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A Model-Free Method for Structual Change Detection Multivariate Nonlinear Time Series 被引量:2
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作者 孙青华 张世英 梁雄健 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2003年第2期36-46,共11页
In this paper, we apply the recursive genetic programming (RGP) approach to the cognition of a system, and then proceed to the detecting procedure for structural changes in the system whose components are of long memo... In this paper, we apply the recursive genetic programming (RGP) approach to the cognition of a system, and then proceed to the detecting procedure for structural changes in the system whose components are of long memory. This approach is adaptive and model-free, which can simulate the individual activities of the system's participants, therefore, it has strong ability to recognize the operating mechanism of the system. Based on the previous cognition about the system, a testing statistic is developed for the detection of structural changes in the system. Furthermore, an example is presented to illustrate the validity and practical value of the proposed. 展开更多
关键词 Structural changes Recursive genetic programming Model-free method.
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Dense Shaped Refractory Products——Test Method of Linear Changes on Reheating
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《China's Refractories》 CAS 2006年第2期36-38,共3页
This Standard specifies methods for the determination of the linear changes on reheating of a dense shaped refractory product.
关键词 TEST Test method of Linear changes on Reheating Dense Shaped Refractory Products
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Magnetic properties and magnetic entropy change of perovskite manganites La_(0.9-x)Eu_xSr_(0.1)MnO_3(x=0.000,0.075) by experimental method and numerical fitting 被引量:5
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作者 Xiang Jin Jianjun Zhao +8 位作者 Hongye Wu Bao Xu Yunbin Sun Xiaodong Sun Fengze Cao Kai Wang Wenxing Wang Yutong Zhang Yi Lu 《Journal of Rare Earths》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第6期622-627,共6页
Polycrystalline samples La_(0.9-x)EuxSr_(0.1)MnO_3(x = 0.000, 0.075) were prepared by the standard solid-state reaction method. The results show that the samples preform a characteristic of clusters spin-glass state a... Polycrystalline samples La_(0.9-x)EuxSr_(0.1)MnO_3(x = 0.000, 0.075) were prepared by the standard solid-state reaction method. The results show that the samples preform a characteristic of clusters spin-glass state at low temperature. The samples show a characteristic of ferromagnetism(FM) characteristic in the temperature range of 15-125 K and 15-150 K respectively; the samples show preformed clusters in the temperature range of 125-343 K and 150-325 K, respectively, the samples show paramagnetism(PM)characteristic above 343 and 325 K, respectively. The second-order transitions are found at 118 and 135 K for undoped and doped sample, respectively. When the applied magnetic field is 7 T, the maximum magnetic entropy change |△S_M| value of the samples is near the Curie temperature(Tc), and the value of|△S_M| reaches 2.76 and 3.03 J/(K kg), respectively. In addition, the relative cooling power(RCP) is found to be 425.28 and 443.53 J/kg. The numerical fitting data fit well with experimental data. These results indicate that both the samples have the potential to realize magnetic refrigeration in the high temperature region(T > 77 K). 展开更多
关键词 PEROVSKITE MAGNETIC properties MAGNETIC entropy change Preforming cluster phase Least SQUARE method RARE earths
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Set Programming Method and Performance Improvement of Phase Change Random Access Memory Arrays
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作者 范茜 陈后鹏 +6 位作者 王倩 王月青 吕士龙 刘燕 宋志棠 冯高明 刘波 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第6期184-187,共4页
A novel slow-down set waveform is proposed to improve the set performance and a 1 kb phase change random access memory chip fabricated with a 13nm CMOS technology is implemented to investigate the set performance by d... A novel slow-down set waveform is proposed to improve the set performance and a 1 kb phase change random access memory chip fabricated with a 13nm CMOS technology is implemented to investigate the set performance by different set programming strategies based on this new set pulse. The amplitude difference (I1 - I2) of the set pulse is proved to be a crucial parameter for set programming. We observe and analyze the cell characteristics with different I1 - I2 by means of thermal simulations and high-resolution transmission electron microscopy, which reveal that an incomplete set programming will occur when the proposed slow-down pulse is set with an improperly high I1 - I2. This will lead to an amorphous residue in the active region. We also discuss the programming method to avoid the set performance degradations. 展开更多
关键词 PCRAM Set Programming method and Performance Improvement of Phase change Random Access Memory Arrays
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Predicting coastal morphological changes with empirical orthogonal function method
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作者 fernando alvarez shun-qi pan 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2016年第1期14-20,共7页
In order to improve the accuracy of prediction when using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method, this paper describes a novel approach for two-dimensional (2D) EOF analysis based on extrapolating both the... In order to improve the accuracy of prediction when using the empirical orthogonal function (EOF) method, this paper describes a novel approach for two-dimensional (2D) EOF analysis based on extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes. The approach was investigated with data obtained from a process-based numerical model, COAST2D, which was applied to an idealized study site with a group of shore-parallel breakwaters. The progressive behavior of the spatial and temporal EOF components, related to bathymetric changes over a training period, was demonstrated, and EOF components were extrapolated with combined linear and exponential functions for long-term prediction. The extrapolated EOF components were then used to reconstruct bathymetric changes. The comparison of the reconstructed bathymetric changes with the modeled results from the COAST2D model illustrates that the presented approach can be effective for long-term prediction of coastal morphological changes, and extrapolating both the spatial and temporal EOF components yields better results than extrapolating only the temporal EOF component. 展开更多
关键词 EOF method Coastal morphological change Long-term prediction Process-based numerical model Shore-parallel breakwater
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采用Chang方法的混合试验的稳定性和精度 被引量:5
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作者 彭天波 谢馨 +1 位作者 曾忠 于训涛 《同济大学学报(自然科学版)》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2014年第12期1790-1796,共7页
推导了采用Chang方法的混合试验的控制公式,并采用MATLAB分析软件建立了基于Chang方法的混合试验数值模拟平台.为研究误差对采用Chang方法混合试验的稳定性和精度所造成的影响,推导了两种时滞误差影响下采用Chang方法的混合试验的收敛... 推导了采用Chang方法的混合试验的控制公式,并采用MATLAB分析软件建立了基于Chang方法的混合试验数值模拟平台.为研究误差对采用Chang方法混合试验的稳定性和精度所造成的影响,推导了两种时滞误差影响下采用Chang方法的混合试验的收敛性公式,并利用数值模拟平台对收敛性理论结果进行验证.采用上述平台,从周期误差率和幅值误差率的角度研究了误差对采用Chang方法的混合试验精度的影响. 展开更多
关键词 混合试验 chang方法 稳定性 精度
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实时子结构混合试验中的Chang方法研究 被引量:3
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作者 赵建锋 孟凡涛 于广明 《地震工程与工程振动》 CSCD 北大核心 2014年第1期37-43,共7页
在传统显式Chang方法的基础上考虑试验子结构的质量影响,在作动器的常加速度假定和不考虑时滞影响的前提下,对作动器的位移进行中心差分得到作动器的加速度显式表达;认为作动器的加速度即为试验子结构的加速度,通过纯惯性试验子结构的... 在传统显式Chang方法的基础上考虑试验子结构的质量影响,在作动器的常加速度假定和不考虑时滞影响的前提下,对作动器的位移进行中心差分得到作动器的加速度显式表达;认为作动器的加速度即为试验子结构的加速度,通过纯惯性试验子结构的实时子结构试验仿真对算法稳定性进行分析,发现当试验子结构的质量小于等于数值子结构的质量时,该方法的稳定性良好;在线性动力试验子结构中分析了试验子结构的质量、刚度、阻尼对算法稳定性的影响,发现该方法的稳定性同条件下优于修正的中心差分法。最后进行了地震作用下的仿真分析,表明该方法具有良好的精度。 展开更多
关键词 实时子结构混合试验 稳定性 数值算法 chang方法
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Application of the Bottom-up Method on Risk Evaluation of Climate Change in Water Resources System
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作者 李科 齐晶瑶 +1 位作者 BROWN Casey 王灵芝 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第5期851-854,共4页
Traditional approach to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the water resources systems always begins with downscaling general circulation models( GCMs) and proceeding back to the hydrological model. This approa... Traditional approach to evaluate the impacts of climate change on the water resources systems always begins with downscaling general circulation models( GCMs) and proceeding back to the hydrological model. This approach has some distinct disadvantages: 1) GCM must be downscaled; 2) different GCMs are difficult to be reconciled for a given climate change scenario;3) the uncertainty of GCMs is far from the requirement of the evaluation of climate change impacts. To overcome these limits of the traditional method,a new method termed as "bottom-up"was used for climate risk assessment that linked vulnerability assessment with climate information to assess the risk of climate change impacts on the Quabbin Reservoir,and United States under A2 scenario.The result shows that the risks are around 20% in 2006-2035 and 2036-2055,50% in 2066-2095. 展开更多
关键词 climate change water resources systems general circulation models(GCMs) RISK bottom-up method
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基于Duncan-Chang本构的非线性土压力模型 被引量:7
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作者 吴明 夏唐代 俞峰 《煤田地质与勘探》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2008年第2期36-39,共4页
假设基坑工程中挡土结构的变形和土压力服从双曲线模型,类比Duncan-Chang本构建模思想,在前人关于基坑主动区和被动区变形假设的基础上,建立了可以考虑位移变化的非线性土压力模型。把非线性土压力模型和Duncan-Chang本构模型联系起来,... 假设基坑工程中挡土结构的变形和土压力服从双曲线模型,类比Duncan-Chang本构建模思想,在前人关于基坑主动区和被动区变形假设的基础上,建立了可以考虑位移变化的非线性土压力模型。把非线性土压力模型和Duncan-Chang本构模型联系起来,使得本文非线性土压力模型参数确定有根据。把弹性地基梁模型和该非线性土压力联系起来,使得弹性抗力系数的概念更加明确。以m法为例,深入分析了m法的影响因素。 展开更多
关键词 非线性土压力 弹性地基梁 M法 Duncan—chang模型
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考虑扰动影响修正Duncan–Chang模型的二次开发 被引量:3
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作者 朱剑锋 徐日庆 《岩土工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2015年第S1期84-88,共5页
为了更准确预测施工扰动状态下土体的变形和强度特性,开发了考虑扰动影响的修正Duncan–Chang模型,编写了通用有限元软件ABAQUS修正Duncan–Chang模型的用户子程序(UMAT),并通过干砂三轴试验对UMAT的可行性进行了验证。试验结果表明,不... 为了更准确预测施工扰动状态下土体的变形和强度特性,开发了考虑扰动影响的修正Duncan–Chang模型,编写了通用有限元软件ABAQUS修正Duncan–Chang模型的用户子程序(UMAT),并通过干砂三轴试验对UMAT的可行性进行了验证。试验结果表明,不同扰动度下的数值模拟值均接近于三轴试验值。因此,对考虑扰动影响修正Duncan–Chang模型的二次开发是可行的,可以在考虑施工扰动影响的岩土工程数值计算中推广应用。 展开更多
关键词 施工扰动 Duncan–chang模型 有限元 ABAQUS 二次开发
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基于Duncan-Chang模型的地基沉降分层总和分析方法探讨 被引量:24
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作者 曹文贵 邓湘君 张超 《岩土工程学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第4期643-649,共7页
地基沉降分析方法是土力学研究的重要内容。该文在地基沉降变形力学机理研究基础上,首先考虑埋深或初始地应力即先期固结应力对地基土变形模量的影响,并将其区分为初始地应力的体积应力和偏应力影响两部分,引进分级加载思想,建立出不同... 地基沉降分析方法是土力学研究的重要内容。该文在地基沉降变形力学机理研究基础上,首先考虑埋深或初始地应力即先期固结应力对地基土变形模量的影响,并将其区分为初始地应力的体积应力和偏应力影响两部分,引进分级加载思想,建立出不同埋深地基土变形模量的确定方法;其次,将地基沉降区分为附加体积应力和附加偏应力引起的沉降两部分,建立出地基沉降分析计算模型;然后,考虑地基变形的非线性变化特征,引进增量分析方法、虎克定律和Duncan-Chang模型,建立出附加体积应力和附加偏应力引起的地基压缩层变形的分析方法,并利用地基沉降分层总和法分析原理,建立出基于Duncan-Chang模型的地基沉降分析新方法。该方法不仅可以反映初始地应力和附加应力对地基土变形模量的影响,而且,可避免地基土压缩试验曲线和地基静载试验曲线的使用;最后,通过工程实例计算与分析,并与实测沉降值和现有分析方法的计算结果进行比较,表明了该方法可以满足工程计算精度要求,具有一定的合理性与可行性。 展开更多
关键词 地基 沉降 分层总和法 Duncan—chang模型 分级加载 体积应力 偏应力 变形模量
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基于Duncan-Chang模型的高层建筑物分层总和法沉降计算与场地变形分析 被引量:5
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作者 江勇顺 唐浩 李天斌 《成都理工大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2018年第5期626-632,共7页
为研究某新建高层建筑物的沉降变形受场地条件差异及相邻既有建筑物的影响,基于Duncan-Chang模型计算地基沉降分析的方法和分层总和法规范修正公式,对该建筑物的沉降变形进行了对比计算;通过广泛布设沉降监测点,进一步分析了场内建筑物... 为研究某新建高层建筑物的沉降变形受场地条件差异及相邻既有建筑物的影响,基于Duncan-Chang模型计算地基沉降分析的方法和分层总和法规范修正公式,对该建筑物的沉降变形进行了对比计算;通过广泛布设沉降监测点,进一步分析了场内建筑物在建设不同阶段的沉降时空规律。结果表明,采用筏板基础的建筑物受荷载及不均匀沉降影响,存在"中间下凹,四周上翘"的挠曲变形特点。同时,在既有建筑物阻挡下,建筑物不同位置的沉降大小受到不同程度"抑制"。随着时间推移,沉降绝对值逐渐减小并在某一时期沉降趋于停止。 展开更多
关键词 高层建筑 沉降量 DUNCAN-chang模型 分层总和法 时空规律
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基于Duncan-Chang模型的静力贯入路基压实度确定方法 被引量:9
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作者 曹文贵 罗宏 +2 位作者 张竣淞 王江营 张超 《中国公路学报》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2013年第5期1-8,共8页
为了建立公路路基压实度检测新方法,首先在深入研究静力贯入路基变形力学机理基础上,将静力贯入荷载引起的路基土体应力分为各向等压应力和轴向偏应力两部分,并考虑到路基土体变形的非线性特征,引进分级加载和地基沉降分层总和分析的思... 为了建立公路路基压实度检测新方法,首先在深入研究静力贯入路基变形力学机理基础上,将静力贯入荷载引起的路基土体应力分为各向等压应力和轴向偏应力两部分,并考虑到路基土体变形的非线性特征,引进分级加载和地基沉降分层总和分析的思想,采用增量广义虎克定律和增量Duncan-Chang模型,建立以路基土体初始孔隙率、泊松比、粘聚力和内摩擦角等为参数的路基贯入荷载-位移分析模型;然后基于上述静力贯入位移分析模型,引进自适应遗传模拟退火优化反演分析方法,利用实测路基静力贯入荷载-位移曲线,建立基于静力贯入试验的路基压实度检测方法,并通过工程实例计算与现有方法进行对比分析。研究结果表明:该方法不仅可以检测路基压实度,还可以测定路基土体其他物理力学参数;由于静力贯入试验可移置到专用汽车以实现快速移动和检测,因此,该方法具有检测速度快和效率高的特点;该方法具有较强的合理性与可行性。 展开更多
关键词 道路工程 路基 静力贯入试验 Duncan—chang模型 孔隙率 反演分析 增量分析方法
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Streamflow responses to climate change and LUCC in a semi-arid watershed of Chinese Loess Plateau 被引量:10
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作者 LI Qingyun SUN Yanwei +2 位作者 YUAN Wenlin LYU Subing WAN Fang 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第4期609-621,共13页
Climate change and Land Use/Cover Change(LUCC) have been identified as two primary factors affecting watershed hydrological regime. This study analyzed the trends of streamflow, precipitation, air temperature and po... Climate change and Land Use/Cover Change(LUCC) have been identified as two primary factors affecting watershed hydrological regime. This study analyzed the trends of streamflow, precipitation, air temperature and potential evapotranspiration(PET) from 1962 to 2008 in the Jihe watershed in northwestern Loess Plateau of China using the Mann-Kendall test. The streamflow responses to climate change and LUCC were quantified independently by the elasticity method. The results show that the streamflow presented a dramatic decline with a turning point occurred in 1971, while the precipitation and PET did not change significantly. The results also show that the temperature rose markedly especially since 1990 s with an approximate increase of 1.74°C over the entire research period(1962–2008). Using land use transition matrix, we found that slope cropland was significantly converted to terrace between 1970 s and 1990 s and that forest cover increased relatively significantly because of the Grain for Green Project after 2000. The streamflow reduction was predominantly caused by LUCC and its contribution reached up to 90.2%, while the contribution of climate change to streamflow decline was only 9.8%. Although the analytical results between the elasticity method and linear regression model were not satisfactorily consistent, they both indicated that LUCC(human activity) was the major factor causing streamflow decline in the Jihe watershed from 1962 to 2008. 展开更多
关键词 streamflow LUCC climate change Mann-Kendall test elasticity method Loess Plateau
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Dimensional Variation Modeling of Aircraft Compliant Part Assembly Considering Clamping Force Change 被引量:1
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作者 TAN Changbai ZHANG Wei WANG Zhiguo 《Transactions of Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics》 EI CSCD 2019年第2期298-305,共8页
Compliant parts are widely applied to aircraft structures.Due to the ease of deformation of compliant parts in assembly,the prediction of assembly variation is especially important for assembly quality control.A dimen... Compliant parts are widely applied to aircraft structures.Due to the ease of deformation of compliant parts in assembly,the prediction of assembly variation is especially important for assembly quality control.A dimensional variation model considering the clamping force change in assembly is proposed based on the method of influence coefficient(MIC).First,the assembly process is decomposed into several steps including positioning,clamping,joining,and spring-back.Then,the force-displacement relationship is formulated according to the varied force conditions on the parts in each assembly step.Finally,two examples are illustrated to validate the proposed assembly variation model.The results show the impact of clamping force change is significant on the assembly variation,and the proposed model can predict the assembly variation more accurately than the referred method without clamping force correction at the over-constrained locating points of fixture. 展开更多
关键词 AIRCRAFT DIMENSIONAL variation compliant parts CLAMPING force changE method of influence coefficient(MIC)
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A Physical Method of Analyzing theMechanism of Continental StrongShocks from Crustal Movement 被引量:4
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作者 Shen Chongyang,Wu Yun,and Gan Jiasi Institute of Seismology. CSB, Wuhan 430071,China 《Earthquake Research in China》 2001年第3期282-297,共16页
In order to analyze the mechanism of continental strong shocks from the angle of crustal movement using the data of repeated geodetic survey, this paper has proposed a physical method; it analyzes the mechanism of den... In order to analyze the mechanism of continental strong shocks from the angle of crustal movement using the data of repeated geodetic survey, this paper has proposed a physical method; it analyzes the mechanism of density change due to the occurrence of strong shocks by use of the physical quantity that reflects the time change of crustal density. (1) The general theory of the time change of density in the earth’ s interior and the theory of the time change of single layer density have been introduced, and an algorithm of stepwise iteration has been proposed; (2) The effect of the change of single layer density caused by fault dislocation has been analyzed in brief; (3) The characteristics of the time change of crustal density in the south of the seismogenic region before the 1996 Lijiang earthquake with M_L =7.0 have been studied; (4) The precursor model or causal mechanism of strong shocks possibly existing in the time change of crustal density has been investigated preliminarily. 展开更多
关键词 CRUSTAL MOVEMENT Mechanism of STRONG SHOCKS Density change Physical method
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INFINITELY MANY SIGN-CHANGING SOLUTIONS FOR THE BRZIS-NIRENBERG PROBLEM INVOLVING HARDY POTENTIAL 被引量:3
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作者 张靖 马世旺 《Acta Mathematica Scientia》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第2期527-536,共10页
In this article, we give a new proof on the existence of infinitely many sign- changing solutions for the following Brezis-Nirenberg problem with critical exponent and a Hardy potential -△u-μ(u/|x|^2)=λu+|u... In this article, we give a new proof on the existence of infinitely many sign- changing solutions for the following Brezis-Nirenberg problem with critical exponent and a Hardy potential -△u-μ(u/|x|^2)=λu+|u|^2*-2u inΩ, u=0 on eΩ,where Ω is a smooth open bounded domain of R^N which contains the origin, 2*=2N/n-2 is the critical Sobolev exponent. More precisely, under the assumptions that N ≥ 7, μ ∈ [0, μ- 4), and μ=(N-2)^2/4, we show that the problem admits infinitely many sign-changing solutions for each fixed λ 〉 0. Our proof is based on a combination of invariant sets method and Lj usternik-Schnirelman theory. 展开更多
关键词 Critical exponent sign-changing solutions minimax method hardy potential
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Heat Transfer of Heat Sinking Vest with Phase-change Material 被引量:5
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作者 QIU Yifen JIANG Nan +2 位作者 WU Wei ZHANG Guangwei XIAO Baoliang 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2011年第6期720-725,共6页
To investigate thermal protection effects of heat sinking vest with phase-change material (PCM), human thermoregulation model is introduced, and a thermal mathematical model of heat transfer with phase change has be... To investigate thermal protection effects of heat sinking vest with phase-change material (PCM), human thermoregulation model is introduced, and a thermal mathematical model of heat transfer with phase change has been developed with the enthalpy method. The uniform energy equation is constructed for the whole domain, and the equation is implicitly discreted by control volume and finite difference method. Then the enthalpy in each node is solved by using chasing method to calculate the tridiagonal equations, and the inner surface temperature of PCM could be obtained. According to the human thermoregulation model of heat sinking vest, the dynamic temperature distribution and sweat of the body are solved. Calculation results indicate that the change of core temperature matches the experimental result, and the sweat difference is small. This thermal mathematical model of heat transfer with phase change is credible and appropriate. Through comparing the dynamic temperature distribution and sweat of the body wearing heat sinking vest to results of the body not wearing this clothing, it is evident that wearing heat sinking vest can reduce the body heat load significantly. 展开更多
关键词 thermal protection heat sinking vest heat transfer phase-change material enthalpy method
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Trends in gravity changes from 2009 to 2013 derived from ground-based gravimetry and GRACE data in North China 被引量:3
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作者 Shen Chongyang Xuan Songbai +1 位作者 Zou Zhengbo Wu Guiju 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2015年第6期423-428,共6页
North China is a key region for studying geophysical progress. In this study, ground-based and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) gravity data from 2009 to 2013 are used to calculate the gravity change r... North China is a key region for studying geophysical progress. In this study, ground-based and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) gravity data from 2009 to 2013 are used to calculate the gravity change rate(GCR) using the polynomial fitting method. In general, the study area was divided into the Shanxi rift, Jing-Jin-Ji(Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Province), and Bohai Bay Basin(BBB) regions. Results of the distribution of the GCR determined from ground-based gravimetry show that the GCR appears to be "negativepositive-negative" from west to east, which indicates that different geophysical mechanisms are involved in the tectonic activities of these regions. However, GRACE solutions are conducted over a larger spatial scale and are able to show a difference between southern and northern areas and a mass redistribution of land water storage. 展开更多
关键词 North China Ground-based gravimetry Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment(GRACE) Polynomial fitting method Gravity changes rate Tectonic activities Geophysical mechanisms Mass redistribution
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Using modified Soil Conservation Service curve number method to simulate the role of forest in flood control in the upper reach of the Tingjiang River in China 被引量:3
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作者 LIN Wei YANG Fan +2 位作者 ZHOU Liang XU Jian-gang ZHANG Xing-qi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第1期1-14,共14页
To improve flood control efficiency and increase urban resilience to flooding,the impacts of forest type change on flood control in the upper reach of the Tingjiang River(URTR) were evaluated by a modified model based... To improve flood control efficiency and increase urban resilience to flooding,the impacts of forest type change on flood control in the upper reach of the Tingjiang River(URTR) were evaluated by a modified model based on the Soil Conservation Service curve number(SCS-CN) method. Parameters of the model were selected and determined according to the comprehensive analysis of model evaluation indexes. The first simulation of forest reconstruction scenario,namely a coniferous forest covering 59.35km^2 is replaced by a broad-leaved forest showed no significant impact on the flood reduction in the URTR. The second simulation was added with 61.75km^2 bamboo forest replaced by broad-leaved forest,the reduction of flood peak discharge and flood volume could be improved significantly. Specifically,flood peak discharge of 10-year return period event was reduced to 7-year event,and the reduction rate of small flood was 21%-28%. Moreover,the flood volume was reduced by 9%-14% and 18%-35% for moderate floods and small floods,respectively. The resultssuggest that the bamboo forest reconstruction is an effective control solution for small to moderate flood in the URTR,the effect of forest conversion on flood volume is increasingly reduced as the rainfall amount increases to more extreme magnitude. Using a hydrological model with scenarios analysis is an effective simulation approach in investigating the relationship between forest type change and flood control. This method would provide reliable support for flood control and disaster mitigation in mountainous cities. 展开更多
关键词 Flood control Soil Conservation Service curve number method Forest type change Scenarios simulation Tingjiang River
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