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出口相似度与贸易竞争:中国与东盟的比较研究 被引量:59

Export Similarity and Trade Competition: A Comparative Study on China and ASEAN Countries
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摘要 本文从商品域和市场域两个纬度测算了中国与东盟在自由贸易区之外的第三方市场 (或世界市场 )上的出口相似度指数。研究表明 ,中国与东盟出口结构 (产品结构和市场结构 )趋同态势越来越显著 ,它反映的是双方在产业转移和传递的国际分工格局调整中相似的演化路径 ,这意味着中国与东盟在出口上越来越强劲的竞争具有长期性。最后对中国 -东盟自由贸易区前景进行了初探。 From the angles of merchandise-field and market-field, the paper estimates the export similarity index of China and ASEAN countries on the third market (or world market) outside China- ASEAN Free Trade Area. It reveals that the convergence of export structure (including merchandise structure and market structure) between China and ASEAN countries is becoming more and more obvious. This trend shows the similar evolution of both parts' industrial structure in the adjustment of international division of labor, while means the competition on export between China and ASEAN will be chronicle. Finally the paper studies the prospect of China- ASEAN Free Trade Area.
作者 史智宇
出处 《财贸经济》 CSSCI 北大核心 2003年第9期53-57,共5页 Finance & Trade Economics
关键词 出口相似度指数 贸易竞争 出口产品结构 市场结构 Export Similarity Index,Trade Competition,Export Merchandise Structure and Market Structure
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参考文献3

  • 1Finger, J M and M E Kreinin, A Measure of Export Similarity and Its Possible Uses. The Economic Journal, 89(1979).
  • 2Glick, Reuven and Andrew K. Rose, Contagion and Trade: Why Are Currency Crises Regional? NBER Working Paper, 6806(1989).
  • 3Pearson, C S, The Asian Export Ladder, in Shu - Chin Yang (eds.), Manufactured Exports of East Asia Industrializing Economies:Possible Regional Cooperation .Armonk, New York: M E Sharpe,1994.

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