在中美地缘政治与技术竞争(地缘技术竞争)中,英国同时与中美保持紧密合作关系,为双方提供人才、技术、资金和市场等稀缺资源,但中国针对英国顶尖智库在中美地缘技术竞争中的观点研究是缺失的。为此,本文收集、梳理和分析了2017—2024年...在中美地缘政治与技术竞争(地缘技术竞争)中,英国同时与中美保持紧密合作关系,为双方提供人才、技术、资金和市场等稀缺资源,但中国针对英国顶尖智库在中美地缘技术竞争中的观点研究是缺失的。为此,本文收集、梳理和分析了2017—2024年间英国顶尖智库在其官网的在线评论,系统呈现其在美国特朗普政府第一任期和拜登政府时期的观点。研究发现:查塔姆研究所(Chatham House)、国际战略研究所(The International Institute for Strategic Studies, IISS)、皇家联合军事研究所(Royal United Service Institute, RUSI)高度关切“供应链”“总体安全”“盟友”“全球治理”等议题,且智库与学界关注度基本相似。本文做出了如下学术贡献:构建特朗普政府第一任期(2017—2021年)和拜登政府(2021—2024年)时期英国顶尖智库核心观点集合,揭示其论述倾向与焦点议题的演进脉络,进而研判其潜在的政策取向,以期为中国的对外策略与科技决策提供学理依据与信息参考。展开更多
In the evolving global economy,China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment(OFDI)holds increasing significance,specially within the context of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).Despite earlier studies have acknowledged ...In the evolving global economy,China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment(OFDI)holds increasing significance,specially within the context of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).Despite earlier studies have acknowledged the role of governance quality in at-tracting Chinese OFDI,their explanatory capacity regarding human development has not received sufficient attention.This study ad-dresses this gap,investigating the relationship between Chinese OFDI and human development,emphasizing the governance quality’s moderating role.Using data from 122 BRI countries from 2004 to 2021,we employed the Panel Corrected Standard Error model through Prais-Winsten regression,complimented by robustness check via the Spatial Durbin Model.Our analysis revealed a significant positive relationship between Chinese OFDI and human development in BRI countries,indicating that Chinese investments act as cata-lysts for improved well-being.More importantly,governance quality plays a vital role in shaping this relationship,revealing that effect-ive governance enhanced the human development outcomes of OFDI.Post-hoc analysis of governance indicators,both as a composite index and individual dimensions,supported this finding.Regional heterogeneity analysis further showed that Chinese OFDI has stronger effects on Human Development Index(HDI)in Asia and Africa compared to Europe,Latin America,and Oceania.However,the moder-ating effect of governance quality seemed more prominent in Oceania and Latin America,indicating its role in fostering the benefits of Chinese investments in these regions.These findings hold implications for academia and policy,emphasizing the need for transparent,accountable,and effective governance to drive sustainable and inclusive human development within the BRI framework.展开更多
文摘在中美地缘政治与技术竞争(地缘技术竞争)中,英国同时与中美保持紧密合作关系,为双方提供人才、技术、资金和市场等稀缺资源,但中国针对英国顶尖智库在中美地缘技术竞争中的观点研究是缺失的。为此,本文收集、梳理和分析了2017—2024年间英国顶尖智库在其官网的在线评论,系统呈现其在美国特朗普政府第一任期和拜登政府时期的观点。研究发现:查塔姆研究所(Chatham House)、国际战略研究所(The International Institute for Strategic Studies, IISS)、皇家联合军事研究所(Royal United Service Institute, RUSI)高度关切“供应链”“总体安全”“盟友”“全球治理”等议题,且智库与学界关注度基本相似。本文做出了如下学术贡献:构建特朗普政府第一任期(2017—2021年)和拜登政府(2021—2024年)时期英国顶尖智库核心观点集合,揭示其论述倾向与焦点议题的演进脉络,进而研判其潜在的政策取向,以期为中国的对外策略与科技决策提供学理依据与信息参考。
基金Under the auspices of Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,Zhongnan University of Economics and Law,China(No.2722021EG001)。
文摘In the evolving global economy,China’s Outward Foreign Direct Investment(OFDI)holds increasing significance,specially within the context of the Belt and Road Initiative(BRI).Despite earlier studies have acknowledged the role of governance quality in at-tracting Chinese OFDI,their explanatory capacity regarding human development has not received sufficient attention.This study ad-dresses this gap,investigating the relationship between Chinese OFDI and human development,emphasizing the governance quality’s moderating role.Using data from 122 BRI countries from 2004 to 2021,we employed the Panel Corrected Standard Error model through Prais-Winsten regression,complimented by robustness check via the Spatial Durbin Model.Our analysis revealed a significant positive relationship between Chinese OFDI and human development in BRI countries,indicating that Chinese investments act as cata-lysts for improved well-being.More importantly,governance quality plays a vital role in shaping this relationship,revealing that effect-ive governance enhanced the human development outcomes of OFDI.Post-hoc analysis of governance indicators,both as a composite index and individual dimensions,supported this finding.Regional heterogeneity analysis further showed that Chinese OFDI has stronger effects on Human Development Index(HDI)in Asia and Africa compared to Europe,Latin America,and Oceania.However,the moder-ating effect of governance quality seemed more prominent in Oceania and Latin America,indicating its role in fostering the benefits of Chinese investments in these regions.These findings hold implications for academia and policy,emphasizing the need for transparent,accountable,and effective governance to drive sustainable and inclusive human development within the BRI framework.
