摘要
分析了经典多元统计分析方法用于评价问题的局限性 ,基于层次分析法(AHP法 )对原有的关联度计算公式进行了改进 ,结合近些年北京市工业能源市场的发展趋势 ,提出了北京市工业目标能源市场的灰色关联分析方法。采用层次分析法对影响GDP的 10种主要能源的重要性进行了评价 ,综合考虑了定性和定量因素 ,给出了关联系数的重要性权数 ,使得评价结果更符合实际情况。为电力行业分析人员提供了一种实用性强 。
The author analyzed the disadvantages of the classical poly-statistics approaches for assessment and proposed the improved GRA(Gray Relevent Analyse)in electric power consumption assessment by applying AHP(Analytic Hierachy Process)in improving the method for calculating related degree. Join together the nearer year the Peking City industry energy the market's development trend, and bring up the method of market's gray relevent analysis of Peking City industry target energy . The important the of 10 industry products which influence the GDP was evaluated. The qualitative and quantitative element comprehensively were considered and the different weights to measure the related coefficient were given. The results of evaluation agree with the practical situation. It offers a new method to the market analysts of electric power trade.
出处
《现代电力》
2003年第5期104-107,共4页
Modern Electric Power
基金
北京市经贸委电力技术与节能基金资助 (编号 0 90 4 0 12 )