Five-Year Plan”for the New Energy-Storage Development,it is proposed to expand investment and construction models by promoting the deployment of energy-storage facilities through the ways of self-construction,leasing,and purchasing,and to encourage the development of the shared energy-storage.However,the current scarcity in the model of the shared energy-storage invest-ment and construction substantially restricts its development,particularly due to unclear mechanisms for cost and benefit allocation,which also discourages potential investors.To address the issue,this paper proposes investment and construction models for shared energy-storage that aligns with the present stage of energy storage development.In specific,three main models are introduced:(1)Cen-tralized Self-built Shared Energy-Storage model(CSSES),(2)Third-party Investment Shared Energy-Storage model(TISES),and(3)Distributed Self-built Shared Energy Storage(DSSES)model.The cost–benefit analysis is conducted for each model.The results indicate that the CSSES model achieves the highest internal rate of return(11.5%)and the shortest payback period,while the DSSES model per-forms acceptable with an IRR of 9.4%.In contrast,the TISES model shows the lowest IRR(6.7%)and requires higher electricity price for being feasible.Furthermore,the study employs the entropy weight method and the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)for indicator eval-uation,and integrates the technique for order preference by the similarity to an ideal solution(TOPSIS)for scheme optimization.The results show that both the CSSES model and the DSSES model achieve the highest proximity scores.Under environmental regulations,these models demonstrate superior economic benefits by optimizing energy storage utilization,reducing user costs,and enhancing overall profitability. 展开更多
关键词 Shared energy-storage investment and construction model AHP Entropy weight method
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基于PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector模型的长三角城市群碳储量时空变化及驱动因素分析
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作者 宋青 张凯波 陈骏宇 《生态经济》 北大核心 2026年第1期85-94,共10页
研究陆地生态系统碳储量时空变化规律及其空间分异驱动因子,对于实现“双碳”目标具有重要意义。论文耦合PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector模型,评估长三角城市群2000—2020年碳储量时空变化特征,综合考虑自然因素与社会经济因素对历史碳储量空... 研究陆地生态系统碳储量时空变化规律及其空间分异驱动因子,对于实现“双碳”目标具有重要意义。论文耦合PLUS-InVEST-GeoDetector模型,评估长三角城市群2000—2020年碳储量时空变化特征,综合考虑自然因素与社会经济因素对历史碳储量空间分异的驱动作用,并在四种发展情景下对2030年长三角城市群碳储量开展预测。结果表明:(1)2000—2020年长三角城市群年碳储量呈现持续下降的趋势,下降比率为1.27%,主要因素为长三角城市群城市化推进过程中耕地、林地等地类面积的损失;(2)碳储量在空间上呈现“北低南高”的特征,其空间分布与土地利用格局紧密关联;(3)土地利用空间格局变化在整体上保持相对平稳态势;(4)可持续发展情景能够有效抑制碳储量的下降趋势,损失仅为0.84×10^(6) t;(5)高程、坡度、土壤类型、年降水量、植被净初级生产力是对研究区域碳储量空间分异解释力较强的因素,双因子交互探测均呈双因子增强或非线性增强。 展开更多
关键词 碳储量 PLUS模型 invest模型 地理探测器 长三角城市群
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