摘要
货币需求研究是建立货币理论的起点,而货币供应量的大小是影响国民经济能否正常运行的重要因素,文章在深入研究总投资与国内生产总值的基础上,确定了它们之间的函数关系,建立了数学模型,通过各种检验,采用适应性预期的预测方法,对近八年我国的国内生产总值及增长率做出了预测。同时又进一步对近八年我国的广义货币供应量做出了预测,分析了货币供应量对通货膨胀的影响,提出了按"单一规则"控制货币供应量,是从货币供给的角度来稳定经济的有效方法。
The study of currency supply is the base of currency theory and the currency supply plays an important role in the national economy. Based on the establishment of a function relationship model between the general investment and GDP, the method of adaptability expectation is adopted in the thesis to forecast GDP and the growth rate of GDP in the coming ten years in China. Taking this as a prerequisite, the thesis forecasts the general currency supply in the coming eight years and its influence on the currency inflation, thus the author makes a suggestion that the currency supply should be controlled according to the single rule in order to stabilize the national economy.
出处
《哈尔滨商业大学学报（社会科学版）》
2004年第3期41-43,共3页
Journal of Harbin University of Commerce:Social Science Edition
