摘要
本文用统计方法对我国近百年来的气象观测资料的分析表明,在温室效应导致全球增暖的背景上,我国将出现同步的增暖趋势,东南沿海降水量增加,而西北地区的干旱则将更趋严重,太阳活动和南方涛动对我国气候变化也有显著影响,它们分别可能是温度的22年准周期振动和降水量的准4年周期振动的原因.
The statistical analysis of meteorological observation data in China in the past 100 years showsthat against the background of global warning caused by the greenhouse effect there will be a signifi-cant warning in China synchronously,the precipitation will increase in the southeast part of China andthe water shortage will be more serious in the northwest China.It is also shown that the climat in Chinais significantly influenced by the solar activity and southern oscillation which probably is the causes ofthe 22 years cycle of temperature and the 4 years cycle of precipitation in China.
出处
《自然灾害学报》
CSCD
1992年第2期47-58,共12页
Journal of Natural Disasters
关键词
温室效应
太阳活动
南方涛动
气候
Greenhouse effect
Solar activity
Southern oscillation
