Effective groundwater management is crucial for economic sustainable development,particularly as climate change and population growth increase the uncertainty of aquifer dynamics.Due to limited geological data,Punjab&...Effective groundwater management is crucial for economic sustainable development,particularly as climate change and population growth increase the uncertainty of aquifer dynamics.Due to limited geological data,Punjab's complex hydrogeological conditions and Quaternary alluvial deposits present significant challenges for groundwater management.This study employs cost-effective numerical techniques as alternatives to traditional methods to safeguard groundwater quality,quantity,and accessibility.It introduces an edit-embedded transition frequency model that integrates regional datasets and utilizes algorithms such as GAMEAS,MCMOD,and TSIM to evaluate aquifer heterogeneity and simulate spatial variations using one-dimensional and three-dimensional Markov chains.Findings show that sand exhibits the highest self-transition(33.112 m),indicating strong stability,followed by silt,clay,and gravel,suggesting overall hydrofacies stability both horizontally and vertically.The model's predictions are largely consistent with actual material distribution,with a slight under-prediction of clay(-0.750%)and an over-prediction of sand(2.985%),which accounts for 58.77%of the aquifer material.It also highlights significant heterogeneity in the northern mountainous regions and minor variations in the south.The study emphasizes Punjab's severe water crisis,with groundwater reserves of 3502.3 BCM,declining water levels(0.38–33.62 m),and low hydraulic conductivity,urging government action on rainwater harvesting and sustainable groundwater management policies.展开更多
基金supported by the K.C.Wong Education Foundation(GJTD-2020-14)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42071245)+3 种基金Third Xinjiang Scientific Expedition Program(2021XJKK1400)the China-Pakistan Joint Research Center on Earth Sciences that supported the implementation of this studythe Chinese Academy of Sciences(CAS)the CSC Scholarship for Young Talents(Doctor Program)for the financial support of this study。
文摘Effective groundwater management is crucial for economic sustainable development,particularly as climate change and population growth increase the uncertainty of aquifer dynamics.Due to limited geological data,Punjab's complex hydrogeological conditions and Quaternary alluvial deposits present significant challenges for groundwater management.This study employs cost-effective numerical techniques as alternatives to traditional methods to safeguard groundwater quality,quantity,and accessibility.It introduces an edit-embedded transition frequency model that integrates regional datasets and utilizes algorithms such as GAMEAS,MCMOD,and TSIM to evaluate aquifer heterogeneity and simulate spatial variations using one-dimensional and three-dimensional Markov chains.Findings show that sand exhibits the highest self-transition(33.112 m),indicating strong stability,followed by silt,clay,and gravel,suggesting overall hydrofacies stability both horizontally and vertically.The model's predictions are largely consistent with actual material distribution,with a slight under-prediction of clay(-0.750%)and an over-prediction of sand(2.985%),which accounts for 58.77%of the aquifer material.It also highlights significant heterogeneity in the northern mountainous regions and minor variations in the south.The study emphasizes Punjab's severe water crisis,with groundwater reserves of 3502.3 BCM,declining water levels(0.38–33.62 m),and low hydraulic conductivity,urging government action on rainwater harvesting and sustainable groundwater management policies.
