摘要
本文以广东省10年来的信贷资金运行情况进行实证研究,分析我国信贷资金季节性波动的基本特征。研究发现我国的信贷资金运行存在明显的季节波动特征,但是波动趋势逐渐走向平缓,信贷季节波动受经济活动的季节周期和信贷管理政策双重决定。
This paper studies the quarterly credit fluctuation in recent 10 years with the data of Guangdong Province. It is shown that the quarterly fluctuation is significant, though such trend is flatter. The fluctuation is co- affected by quarterly cycle of business behavior and credit policy.
出处
《金融研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2003年第12期44-51,共8页
Journal of Financial Research
